Oldham Athletic vs Bristol Rovers: match statistics
Oldham Athletic has a clear advantage over Bristol Rovers playing at their own stadium. The hosts present solid home form with 27% wins and as many as 47% draws, giving them stability. Bristol Rovers, on the other hand, performs very poorly away - 67% losses and only 20% wins, with a negative goal difference of -14. Oldham has a better expected goals (xG 1.56 vs 1.21) and concedes fewer goals on average at home (1.0) than Bristol Rovers away (1.87). The form of the guests' last five away matches is alarming with a series of losses. Statistics unequivocally point to the hosts as favorites, although their high percentage of draws in home matches (47%) suggests that a split of points is also a realistic scenario.
Oldham Athletic vs Bristol Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Oldham Athletic played Bristol Rovers in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 17 February 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Oldham Athletic: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Bristol Rovers: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Oldham Athletic scores 1.00 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Bristol Rovers scores 0.94 and concedes 1.71. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Oldham Athletic 45%, Bristol Rovers 42%. Over 2.5: Oldham Athletic 41%, Bristol Rovers 55%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Oldham Athletic has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.27. Oldham Athletic: 13.8 shots per match, Bristol Rovers: 11.2.
Match halves
Oldham Athletic: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.66. Bristol Rovers: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Oldham Athletic: 46-60 (7 goals). Bristol Rovers: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Oldham Athletic has a clear advantage over Bristol Rovers playing at their own stadium. The hosts present solid home form with 27% wins and as many as 47% draws, giving them stability. Bristol Rovers, on the other hand, performs very poorly away - 67% losses and only 20% wins, with a negative goal difference of -14. Oldham has a better expected goals (xG 1.56 vs 1.21) and concedes fewer goals on average at home (1.0) than Bristol Rovers away (1.87). The form of the guests' last five away matches is alarming with a series of losses. Statistics unequivocally point to the hosts as favorites, although their high percentage of draws in home matches (47%) suggests that a split of points is also a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Oldham Athletic | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bristol Rovers is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Oldham Athletic · 1.2 pts / match - Bristol Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Oldham Athletic is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Oldham Athletic · 0.94 goals / match - Bristol Rovers
Oldham Athletic is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Oldham Athletic · 1.71 goals / match - Bristol Rovers
Oldham Athletic scores in 62% of matches (18 of 29 matches), while Bristol Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 matches).
Bristol Rovers scores in 58% of matches (18 of 31 matches), while Oldham Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Oldham Athletic
Over / Under - Bristol Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bristol Rovers is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / match - Oldham Athletic · 1.1 pts / match - Bristol Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Oldham Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bristol Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -16 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Oldham Athletic
Bristol Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Oldham Athletic | Liga | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.03 | 2.58 | • 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 54% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 48% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 26% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 68% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 76% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Oldham Athletic 0 - 1 - 0 Bristol Rovers. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Oldham Athletic vs Bristol Rovers?
The EFL League Two match finished Oldham Athletic 2:0 Bristol Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Oldham Athletic vs Bristol Rovers?
Oldham Athletic score 1.00 goals per game on average and Bristol Rovers 0.94. The EFL League Two average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Oldham Athletic's matches and 42% of Bristol Rovers's.
What form are Oldham Athletic and Bristol Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Oldham Athletic have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Bristol Rovers 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Oldham Athletic vs Bristol Rovers?
The statistical background for Oldham Athletic vs Bristol Rovers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.