Olympiakos vs AEK Larnaca: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Olympiakos play AEK Larnaca in First Division (Cyprus). The match date is 22 November 2025 at 18:00. Final score: 1:4.

Current form

Olympiakos: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. AEK Larnaca: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Olympiakos scores 0.97 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. AEK Larnaca scores 1.72 and concedes 0.92. League average: 2.64 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Olympiakos 48%, AEK Larnaca 53%. Over 2.5: Olympiakos 42%, AEK Larnaca 42%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

AEK Larnaca has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.21. Olympiakos: 9.2 shots per match, AEK Larnaca: 11.5.

Match halves

Olympiakos: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.42. AEK Larnaca: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

Olympiakos: 31-45+ (9 goals). AEK Larnaca: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

First Division: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 4
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

45Possession (%)55
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
6Shots20
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
1Shots on target6
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
0.8xG2.21
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
2Corners10
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
47Dangerous attacks74
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
9Fouls12
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
2Cards0
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
0.97Goals scored / match1.72
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
1.33Goals conceded / match0.92
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
51%Average possession55%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
3.12Shots on target / match4.5
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.24Shots per match11.53
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
3.12Shots on target4.5
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
10.5%Shot conversion14.9%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
51%Possession55%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
1.21xG for1.47
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
1.47xG against1.2
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca

Shooting quality

Olympiakos: BalancedAEK Larnaca: Efficient finishing
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
Accuracy (shots on target)34%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Olympiakos is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Olympiakos · 1.6 pts / match - AEK Larnaca

Olympiakos
LLWWW
Season result split
30% W30% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-10-13
1.21 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-6-5
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
AEK Larnaca
LWDDW
Season result split
56% W25% R19% P
Season (W-D-L)
20-9-7
1.92 pts / match · goal difference +29
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
9-5-4
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DDLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AEK Larnaca is 77% better for: goals scored per match.

0.97 goals / match - Olympiakos · 1.72 goals / match - AEK Larnaca

AEK Larnaca is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - Olympiakos · 0.92 goals / match - AEK Larnaca

Olympiakos scoring profile: strong

Olympiakos scores in 64% of matches (21 of 33 matches), while AEK Larnaca keeps a clean sheet in 33% (12 of 36 matches).

AEK Larnaca scoring profile: very strong

AEK Larnaca scores in 86% of matches (31 of 36 matches), while Olympiakos keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 matches).

32Goals scored (season)62
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
44Goals conceded (season)33
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
2.3Average goals in match2.64
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
7Goals scored (last 5)8
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal86%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
27%2 goals50%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
6%3 goals19%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
0%4 goals14%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal67%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
36%2 goals17%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
15%3 goals6%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
6%4 goals3%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

43%
League average

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time17%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
0%BTTS in both halves8%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
15%Scored in both halves42%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS31%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
60%BTTS - last 560%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time28%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AEK Larnaca is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.39 pts / match - Olympiakos · 1.86 pts / match - AEK Larnaca

Olympiakos - half-time state
33% leading39% draw27% trailing
AEK Larnaca - half-time state
53% leading28% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.39Points per match (1st half)1.86
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.89
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.36
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
1.09Average goals (1st half)1.25
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
67%Clean sheet before half-time67%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
58%No goal before half-time36%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca

After half-time (2nd half)

1.03Points per match (2nd half)1.61
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
0.42Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
0.79Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
1.21Average goals (2nd half)1.39
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
45%Clean sheet after half-time56%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca
64%No goal after half-time36%
OlympiakosAEK Larnaca

Olympiakos - second-half results

21% W39% R39% P
46
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.39
PPG before half-time
Lead holding91%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 30%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

AEK Larnaca - second-half results

42% W36% R22% P
67
Half-time points
32
Half-time goals
+19
Goal difference (1st half)
58
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding106%

Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Olympiakos - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
AEK Larnaca - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.200.60
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+3-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Olympiakos
ScoredConceded
5
7
0-15
4
5
16-30
9
6
31-45
3
5
46-60
4
5
61-75
7
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.

AEK Larnaca
ScoredConceded
9
3
0-15
12
3
16-30
11
7
31-45
8
1
46-60
8
7
61-75
14
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.47
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-19%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Olympiakos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.59
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

AEK Larnaca

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
146%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).

Teams vs league

OlympiakosLigaAEK Larnaca
Average goals in match 2.302.64 2.64
Both teams scored 48%43% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 42%48% 42%
Clean sheets 27%31% 33%
Goal before half-time 64%73% 81%
Goal after half-time 73%79% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.64
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.46
Home goals / match
1.18
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Olympiakos 0 - 1 - 0 AEK Larnaca. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Olympiakos vs AEK Larnaca?

The First Division match finished Olympiakos 1:4 AEK Larnaca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Olympiakos vs AEK Larnaca?

Olympiakos score 0.97 goals per game on average and AEK Larnaca 1.72. The First Division average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Olympiakos's matches and 53% of AEK Larnaca's.

What form are Olympiakos and AEK Larnaca in?

Over the last 5 games Olympiakos have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and AEK Larnaca 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Olympiakos vs AEK Larnaca?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Olympiakos vs AEK Larnaca: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.