Oldham Athletic vs Grimsby Town: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very evenly matched odds for both teams. Oldham Athletic is showcasing excellent form over their last five matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 2.6 PPG) and remains undefeated, granting them a psychological edge. Grimsby Town holds a higher position in the table (7th place) and boasts a better away record (41% win rate), though their recent form has dipped (1.6 PPG). A crucial factor is the hosts' solid defense in recent fixtures (only 1 goal conceded in 5 matches) alongside the fact that Grimsby rarely fails to score on the road (18% FTS%). Given Oldham's high home draw percentage (41%) and the closely matched average xG of both teams, the most likely scenario is a share of the points, although the hosts could leverage their outstanding streak to secure a win.
Oldham Athletic vs Grimsby Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Oldham Athletic played Grimsby Town in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Oldham Athletic: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Grimsby Town: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Oldham Athletic scores 1.15 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Grimsby Town scores 1.43 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Oldham Athletic 41%, Grimsby Town 49%. Over 2.5: Oldham Athletic 41%, Grimsby Town 43%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Grimsby Town has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.54. Oldham Athletic: 13.4 shots per match, Grimsby Town: 13.9.
Match halves
Oldham Athletic: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.68. Grimsby Town: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Oldham Athletic: 46-60 (9 goals). Grimsby Town: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very evenly matched odds for both teams. Oldham Athletic is showcasing excellent form over their last five matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 2.6 PPG) and remains undefeated, granting them a psychological edge. Grimsby Town holds a higher position in the table (7th place) and boasts a better away record (41% win rate), though their recent form has dipped (1.6 PPG). A crucial factor is the hosts' solid defense in recent fixtures (only 1 goal conceded in 5 matches) alongside the fact that Grimsby rarely fails to score on the road (18% FTS%). Given Oldham's high home draw percentage (41%) and the closely matched average xG of both teams, the most likely scenario is a share of the points, although the hosts could leverage their outstanding streak to secure a win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Oldham Athletic | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Oldham Athletic is 63% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Oldham Athletic · 1.6 pts / match - Grimsby Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grimsby Town is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Oldham Athletic · 1.43 goals / match - Grimsby Town
Oldham Athletic is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - Oldham Athletic · 1.11 goals / match - Grimsby Town
Oldham Athletic scores in 65% of matches (22 of 34 matches), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 37% (13 of 35 matches).
Grimsby Town scores in 80% of matches (28 of 35 matches), while Oldham Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 41% (14 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Oldham Athletic
Over / Under - Grimsby Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grimsby Town is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Oldham Athletic · 1.34 pts / match - Grimsby Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Oldham Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Grimsby Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Oldham Athletic
Grimsby Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Oldham Athletic | Liga | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.06 | 2.57 | • 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 54% | ▼ 49% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 47% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 26% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 68% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 59% | 77% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Oldham Athletic 0 - 1 - 0 Grimsby Town. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Oldham Athletic vs Grimsby Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Oldham Athletic 1:0 Grimsby Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Oldham Athletic vs Grimsby Town?
Oldham Athletic score 1.15 goals per game on average and Grimsby Town 1.43. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Oldham Athletic's matches and 49% of Grimsby Town's.
What form are Oldham Athletic and Grimsby Town in?
Over the last 5 games Oldham Athletic have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Grimsby Town 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Oldham Athletic vs Grimsby Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.