Olympique Marseille vs Lille: match statistics
Olympique Marseille displays significantly better home form with a 69% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +18. The hosts score an average of 2.54 goals per game at home with only 8% losses, making them a very strong opponent at their own stadium. Lille shows problems in away matches, failing to score in 46% of games, with their win rate being only 12%. The form from the last five matches also favors Marseille (2.0 points per game) compared to Lille (1.4 points). The advantage in possession (59% vs 56%), higher shot accuracy (18% vs 12%), and better xG figures (1.71 vs 1.53) further confirm the hosts' superiority. Taking all these factors into account, Olympique Marseille has a realistic chance of securing three points, although Lille, as a solid team, could cause an upset or secure a draw.
Olympique Marseille vs Lille: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Olympique Marseille played Lille in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Olympique Marseille: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Lille: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Olympique Marseille scores 2.04 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Lille scores 1.54 and concedes 1.27. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Olympique Marseille 46%, Lille 42%. Over 2.5: Olympique Marseille 62%, Lille 38%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Olympique Marseille has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.61. Olympique Marseille: 14.3 shots per match, Lille: 14.0.
Match halves
Olympique Marseille: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.19. Lille: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.12.
Goals by minute
Olympique Marseille: 76-90+ (15 goals). Lille: 76-90+ (21 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Olympique Marseille displays significantly better home form with a 69% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +18. The hosts score an average of 2.54 goals per game at home with only 8% losses, making them a very strong opponent at their own stadium. Lille shows problems in away matches, failing to score in 46% of games, with their win rate being only 12%. The form from the last five matches also favors Marseille (2.0 points per game) compared to Lille (1.4 points). The advantage in possession (59% vs 56%), higher shot accuracy (18% vs 12%), and better xG figures (1.71 vs 1.53) further confirm the hosts' superiority. Taking all these factors into account, Olympique Marseille has a realistic chance of securing three points, although Lille, as a solid team, could cause an upset or secure a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Olympique Marseille | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lille is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Olympique Marseille · 2.2 pts / match - Lille
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Olympique Marseille is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
2.04 goals / match - Olympique Marseille · 1.54 goals / match - Lille
Olympique Marseille scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Lille keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
Lille scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while Olympique Marseille keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Olympique Marseille
Over / Under - Lille
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Olympique Marseille is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Olympique Marseille · 1.35 pts / match - Lille
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Olympique Marseille - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lille - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Olympique Marseille
Lille
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Olympique Marseille | Liga | Lille | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.31 | 2.77 | • 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | • 46% | 47% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 50% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | • 31% | 30% | • 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 70% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Olympique Marseille 0 - 0 - 1 Lille. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Olympique Marseille vs Lille?
The Ligue 1 match finished Olympique Marseille 1:2 Lille. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Olympique Marseille vs Lille?
Olympique Marseille score 2.04 goals per game on average and Lille 1.54. The Ligue 1 average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Olympique Marseille's matches and 42% of Lille's.
What form are Olympique Marseille and Lille in?
Over the last 5 games Olympique Marseille have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Lille 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Olympique Marseille vs Lille?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.