Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos: match statistics

Atromitos sit 4th, while Olympiakos are 10th, and the difference in recent attacking form is clear: the visitors have scored 13 goals in five matches compared with the hosts’ meagre 3. Atromitos averaged 2.6 goals per game during this period, while also conceding 1.6, which points to an open yet offensively dangerous style. Olympiakos have lost 2 of their last 5 matches and collected just 1 point per game, with a 3:4 goal record, so their attack currently offers less solid grounds for confidence. The visitors have also suffered 3 defeats in five appearances, but they won 2 matches and averaged 1.2 points, while their significantly greater scoring potential tips the forecast in their favour. Atromitos’ defence is not flawless, leaving the hosts with a realistic chance of a draw; however, an away win remains the most likely outcome.

The BTTS signal is mixed: Atromitos saw both teams score in 60% of their last five matches, while Olympiakos recorded this outcome in only 40%. The home side scored just 3 goals during this period, averaging 0.6 per match, which significantly reduces the likelihood of both teams meeting the scoring requirement. Atromitos have been considerably more effective in attack, averaging 2.6 goals and scoring 13 times in five appearances, while Olympiakos conceded only 0.8 goals per match. Despite similar xG figures—1.46 for Olympiakos and 1.52 for Atromitos—the hosts’ low actual scoring efficiency marginally favors the BTTS - No scenario, meaning that at least one team is expected not to score.

The strongest signal is Over 1.5, as the projected total number of goals stands at 2.80. Atromitos have averaged 2.6 goals scored over their last five matches, with their games going Over 2.5 goals in 100% of cases. Olympiakos have scored just 0.6 goals per game during this period, but their average xG was significantly higher at 1.46, while opponents created chances worth 1.45 xG against them. The visitors have an average xG of 1.52, compared with 1.23 xG conceded by their defense, so at least two goals should be expected, although Over 2.5 remains significantly riskier.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an Atromitos win at the final whistle, as Olympiakos were level at the break in 60% of their last five matches and did not concede a single goal in that period. The hosts scored only 0.4 goals per match before half-time, finding the net just twice in total during the first halves of those five games. Atromitos currently possess significantly greater attacking potential: they average 2.6 goals per match compared with Olympiakos’ 0.6, and add 1.4 goals after the break, compared with just 0.2 for the hosts. The visitors won the second half in 80% of their recent matches, whereas Olympiakos failed to win any and lost 60% of them, which supports a turnaround after a cautious opening. Atromitos led at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches, so an away lead and win remains a close alternative; however, the hosts’ solid defensive record before the break points more strongly towards X/2.