Olimpija vs Mura: match statistics
Olimpija are the clear favorite in this match, which is confirmed by both home statistics and the current form of both teams. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches and show solid performance at home with a 44% win rate and an average of 1.11 goals scored and 1.56 goals conceded per match. Mura, on the other hand, have not won any away match this season (0% win rate), losing as many as 78% of their away games and recording a series of 5 consecutive defeats in away matches. The visitors also have the weakest away offense with an average of only 0.78 goals per match and as many as 56% of matches without a scored goal, while also failing to keep any clean sheet. The difference in expected goals (xG) also speaks in favor of Olimpija (1.61 vs 1.33), suggesting the hosts' qualitative advantage. Taking all these factors into account, Olimpija's victory is the most likely outcome, although the hosts' weaker home form (44% defeats) leaves a small chance for a draw or an upset.
Olimpija vs Mura: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Olimpija played Mura in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Olimpija: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Mura: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Olimpija scores 1.28 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Mura scores 1.06 and concedes 1.56. League average: 3.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Olimpija 56%, Mura 50%. Over 2.5: Olimpija 50%, Mura 50%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Olimpija has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.35. Olimpija: 11.5 shots per match, Mura: 10.3.
Match halves
Olimpija: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.44. Mura: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Olimpija: 16-30 (8 goals). Mura: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
PrvaLiga: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Olimpija are the clear favorite in this match, which is confirmed by both home statistics and the current form of both teams. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches and show solid performance at home with a 44% win rate and an average of 1.11 goals scored and 1.56 goals conceded per match. Mura, on the other hand, have not won any away match this season (0% win rate), losing as many as 78% of their away games and recording a series of 5 consecutive defeats in away matches. The visitors also have the weakest away offense with an average of only 0.78 goals per match and as many as 56% of matches without a scored goal, while also failing to keep any clean sheet. The difference in expected goals (xG) also speaks in favor of Olimpija (1.61 vs 1.33), suggesting the hosts' qualitative advantage. Taking all these factors into account, Olimpija's victory is the most likely outcome, although the hosts' weaker home form (44% defeats) leaves a small chance for a draw or an upset.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Olimpija | Mura | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Olimpija is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Olimpija · 0.8 pts / match - Mura
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Olimpija is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.28 goals / match - Olimpija · 1.06 goals / match - Mura
Olimpija is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Olimpija · 1.56 goals / match - Mura
Olimpija scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Mura keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
Mura scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while Olimpija keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Olimpija
Over / Under - Mura
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Olimpija is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.78 pts / match - Olimpija · 1.11 pts / match - Mura
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Olimpija - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 39%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mura - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Olimpija
Mura
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Olimpija | Liga | Mura | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.56 | 3.09 | ▼ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 64% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 21% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 78% | 86% | ▼ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Olimpija 2 - 0 - 0 Mura. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Olimpija vs Mura?
The PrvaLiga match finished Olimpija 1:0 Mura. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Olimpija and Mura?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Olimpija won 2, Mura won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Olimpija vs Mura?
Olimpija score 1.28 goals per game on average and Mura 1.06. The PrvaLiga average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Olimpija's matches and 50% of Mura's.
What form are Olimpija and Mura in?
Over the last 5 games Olimpija have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Mura 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Olimpija vs Mura?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.