Oldham Athletic vs Fleetwood Town: match statistics
This match is shaping up to be an evenly contested encounter between two teams with similar form and league position. Oldham Athletic at home display a stable performance with a 43% draw rate in home matches and a goal difference of +1, yet their recent form (1 win in 5 matches) raises concerns. Fleetwood Town on the road records 50% losses and poor form (0.6 points per game), but boasts a better scoring rate (38 goals this season). Both teams share an identical shot conversion rate (8%) and similar xG values, indicating an even quality of play. Considering the high percentage of home draws for the hosts and the poor form of both sides, the most likely outcome appears to be a share of the points, although Oldham playing in front of their home crowd gives them a slight edge.
Oldham Athletic vs Fleetwood Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Oldham Athletic played Fleetwood Town in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Oldham Athletic: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Fleetwood Town: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Oldham Athletic scores 1.00 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. Fleetwood Town scores 1.31 and concedes 1.34. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Oldham Athletic 43%, Fleetwood Town 72%. Over 2.5: Oldham Athletic 43%, Fleetwood Town 55%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Oldham Athletic has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.37. Oldham Athletic: 13.9 shots per match, Fleetwood Town: 11.9.
Match halves
Oldham Athletic: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.64. Fleetwood Town: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Oldham Athletic: 46-60 (7 goals). Fleetwood Town: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
This match is shaping up to be an evenly contested encounter between two teams with similar form and league position. Oldham Athletic at home display a stable performance with a 43% draw rate in home matches and a goal difference of +1, yet their recent form (1 win in 5 matches) raises concerns. Fleetwood Town on the road records 50% losses and poor form (0.6 points per game), but boasts a better scoring rate (38 goals this season). Both teams share an identical shot conversion rate (8%) and similar xG values, indicating an even quality of play. Considering the high percentage of home draws for the hosts and the poor form of both sides, the most likely outcome appears to be a share of the points, although Oldham playing in front of their home crowd gives them a slight edge.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Oldham Athletic | Fleetwood Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Oldham Athletic is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Oldham Athletic · 0.6 pts / match - Fleetwood Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fleetwood Town is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Oldham Athletic · 1.31 goals / match - Fleetwood Town
Oldham Athletic is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.04 goals / match - Oldham Athletic · 1.34 goals / match - Fleetwood Town
Oldham Athletic scores in 61% of matches (17 of 28 matches), while Fleetwood Town keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).
Fleetwood Town scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Oldham Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Oldham Athletic
Over / Under - Fleetwood Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fleetwood Town is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Oldham Athletic · 1.03 pts / match - Fleetwood Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Oldham Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fleetwood Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Oldham Athletic
Fleetwood Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Oldham Athletic | Liga | Fleetwood Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.04 | 2.60 | • 2.66 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 53% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 48% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 26% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 68% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 54% | 76% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Oldham Athletic 0 - 1 - 0 Fleetwood Town. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Oldham Athletic vs Fleetwood Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Oldham Athletic 1:1 Fleetwood Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Oldham Athletic vs Fleetwood Town?
Oldham Athletic score 1.00 goals per game on average and Fleetwood Town 1.31. The EFL League Two average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Oldham Athletic's matches and 72% of Fleetwood Town's.
What form are Oldham Athletic and Fleetwood Town in?
Over the last 5 games Oldham Athletic have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Fleetwood Town 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Oldham Athletic vs Fleetwood Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Oldham Athletic vs Fleetwood Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.