Olympique Marseille vs Nantes: match statistics
Olympique Marseille presents a decisive advantage in all key statistics. The hosts sit in 3rd place with an impressive record of winning 75% of home matches, scoring an average of 3 goals per game while conceding just 1. Marseille dominates in possession (62%) and shot efficiency (20% conversion), maintaining excellent form with a streak of four consecutive home victories. Nantes finds itself in the relegation zone in 17th position, with a disastrous away record: only 13% wins, 50% losses, and an average of just 0.75 goals scored per match against 1.63 conceded. The disparity in offensive quality (xG: 1.84 vs 0.9) and defense (xGA: 1.04 vs 1.96) clearly points to the hosts' dominance. Considering the visitors' poor form (0.8 points per game in the last 5 meetings) and the fact that Nantes fails to score in 50% of away matches, everything points to a secure victory for Olympique Marseille.
Olympique Marseille vs Nantes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Olympique Marseille played Nantes in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 4 January 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Olympique Marseille: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Nantes: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Olympique Marseille scores 2.25 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Nantes scores 0.88 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Olympique Marseille 44%, Nantes 50%. Over 2.5: Olympique Marseille 63%, Nantes 44%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Olympique Marseille has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.02. Olympique Marseille: 14.3 shots per match, Nantes: 9.8.
Match halves
Olympique Marseille: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.44. Nantes: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Olympique Marseille: 76-90+ (11 goals). Nantes: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Olympique Marseille presents a decisive advantage in all key statistics. The hosts sit in 3rd place with an impressive record of winning 75% of home matches, scoring an average of 3 goals per game while conceding just 1. Marseille dominates in possession (62%) and shot efficiency (20% conversion), maintaining excellent form with a streak of four consecutive home victories. Nantes finds itself in the relegation zone in 17th position, with a disastrous away record: only 13% wins, 50% losses, and an average of just 0.75 goals scored per match against 1.63 conceded. The disparity in offensive quality (xG: 1.84 vs 0.9) and defense (xGA: 1.04 vs 1.96) clearly points to the hosts' dominance. Considering the visitors' poor form (0.8 points per game in the last 5 meetings) and the fact that Nantes fails to score in 50% of away matches, everything points to a secure victory for Olympique Marseille.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Olympique Marseille | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Olympique Marseille is 400% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Olympique Marseille · 0.4 pts / match - Nantes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Olympique Marseille is 156% better for: goals scored per match.
2.25 goals / match - Olympique Marseille · 0.88 goals / match - Nantes
Olympique Marseille is 86% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Olympique Marseille · 1.75 goals / match - Nantes
Olympique Marseille scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Nantes keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
Nantes scores in 56% of matches (9 of 16 matches), while Olympique Marseille keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Olympique Marseille
Over / Under - Nantes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Olympique Marseille is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - Olympique Marseille · 1.25 pts / match - Nantes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Olympique Marseille - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nantes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Olympique Marseille
Nantes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Olympique Marseille | Liga | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.19 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 49% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 51% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 28% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 69% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Olympique Marseille vs Nantes?
The Ligue 1 match finished Olympique Marseille 0:2 Nantes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Olympique Marseille vs Nantes?
Olympique Marseille score 2.25 goals per game on average and Nantes 0.88. The Ligue 1 average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Olympique Marseille's matches and 50% of Nantes's.
What form are Olympique Marseille and Nantes in?
Over the last 5 games Olympique Marseille have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Nantes 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Olympique Marseille vs Nantes?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Olympique Marseille vs Nantes: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.