Olimpija vs Celje: match statistics
Olimpija vs Celje: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Olimpija played Celje in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match was played on 28 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Stožice. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Olimpija: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Celje: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Olimpija scores 1.17 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Celje scores 1.18 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Olimpija 33%, Celje 45%. Over 2.5: Olimpija 33%, Celje 36%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Olimpija has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.56. Olimpija: 14.0 shots per match, Celje: 12.3.
Match halves
Olimpija: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.83. Celje: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Olimpija: 76-90+ (4 goals). Celje: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
PrvaLiga: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-3. Average goals 2.40, BTTS 20%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Olimpija hold a slight edge in front of their home fans: they have won 50% of their home matches, while Celje have won 50% of their away games, but the hosts create more chances. Their average home xG is 2.05, compared with Celje’s 1.50 away from home, and they average 6 and 4 shots on target per match, respectively. Olimpija’s recent form also works in their favour: they scored 11 goals and recorded 3 wins over the past five league rounds, while Celje scored 4 goals and won twice. The gap is not substantial, however: the hosts concede an average of 1.00 goals at home, compared with 1.17 for the visitors away, and both teams keep a clean sheet in 50% of those matches. The greater number of chances created and a clear edge in recent finishing point towards an Olimpija win, although Celje’s solid defence leaves a genuine possibility of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Over the season, both teams scored in 40% of Olimpija’s matches and 50% of Celje’s, providing a slightly stronger indication that at least one side may fail to score. In their last 5 matches, those rates were 60% and just 20%, respectively, while Celje averaged 0.8 goals in that period compared with Olimpija’s 2.2. The BTTS - No pick is also supported by clean sheets in 50% of Celje’s matches and 40% of Olimpija’s. However, there is still a realistic chance that both teams will score: average xG stands at 1.63 for the hosts and 1.50 for the visitors, so the edge for this selection is slight. BTTS - No means at least one team does not score; it does not necessarily mean a 0-0 draw.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Under 3.5 goals landed in 80% of Olimpija’s home matches and 67% of Celje’s away matches, supporting this line. Olimpija concede an average of 0.8 goals, while Celje score 1.33 goals away from home, making a very high tally for the visitors difficult to expect. The hosts average 1.0 goal at home, although their xG stands at 1.63, pointing to scope for improved finishing. Caution is warranted, as Olimpija’s last five matches averaged 3.4 goals, with at least three goals scored in 80% of them. Even so, a projected total of 2.50 goals and both teams’ season-long results give Under 3.5 goals the edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time followed by an Olimpija win appears the most likely outcome, although Celje’s strong starts make this pick uncertain. In their last five matches, Olimpija were level at the break three times, while their opponents scored an average of just 0.4 goals in the first half. After the break, the hosts won 60% of their home matches and did not lose a single second half, while Celje won that half in 33% of their away matches. Recent form also supports a turnaround: Olimpija averaged 2.2 goals across their last five matches compared with Celje’s 0.8, and scored 1.6 goals after half-time compared with their opponents’ 0.4. An alternative is Celje leading at the break and holding on for the win, as the visitors were ahead at half-time in 50% of their away matches, while Olimpija were trailing at that point in 60% of their home games.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Olimpija | Celje | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Olimpija is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Olimpija · 1.4 pts / match - Celje
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Olimpija is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Olimpija · 1 goals / match - Celje
Olimpija scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Celje keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 matches).
Celje scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Olimpija keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Olimpija
Over / Under - Celje
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Celje is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Olimpija · 1.45 pts / match - Celje
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Olimpija - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Celje - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Olimpija
Celje
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Olimpija | Liga | Celje | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.08 | 2.63 | ▼ 2.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 50% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 48% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 31% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 73% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 77% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Olimpija 1 - 1 - 3 Celje. Average goals 2.40, both teams scored in 20% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Olimpija vs Celje?
The PrvaLiga match finished Olimpija 1:1 Celje. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Olimpija and Celje?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Olimpija won 1, Celje won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Olimpija vs Celje?
Olimpija score 1.17 goals per game on average and Celje 1.18. The PrvaLiga average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Olimpija's matches and 45% of Celje's.
What form are Olimpija and Celje in?
Over the last 5 games Olimpija have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Celje 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Olimpija vs Celje?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Olimpija vs Celje: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.