Paraguay - Division ProfesionalData current as of 23 July 2026

Olimpia vs Libertad: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Olimpia vs Libertad: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Olimpia play Libertad in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match date is 26 July 2026 at 21:00.

Current form

Olimpia: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Libertad: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Olimpia scores 1.62 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. Libertad scores 1.55 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.44 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Olimpia 52%, Libertad 41%. Over 2.5: Olimpia 43%, Libertad 45%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Olimpia has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.50. Olimpia: 15.8 shots per match, Libertad: 13.9.

Match halves

Olimpia: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.19. Libertad: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.91.

Goals by minute

Olimpia: 61-75 (11 goals). Libertad: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Division Profesional: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

6 H2H matches: 1-3-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.95)
(3.59)
(3.58)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.62Goals scored / match1.55
OlimpiaLibertad
0.81Goals conceded / match1.18
OlimpiaLibertad
58%Average possession54%
OlimpiaLibertad
5.14Shots on target / match5
OlimpiaLibertad

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.81Shots per match13.95
OlimpiaLibertad
5.14Shots on target5
OlimpiaLibertad
10.2%Shot conversion11.1%
OlimpiaLibertad
58%Possession54%
OlimpiaLibertad
1.66xG for1.5
OlimpiaLibertad
1.1xG against1.21
OlimpiaLibertad

Shooting quality

Olimpia: DominantLibertad: Balanced
OlimpiaLibertad
Accuracy (shots on target)33%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Libertad is 43% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Olimpia · 2 pts / match - Libertad

Olimpia
LDLWW
Season result split
67% W19% R14% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-4-3
2.19 pts / match · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Libertad
WWWDL
Season result split
41% W18% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-9
1.41 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-7
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Olimpia is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

1.62 goals / match - Olimpia · 1.55 goals / match - Libertad

Olimpia is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.81 goals / match - Olimpia · 1.18 goals / match - Libertad

Olimpia scoring profile: very strong

Olimpia scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Libertad keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).

Libertad scoring profile: strong

Libertad scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Olimpia keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).

34Goals scored (season)34
OlimpiaLibertad
17Goals conceded (season)26
OlimpiaLibertad
2.43Average goals in match2.73
OlimpiaLibertad
8Goals scored (last 5)12
OlimpiaLibertad
8Goals conceded (last 5)6
OlimpiaLibertad

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal68%
OlimpiaLibertad
48%2 goals36%
OlimpiaLibertad
19%3 goals23%
OlimpiaLibertad
5%4 goals9%
OlimpiaLibertad

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal68%
OlimpiaLibertad
19%2 goals36%
OlimpiaLibertad
5%3 goals14%
OlimpiaLibertad
0%4 goals0%
OlimpiaLibertad

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time18%
OlimpiaLibertad
5%BTTS in both halves9%
OlimpiaLibertad
33%Scored in both halves36%
OlimpiaLibertad

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
OlimpiaLibertad
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
OlimpiaLibertad
80%BTTS - last 560%
OlimpiaLibertad

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

62%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
OlimpiaLibertad
14%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
OlimpiaLibertad
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
OlimpiaLibertad

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
OlimpiaLibertad
48%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
OlimpiaLibertad
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
OlimpiaLibertad

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Olimpia is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.48 pts / match - Olimpia · 1.32 pts / match - Libertad

Olimpia - half-time state
33% leading48% draw19% trailing
Libertad - half-time state
27% leading50% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.48Points per match (1st half)1.32
OlimpiaLibertad
0.43Goals scored (1st half)0.64
OlimpiaLibertad
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
OlimpiaLibertad
0.76Average goals (1st half)1.18
OlimpiaLibertad
71%Clean sheet before half-time68%
OlimpiaLibertad
57%No goal before half-time55%
OlimpiaLibertad

After half-time (2nd half)

2.1Points per match (2nd half)1.41
OlimpiaLibertad
1.19Goals scored (2nd half)0.91
OlimpiaLibertad
0.48Goals conceded (2nd half)0.64
OlimpiaLibertad
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.55
OlimpiaLibertad
57%Clean sheet after half-time55%
OlimpiaLibertad
19%No goal after half-time41%
OlimpiaLibertad

Olimpia - second-half results

57% W38% R5% P
31
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.48
PPG before half-time
Lead holding203%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Libertad - second-half results

36% W32% R32% P
29
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.32
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Olimpia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.00
Goals scored / match0.21.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.02.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-3+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Libertad - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match1.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.81.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Olimpia
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
4
31-45
7
3
46-60
11
4
61-75
7
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Libertad
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
6
5
16-30
6
5
31-45
8
2
46-60
6
6
61-75
6
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.58
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Olimpia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.56
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.79
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Libertad

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
148%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.59
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).

Teams vs league

OlimpiaLigaLibertad
Average goals in match 2.432.44 2.73
Both teams scored 52%51% 41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%43% 45%
Clean sheets 43%29% 32%
Goal before half-time 62%63% 59%
Goal after half-time 86%78% 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.44
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.39
Home goals / match
1.05
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (6): Olimpia 1 - 3 - 2 Libertad. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Libertad
3 : 2
Olimpia
Olimpia
1 : 0
Libertad
Club Libertad
2 : 2
Club Olimpia
Club Olimpia
0 : 0
Club Libertad
Club Olimpia
1 : 1
Club Libertad
Club Libertad
2 : 1
Club Olimpia

FAQ

When do Olimpia and Libertad play?

Olimpia face Libertad on 26 July 2026 in Division Profesional. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Olimpia and Libertad?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Olimpia won 1, Libertad won 2 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Olimpia vs Libertad?

Olimpia score 1.62 goals per game on average and Libertad 1.55. The Division Profesional average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Olimpia's matches and 41% of Libertad's.

What form are Olimpia and Libertad in?

Over the last 5 games Olimpia have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Libertad 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Olimpia vs Libertad?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Olimpia vs Libertad: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.