Olimpia Elbląg vs Lomza: match statistics
Łomża displays significantly better form and quality this season, occupying 3rd place in the table with a record of 14 wins and only 5 losses. The visitors are characterized by excellent away performance – a 55% win rate, 1.91 goals scored on average, and a solid defense (conceding 1 goal per match on average). Olimpia Elbląg is only in 11th position, has a negative overall record (8-6-9), and shows poor form in their last five matches (2 wins, 3 losses, PPG 1.2). The hosts concede an average of 1.5 goals in home matches, which, given Łomża's offensive strength (52 goals this season), poses a serious threat. The difference in quality, form, and xG statistics (1.77 for the visitors vs 1.48 for the hosts) points towards a victory for the Łomża side. Despite the home advantage for Olimpia, the disparity in strength is too significant to predict any outcome other than an away win.
Olimpia Elbląg vs Lomza: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Olimpia Elbląg played Lomza in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The match was played on 28 March 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Olimpia Elbląg: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Lomza: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Olimpia Elbląg scores 1.52 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. Lomza scores 2.26 and concedes 1.04. League average: 3.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Olimpia Elbląg 70%, Lomza 52%. Over 2.5: Olimpia Elbląg 57%, Lomza 57%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
Lomza has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.35. Olimpia Elbląg: 8.0 shots per match, Lomza: 10.5.
Match halves
Olimpia Elbląg: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.70. Lomza: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.39.
Goals by minute
Olimpia Elbląg: 0-15 (7 goals). Lomza: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 1: 3.41 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Łomża displays significantly better form and quality this season, occupying 3rd place in the table with a record of 14 wins and only 5 losses. The visitors are characterized by excellent away performance – a 55% win rate, 1.91 goals scored on average, and a solid defense (conceding 1 goal per match on average). Olimpia Elbląg is only in 11th position, has a negative overall record (8-6-9), and shows poor form in their last five matches (2 wins, 3 losses, PPG 1.2). The hosts concede an average of 1.5 goals in home matches, which, given Łomża's offensive strength (52 goals this season), poses a serious threat. The difference in quality, form, and xG statistics (1.77 for the visitors vs 1.48 for the hosts) points towards a victory for the Łomża side. Despite the home advantage for Olimpia, the disparity in strength is too significant to predict any outcome other than an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal data supports BTTS: Olimpia has a 58% BTTS rate and 0% FTS (they almost always score), while Łomża averages 1.91 goals per match with an xG of 1.77. In their last 5 matches, both teams show a 60% BTTS rate, and Olimpia's defense has been conceding 1.8 goals per match during this period, increasing the chances of an away goal. Łomża generates a solid volume of chances (5.78 shots on target per match), and their xGA of 1.47 suggests they allow opponents opportunities, favoring a home goal. The league profile is distinctly high-scoring (averaging 3.41 goals per match and 64% BTTS), which further raises the baseline probability of both teams scoring. A risk factor for BTTS is the relatively high clean sheet rate (Olimpia 42%, Łomża 36%) and Łomża's 27% FTS, but the visitors' scoring form (2.6 goals per match in the last 5) balances this risk.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goal profile of the match is high: Olimpia average 2.58 goals scored per home game, while Łomża average 1.91 goals conceded away, against a league average of 3.41 goals. Lower lines are strongly supported by the frequency of results: Over 1.5 goals has occurred in 100% of Olimpia's home matches and 82% of Łomża's away matches. A model based on a mix of goals and xG (Olimpia xG for 1.9 vs. xG against Łomża 1.47; Łomża xG for 1.77 vs. xG against Olimpia 1.16) yields approximately 3.18 total expected goals. The last 5 meetings further boost the goal-scoring potential, mainly from the visitors' side (2.6 goals scored), with Olimpia conceding an average of 1.8 goals in this period, increasing the chances for at least 2 goals in the match. However, Łomża's high defensive discipline this season (GA away 1.0 and 0% of matches with 3+ goals conceded) limits confidence in Over 3.5, making Over 1.5 the strongest selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal for halftime is a draw: Lomza very frequently draws at HT (64%), while simultaneously maintaining a high clean sheet rate in the first half (73%) and conceding few goals before the break (0.36 on average), limiting Olympia's chances of building an early lead. Nonetheless, in terms of overall match quality, the advantage lies with the home side (PPG 2.17 vs 1.82; higher xG for 1.90 vs 1.77 and better xG against 1.16 vs 1.47, along with superior shot accuracy 17% vs 12%). The second half is also crucial, where Olympia has a very strong performance profile (2HG PPG 2.5; 75% wins and 0% losses, conceding only 0.33 goals on average). Goal statistics indicate frequent scoring after the interval (over 0.5 in the 2nd half: 92% vs 91%), favoring a late-match 'turnaround' scenario benefiting the hosts. Simultaneously, Lomza's better form in the last 5 matches (2.6 goals scored per match) increases the risk for the X/2 and 2/2 HT/FT outcomes but does not negate Olympia's advantages over a longer horizon.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Olimpia Elbląg | Lomza | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.53 | 0.52 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lomza is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Olimpia Elbląg · 1.8 pts / match - Lomza
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lomza is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
1.52 goals / match - Olimpia Elbląg · 2.26 goals / match - Lomza
Lomza is 76% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.83 goals / match - Olimpia Elbląg · 1.04 goals / match - Lomza
Olimpia Elbląg scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Lomza keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
Lomza scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Olimpia Elbląg keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Olimpia Elbląg
Over / Under - Lomza
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lomza is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Olimpia Elbląg · 1.48 pts / match - Lomza
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Olimpia Elbląg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lomza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Olimpia Elbląg
Lomza
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).
Teams vs league
| Olimpia Elbląg | Liga | Lomza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.35 | 3.41 | ▼ 3.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 64% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 57% | 67% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 20% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 86% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- LomzaGoalDawid Dzięgielewski
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Olimpia Elbląg 0 - 0 - 1 Lomza. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Olimpia Elbląg vs Lomza?
The 3 Liga Group 1 match finished Olimpia Elbląg 0:3 Lomza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Olimpia Elbląg vs Lomza?
Olimpia Elbląg score 1.52 goals per game on average and Lomza 2.26. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Olimpia Elbląg's matches and 52% of Lomza's.
What form are Olimpia Elbląg and Lomza in?
Over the last 5 games Olimpia Elbląg have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Lomza 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Olimpia Elbląg vs Lomza?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Olimpia Elbląg vs Lomza: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.