Olympiakos vs AEK Larnaca: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Olympiakos played AEK Larnaca in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 22 November 2025. Final score: 1:4.

Current form

Olympiakos: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. AEK Larnaca: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Olympiakos scores 1.10 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. AEK Larnaca scores 1.80 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.61 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Olympiakos 70%, AEK Larnaca 50%. Over 2.5: Olympiakos 40%, AEK Larnaca 40%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

AEK Larnaca has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.15. Olympiakos: 8.6 shots per match, AEK Larnaca: 12.3.

Match halves

Olympiakos: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.50. AEK Larnaca: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Olympiakos: 16-30 (3 goals). AEK Larnaca: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

First Division: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 4
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

45Possession (%)55
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
6Shots20
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
1Shots on target6
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
0.8xG2.21
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
2Corners10
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
47Dangerous attacks74
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
9Fouls12
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
2Cards0
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.1Goals scored / match1.8
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
1.4Goals conceded / match1
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
50%Average possession58%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
3.6Shots on target / match4.2
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.6Shots per match12.3
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
3.6Shots on target4.2
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
12.8%Shot conversion14.6%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
50%Possession58%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
1.15xG for1.51
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
1.62xG against1.08
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca

Shooting quality

Olympiakos: BalancedAEK Larnaca: Efficient finishing
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
Accuracy (shots on target)42%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

AEK Larnaca is 43% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Olympiakos · 2 pts / match - AEK Larnaca

Olympiakos
DDDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
20% W50% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-5-3
1.10 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-3-0
Last 5 at home
1-3-0
WDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 1.78BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
AEK Larnaca
LWDWW
Season result split
60% W20% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-2-2
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Last 5 away
3-1-1
DLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.11BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AEK Larnaca is 64% better for: goals scored per match.

1.1 goals / match - Olympiakos · 1.8 goals / match - AEK Larnaca

AEK Larnaca is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.4 goals / match - Olympiakos · 1 goals / match - AEK Larnaca

Olympiakos scoring profile: strong

Olympiakos scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while AEK Larnaca keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).

AEK Larnaca scoring profile: very strong

AEK Larnaca scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Olympiakos keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).

11Goals scored (season)18
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
14Goals conceded (season)10
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
2.5Average goals in match2.8
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
7Goals scored (last 5)8
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal90%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
30%2 goals60%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
0%3 goals20%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
0%4 goals10%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca

How often they concede at least...

90%1 goal60%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
50%2 goals20%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
0%3 goals10%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
0%4 goals10%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

39%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time20%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
0%BTTS in both halves20%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
10%Scored in both halves50%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS30%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
80%BTTS - last 560%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AEK Larnaca is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.4 pts / match - Olympiakos · 1.8 pts / match - AEK Larnaca

Olympiakos - half-time state
40% leading20% draw40% trailing
AEK Larnaca - half-time state
50% leading30% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.4Points per match (1st half)1.8
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.8
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
1.1Average goals (1st half)1.2
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
60%Clean sheet before half-time70%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
60%No goal before half-time40%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca

After half-time (2nd half)

0.9Points per match (2nd half)1.9
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)1
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
0.9Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
1.4Average goals (2nd half)1.6
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
30%Clean sheet after half-time50%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
50%No goal after half-time20%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca

Olympiakos - second-half results

20% W30% D50% L
14
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

AEK Larnaca - second-half results

60% W10% D30% L
18
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding120%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Olympiakos - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
AEK Larnaca - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.40
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Olympiakos
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
3
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
3
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

AEK Larnaca
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
3
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.65
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
72%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Olympiakos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
124%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

AEK Larnaca

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
159%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
67%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).

Teams vs league

OlympiakosLigaAEK Larnaca
Average goals in match 2.502.61 2.80
Both teams scored 70%39% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%49% 40%
Clean sheets 10%33% 40%
Goal before half-time 80%71% 70%
Goal after half-time 90%85% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.61
Average goals per match
39%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. AEK LarnacaGoalRiad Bajić
  2. AEK LarnacaGoalHrvoje Miličević
  3. AEK LarnacaGoalWaldo Rubio Martín
  4. AEK LarnacaGoalPere Pons Riera
  5. OlympiakosGoalIasonas Pikis
  6. OlympiakosYellow cardJoão Tavares Almeida
  7. OlympiakosSubstitutionOn: Aloubacar LoucoubarOff: Henrique Martins Gomes
  8. OlympiakosYellow cardAndreas Christou

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Demetris SolomouMatches officiated: 12
4.08Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 257%Home wins17%Draws25%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Olympiakos vs AEK Larnaca?

The First Division match finished Olympiakos 1:4 AEK Larnaca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Olympiakos vs AEK Larnaca?

Olympiakos score 1.10 goals per game on average and AEK Larnaca 1.80. The First Division average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Olympiakos's matches and 50% of AEK Larnaca's.

What form are Olympiakos and AEK Larnaca in?

Over the last 5 games Olympiakos have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and AEK Larnaca 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Olympiakos vs AEK Larnaca?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Olympiakos vs AEK Larnaca: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.