Olimpia vs Guaraní: match statistics
Analysis of available data indicates very even chances for both teams. In the last 5 matches, Olimpia has scored 11 goals but also conceded 11, evidencing defensive instability. Guaraní presents better recent form with two consecutive wins, although they previously recorded three defeats. Both teams have an identical points record (1.2 PPG) and a zero goal difference in recent matches. The lack of detailed home and away statistics complicates a more precise forecast, yet the similarity in form and results suggests a draw as the most probable scenario. A slight advantage for the hosts stems from the home pitch factor, though this may be neutralized by the visitors' growing confidence following two victories.
Olimpia vs Guaraní: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Olimpia play Guaraní in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match date is 25 January 2026 at 22:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Olimpia: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Guaraní: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Olimpia scores 1.62 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. Guaraní scores 1.23 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Olimpia 52%, Guaraní 45%. Over 2.5: Olimpia 43%, Guaraní 41%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Olimpia has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.24. Olimpia: 15.8 shots per match, Guaraní: 11.0.
Match halves
Olimpia: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.19. Guaraní: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Olimpia: 61-75 (11 goals). Guaraní: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 1-0-4. Average goals 2.80, BTTS 40%.
Match description
Analysis of available data indicates very even chances for both teams. In the last 5 matches, Olimpia has scored 11 goals but also conceded 11, evidencing defensive instability. Guaraní presents better recent form with two consecutive wins, although they previously recorded three defeats. Both teams have an identical points record (1.2 PPG) and a zero goal difference in recent matches. The lack of detailed home and away statistics complicates a more precise forecast, yet the similarity in form and results suggests a draw as the most probable scenario. A slight advantage for the hosts stems from the home pitch factor, though this may be neutralized by the visitors' growing confidence following two victories.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Olimpia | Guaraní | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Olimpia is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Olimpia · 1 pts / match - Guaraní
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Olimpia is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.62 goals / match - Olimpia · 1.23 goals / match - Guaraní
Olimpia is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.81 goals / match - Olimpia · 1.05 goals / match - Guaraní
Olimpia scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Guaraní keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).
Guaraní scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Olimpia keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Olimpia
Over / Under — Guaraní
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Olimpia is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.48 pts / match - Olimpia · 1.41 pts / match - Guaraní
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Olimpia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Guaraní - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Olimpia
Guaraní
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Olimpia | Liga | Guaraní | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.43 | 2.44 | ▼ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | • 52% | 51% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 43% | 43% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 29% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | • 62% | 63% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 78% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Olimpia 1 - 0 - 4 Guaraní. Average goals 2.80, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Olimpia vs Guaraní?
The Division Profesional match finished Olimpia 2:1 Guaraní. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Olimpia and Guaraní?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Olimpia won 1, Guaraní won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Olimpia vs Guaraní?
Olimpia score 1.62 goals per game on average and Guaraní 1.23. The Division Profesional average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Olimpia's matches and 45% of Guaraní's.
What form are Olimpia and Guaraní in?
Over the last 5 games Olimpia have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Guaraní 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Olimpia vs Guaraní?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.