Olympique Marseille vs Lens: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely evenly matched. Olympique Marseille presents impressive home form with 67% of matches won at home and an average of 2.67 goals per match, though their recent overall form raises concerns (1.4 points per match in the last 5 meetings). Lens is leading the table and is in phenomenal shape—5 consecutive victories, conceding just 1 goal in the last 5 matches. The visitors have an identical winning percentage away (67%) as the hosts do at home, suggesting a balance of power. The difference in xG between the two teams is minimal (1.78 vs 1.5), and Marseille holds the advantage in possession (61% vs 49%). Considering Lens' strong defense in recent weeks and the confidence of the hosts playing before their own crowd, the most probable scenario seems to be a draw, although both teams have real chances for victory.
Olympique Marseille vs Lens: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Olympique Marseille played Lens in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Olympique Marseille: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Lens: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Olympique Marseille scores 2.28 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Lens scores 1.78 and concedes 0.72. League average: 2.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Olympique Marseille 44%, Lens 44%. Over 2.5: Olympique Marseille 61%, Lens 61%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Olympique Marseille has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.60. Olympique Marseille: 14.6 shots per match, Lens: 14.3.
Match halves
Olympique Marseille: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.33. Lens: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Olympique Marseille: 76-90+ (12 goals). Lens: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely evenly matched. Olympique Marseille presents impressive home form with 67% of matches won at home and an average of 2.67 goals per match, though their recent overall form raises concerns (1.4 points per match in the last 5 meetings). Lens is leading the table and is in phenomenal shape—5 consecutive victories, conceding just 1 goal in the last 5 matches. The visitors have an identical winning percentage away (67%) as the hosts do at home, suggesting a balance of power. The difference in xG between the two teams is minimal (1.78 vs 1.5), and Marseille holds the advantage in possession (61% vs 49%). Considering Lens' strong defense in recent weeks and the confidence of the hosts playing before their own crowd, the most probable scenario seems to be a draw, although both teams have real chances for victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Olympique Marseille | Lens | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lens is 114% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Olympique Marseille · 3 pts / match - Lens
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Olympique Marseille is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
2.28 goals / match - Olympique Marseille · 1.78 goals / match - Lens
Lens is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Olympique Marseille · 0.72 goals / match - Lens
Olympique Marseille scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Lens keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
Lens scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Olympique Marseille keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Olympique Marseille
Over / Under - Lens
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Olympique Marseille - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lens - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 78%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Olympique Marseille
Lens
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Olympique Marseille | Liga | Lens | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.33 | 2.84 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 50% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 52% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 28% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 69% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Olympique MarseilleSubstitutionOn: Pierre-Emerick Emiliano François AubameyangOff: Amine Ferid Gouiri
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Olympique Marseille 0 - 0 - 1 Lens. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Olympique Marseille vs Lens?
The Ligue 1 match finished Olympique Marseille 3:1 Lens. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Olympique Marseille vs Lens?
Olympique Marseille score 2.28 goals per game on average and Lens 1.78. The Ligue 1 average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Olympique Marseille's matches and 44% of Lens's.
What form are Olympique Marseille and Lens in?
Over the last 5 games Olympique Marseille have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Lens 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Olympique Marseille vs Lens?
The statistical background for Olympique Marseille vs Lens — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.