Olimpia vs Nacional Asunción: match statistics
Olimpia vs Nacional Asunción: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Olimpia played Nacional Asunción in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match was played on 6 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Manuel Ferreira. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Olimpia: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Nacional Asunción: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Olimpia scores 1.67 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Nacional Asunción scores 1.47 and concedes 0.85. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Olimpia 48%, Nacional Asunción 56%. Over 2.5: Olimpia 48%, Nacional Asunción 41%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Olimpia has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.37. Olimpia: 16.1 shots per match, Nacional Asunción: 12.6.
Match halves
Olimpia: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.09. Nacional Asunción: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Olimpia: 61-75 (14 goals). Nacional Asunción: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-3. Average goals 2.57, BTTS 57%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Olimpia have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 10 goals in the process, while Nacional Asunción have recorded 2 wins and scored 7 goals. At home, the hosts win 69% of their matches and average 2 goals, whereas the visitors win 29% of their away games and average 1.18 goals. Olimpia’s edge in chance creation is reflected in their average home xG of 1.77, compared with Nacional’s away figure of 1.33. The hosts concede an average of 0.75 goals per home match, fewer than the visitors’ 1.06 on the road, and have conceded just 2 goals in their last five matches, compared with their opponents’ 4. However, Nacional draw 47% of their away matches, so a share of the points remains a realistic outcome despite Olimpia’s clear advantage.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Although both teams scored in 53% and 59% of their matches this season, Olimpia’s current defensive form supports a BTTS - No pick. The hosts have kept a clean sheet in 47% of their matches and conceded just 2 goals in their last 5 games, averaging 0.4 per match. Nacional average 1.18 goals per game this season, but may struggle to score against a defence conceding an average of 0.65. Olimpia also have a strong chance of finding the net themselves: they average 1.76 goals, while the visitors concede 1.06. In addition, both teams scored in only 40% of the sides’ last 5 matches, reinforcing the scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals: this line has held in 88% of both teams’ matches, despite at least two goals being scored in 76% of each team’s games. Olimpia average 1.76 goals scored but concede just 0.65, limiting Nacional’s chances of pushing the total higher. In their last five matches, the hosts have conceded only 2 goals, while the visitors have averaged 1.4 goals scored. The expected total of 2.37 goals points to a scoreline in the 2–3 goal range rather than a total exceeding the selected line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Olimpia leading at the break and winning at full time: the hosts were ahead after 45 minutes in 4 of their last 5 matches, and in 47% of their matches this season, compared with 18% for Nacional. In their last five matches, Olimpia scored an average of 1.2 goals before half-time and conceded none, strengthening the case for an early lead. Their advantage is also reflected in full-time results: Olimpia have won 65% of their matches, compared with a 29% win rate for the visitors, and score an average of 1.76 goals per match versus Nacional’s 1.18. The hosts also concede an average of just 0.24 goals after half-time, giving them a solid basis for protecting a lead. A half-time draw remains a significant alternative, as Nacional went in level at the break in 59% of their matches, but 1/1 has stronger overall support in the data.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Olimpia | Nacional Asunción | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Olimpia is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Olimpia · 2 pts / match - Nacional Asunción
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Olimpia is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Olimpia · 1.47 goals / match - Nacional Asunción
Olimpia is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.79 goals / match - Olimpia · 0.85 goals / match - Nacional Asunción
Olimpia scores in 85% of matches (28 of 33 matches), while Nacional Asunción keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
Nacional Asunción scores in 85% of matches (29 of 34 matches), while Olimpia keeps a clean sheet in 39% (13 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Olimpia
Over / Under - Nacional Asunción
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Olimpia is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Olimpia · 1.44 pts / match - Nacional Asunción
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Olimpia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nacional Asunción - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Olimpia
Nacional Asunción
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Olimpia | Liga | Nacional Asunción | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.45 | 2.45 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 52% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 46% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 27% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 65% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 81% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): Olimpia 2 - 2 - 3 Nacional Asunción. Average goals 2.57, both teams scored in 57% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Olimpia vs Nacional Asunción?
The Division Profesional match finished Olimpia 1:1 Nacional Asunción. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Olimpia and Nacional Asunción?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Olimpia won 2, Nacional Asunción won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Olimpia vs Nacional Asunción?
Olimpia score 1.67 goals per game on average and Nacional Asunción 1.47. The Division Profesional average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Olimpia's matches and 56% of Nacional Asunción's.
What form are Olimpia and Nacional Asunción in?
Over the last 5 games Olimpia have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Nacional Asunción 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Olimpia vs Nacional Asunción?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.