Olimpia Elbląg vs Wigry Suwałki: match statistics
Olimpia Elbląg vs Wigry Suwałki: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Olimpia Elbląg played Wigry Suwałki in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The match was played on 13 May 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Olimpia Elbląg: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Wigry Suwałki: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Olimpia Elbląg scores 1.30 and concedes 1.90 goals per match. Wigry Suwałki scores 1.77 and concedes 1.27. League average: 3.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Olimpia Elbląg 63%, Wigry Suwałki 57%. Over 2.5: Olimpia Elbląg 60%, Wigry Suwałki 63%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Wigry Suwałki has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.26. Olimpia Elbląg: 7.3 shots per match, Wigry Suwałki: 7.7.
Match halves
Olimpia Elbląg: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.60. Wigry Suwałki: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Olimpia Elbląg: 0-15 (8 goals). Wigry Suwałki: 16-30 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 1: 3.34 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wigry Suwałki are the favorites: they sit 4th in the table with 17 wins and have scored 53 goals this season, while Olimpia Elbląg are 14th with 9 wins and 39 goals. Form gap is clear — Olimpia have lost their last 5 matches, scoring only 3 and conceding 12 (2.4 goals conceded per match), whereas Wigry in their last 5 have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, goal ratio 7–3 and approximately 2 points per match. In chance-creation metrics the numbers are comparable: hosts at home average 3.86 shots on target and xG 1.32, visitors away average 3.92 shots on target and xG 1.30; conversion rate around 12% vs 10%. Defensively on the season Olimpia have conceded 57 goals (1.67 on average at home), and Wigry 38 (1.64 on average away), however in the last 5 matches the hosts conceded 2.4 per game while the visitors only 0.6, giving the visitors the edge in current form. Considering league position, season-long balance and the substantial difference in the last 5 matches (Olimpia 0 points vs Wigry ~2 per match), I predict an away win; proposed probabilities: away 68%, draw 18%, home 14%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I recommend BTTS - Yes, because seasonal and league signals are strong: Olimpia has BTTS at 56%, Wigry 57%, and in the league BTTS occurs in 62% of matches. xG and shot metrics support this scenario – Olimpia averages xG 1.76 and 5.44 shots on target with 17% conversion, while Wigry have xG conceded 1.82, indicating opponents create many chances against them. Seasonal goal averages also back BTTS: Olimpia scores 2.19 goals per game and Wigry concede 1.64 on average, whereas Wigry score 1.29 per game and Olimpia concede 0.94 on average; this means both sides have realistic scoring potential. A counterargument is Olimpia’s form in the last 5 matches (5 defeats, 3 scored and 12 conceded, averaging 0.6 scored and 2.4 conceded), but Wigry in their last 5 have 7 scored and 3 conceded (1.4 and 0.6), so at least the away team is likely to find the net. Considering seasonal BTTS 56/57, league 62% and the combination of xG and conversion, the 'both teams to score' scenario looks stronger (70% vs 30%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Average xG suggests a total around 3.18: home xG 1.76 vs away defense xG 1.82 (1.79 season average for Olimpia), and away xG 1.30 vs home defense xG 1.47 (1.39 season average for Wigry), yielding a sum of 3.18. Seasonally Olimpia’s matches finished over 1.5 goals in 81% and Wigry in 79%, and over 2.5 in 63% and 64% respectively; the league has 66% of matches over 2.5, so seasonal metrics favor Over 2.5. In the last 5 fixtures Olimpia conceded 12 goals (2.4 per game) and scored 3 (0.6), while Wigry scored 7 and conceded 3 (1.4 and 0.6), which increases the likelihood of more goals. The share of matches with Both Teams To Score is 56% for the home side and 57% for the away side; additionally Olimpia averages 5.44 shots on target at 17% conversion versus Wigry’s 3.92 SOT and 10% conversion, indicating potential for chances and conversion. Based on this, the strongest signal is Over 2.5 — with expected 1.79 and 1.39 goals and seasonal rates of 63–66% I assign the highest probability to Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Season-long statistics favor Olimpia: the home side averages 2.19 goals per match versus Wigry’s 1.29, concedes 0.94 instead of 1.64, and has higher xG (1.76 vs 1.30) and more shots on target (5.44 vs 3.92), which suggests an advantage in chance creation and finishing. Additionally, Olimpia led at the break in 63% of matches, scores on average 1.13 goals by half-time while conceding only 0.31, and averages 1.06 goals in the second half (versus the visitors’ 0.57), supporting an HT/FT scenario of leading at the break and holding on to win. The counterpoint is recent form: Olimpia have lost their last five matches (last5 'lllll') and were behind at half-time in 75% of those games, whereas Wigry led at the break in 60% of their last five and have a 60% win rate in that period, which reduces our confidence. Considering the season-long home advantage, superior efficiency and xG, but also the poor five-match run, I forecast 1/1 as the strongest signal, albeit with moderate confidence.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Olimpia Elbląg | Wigry Suwałki | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.52 | 0.58 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wigry Suwałki is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Olimpia Elbląg · 1.77 goals / match - Wigry Suwałki
Wigry Suwałki is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.9 goals / match - Olimpia Elbląg · 1.27 goals / match - Wigry Suwałki
Olimpia Elbląg scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while Wigry Suwałki keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 matches).
Wigry Suwałki scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while Olimpia Elbląg keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Olimpia Elbląg
Over / Under - Wigry Suwałki
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wigry Suwałki is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Olimpia Elbląg · 1.77 pts / match - Wigry Suwałki
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Olimpia Elbląg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Wigry Suwałki - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Olimpia Elbląg
Wigry Suwałki
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).
Teams vs league
| Olimpia Elbląg | Liga | Wigry Suwałki | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.20 | 3.34 | ▼ 3.03 |
| Both teams scored | • 63% | 62% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 66% | ▼ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 20% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 85% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Wigry SuwałkiGoalBartosz Guzdek
- Wigry SuwałkiGoalJakub Kwiatkowski
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Olimpia Elbląg 0 - 0 - 1 Wigry Suwałki. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Olimpia Elbląg vs Wigry Suwałki?
The 3 Liga Group 1 match finished Olimpia Elbląg 1:3 Wigry Suwałki. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Olimpia Elbląg vs Wigry Suwałki?
Olimpia Elbląg score 1.30 goals per game on average and Wigry Suwałki 1.77. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Olimpia Elbląg's matches and 57% of Wigry Suwałki's.
What form are Olimpia Elbląg and Wigry Suwałki in?
Over the last 5 games Olimpia Elbląg have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Wigry Suwałki 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Olimpia Elbląg vs Wigry Suwałki?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.