Olympique Marseille vs Metz: match statistics
Olympique Marseille vs Metz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Olympique Marseille play Metz in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 10 April 2026 at 21:05. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Olympique Marseille: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Metz: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Olympique Marseille scores 1.85 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Metz scores 0.94 and concedes 2.24. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Olympique Marseille 50%, Metz 50%. Over 2.5: Olympique Marseille 62%, Metz 62%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Olympique Marseille has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.13. Olympique Marseille: 15.1 shots per match, Metz: 10.1.
Match halves
Olympique Marseille: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.09. Metz: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Olympique Marseille: 76-90+ (17 goals). Metz: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I expect a win for Olympique Marseille. The hosts are 4th in the table and win 64% of matches at home; at their stadium they average 2.43 goals per game with 5.79 shots on target and 14.29 total shots, having scored 55 goals this season. Metz are 18th in the table, have won only 7% of away matches, score 0.86 goals per game on the road, average 2.29 shots on target and failed to score in 43% of away fixtures. Defensively the gap is clear: Marseille concede 1.21 goals at home (xG against 1.14), while Metz concede 2.64 goals away (xG against 2.02); in the last 5 matches the hosts conceded 6 and scored 6, and Metz conceded 8 and scored 3. Considering the advantage in quality of chances (xG 1.7 vs 0.86), efficiency (conversion 17% vs 11%) and possession (58% vs 47%), I assess the probabilities as: home win 78%, draw 14% and away win 8%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Olympique Marseille | Metz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Olympique Marseille is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Olympique Marseille · 0.4 pts / match - Metz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Olympique Marseille is 97% better for: goals scored per match.
1.85 goals / match - Olympique Marseille · 0.94 goals / match - Metz
Olympique Marseille is 70% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Olympique Marseille · 2.24 goals / match - Metz
Olympique Marseille scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Metz keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
Metz scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while Olympique Marseille keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Olympique Marseille
Over / Under — Metz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Olympique Marseille is 145% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.59 pts / match - Olympique Marseille · 0.65 pts / match - Metz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Olympique Marseille - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Metz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 9%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (24). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Olympique Marseille
Metz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Olympique Marseille | Liga | Metz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.18 | 2.83 | ▲ 3.18 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 51% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 53% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 79% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Olympique Marseille 1 - 0 - 0 Metz. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Olympique Marseille vs Metz?
The Ligue 1 match finished Olympique Marseille 3:1 Metz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Olympique Marseille vs Metz?
Olympique Marseille score 1.85 goals per game on average and Metz 0.94. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Olympique Marseille's matches and 50% of Metz's.
What form are Olympique Marseille and Metz in?
Over the last 5 games Olympique Marseille have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Metz 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Olympique Marseille vs Metz?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.