Olimpia vs Cerro Porteño: match statistics
Olimpia vs Cerro Porteño: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Olimpia played Cerro Porteño in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match was played on 23 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Manuel Ferreira. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Olimpia: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Cerro Porteño: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Olimpia scores 1.58 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. Cerro Porteño scores 1.38 and concedes 0.92. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Olimpia 46%, Cerro Porteño 38%. Over 2.5: Olimpia 42%, Cerro Porteño 38%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Olimpia has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.48. Olimpia: 15.9 shots per match, Cerro Porteño: 13.7.
Match halves
Olimpia: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.15. Cerro Porteño: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Olimpia: 61-75 (13 goals). Cerro Porteño: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-1. Average goals 2.80, BTTS 80%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Olimpia have a clearly stronger home profile: they win 69% of their matches, score an average of 2.00 goals and concede just 0.77, while Cerro Porteño lose 42% of their away games. The hosts also create more in the final third, averaging 16.54 shots and 5.46 shots on target per match, compared with 13.08 and 5.25 for the visitors. Olimpia’s advantage is also evident in the quality of chances: their average home xG is 1.74, while Cerro Porteño allow 1.23 xG away from home. The visitors score only 1.33 goals per away match and fail to score in as many as 33% of those games, which could be a problem against a team that keep a clean sheet in 38% of their home matches. Both teams have collected an identical 7 points from their last five matches, but Olimpia’s stronger home numbers point towards a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Olimpia kept a clean sheet in 57% of matches and concedes an average of just 0.57 goals per home game. Its season-long rate of matches with goals from both teams is only 29%, falling to 20% in its last five outings, well below the league average of 53%. Cerro Porteño scores an average of 1.33 goals but fails to score in 33% of matches, and its attack now faces the most effective defense in this dataset. Both teams have conceded 0.8 goals per game over their last five league matches, further supporting a scenario in which at least one team fails to score. The high current xG figures for both sides, at 1.56 each, limit the edge of this pick but do not offset Olimpia’s very strong defensive data.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Olimpia have a very solid defense, conceding an average of just 0.57 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 57% of games, which significantly limits Cerro Porteño’s attacking potential. The hosts have not played a single league match with at least 4 goals, while matches involving the visitors finished with under 3.5 goals in 67% of cases. In their last five matches, both teams conceded 4 goals each—just 0.8 per game—despite both creating chances worth an average of 1.56 xG. The projected total of 2.22 goals is below the league average of 2.47, so Under 3.5 goals has the strongest support from both defensive profiles and seasonal scoring trends.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an Olimpia win at full-time, as Cerro Porteño were level at the break in 67% of their matches, while Olimpia kept a clean sheet before half-time in 79% of games. In their last five outings, the hosts were level at half-time in 60% of matches, conceding just 0.2 goals per game during that period, which further supports the case for a cautious opening. After the break, Olimpia score an average of 0.64 goals, increasing that figure to 1.0 across their last five matches, while Cerro concede 0.83 goals in second halves. The hosts have also been clearly more consistent over the course of the season: they have conceded an average of 0.57 goals per game compared with 1.33 for the visitors, while their xGA stands at 1.03 versus Cerro’s 1.23. Olimpia’s defensive superiority, together with a 57% win rate compared with Cerro’s 42% loss rate, suggests that a balanced start will most often turn into a home win after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Olimpia | Cerro Porteño | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Olimpia is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.58 goals / match - Olimpia · 1.38 goals / match - Cerro Porteño
Olimpia is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.85 goals / match - Olimpia · 0.92 goals / match - Cerro Porteño
Olimpia scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Cerro Porteño keeps a clean sheet in 46% (12 of 26 matches).
Cerro Porteño scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Olimpia keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Olimpia
Over / Under - Cerro Porteño
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cerro Porteño is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Olimpia · 1.58 pts / match - Cerro Porteño
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Olimpia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cerro Porteño - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Olimpia
Cerro Porteño
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Olimpia | Liga | Cerro Porteño | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.42 | 2.47 | ▼ 2.31 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 53% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 45% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 28% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 63% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 80% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Olimpia 3 - 1 - 1 Cerro Porteño. Average goals 2.80, both teams scored in 80% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Olimpia vs Cerro Porteño?
The Division Profesional match finished Olimpia 2:1 Cerro Porteño. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Olimpia and Cerro Porteño?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Olimpia won 3, Cerro Porteño won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Olimpia vs Cerro Porteño?
Olimpia score 1.58 goals per game on average and Cerro Porteño 1.38. The Division Profesional average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Olimpia's matches and 38% of Cerro Porteño's.
What form are Olimpia and Cerro Porteño in?
Over the last 5 games Olimpia have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Cerro Porteño 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Olimpia vs Cerro Porteño?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.