Olympique Marseille vs PSG: match statistics
Olympique Marseille vs PSG: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Olympique Marseille played PSG in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 20 September 2026. Venue: Stade Vélodrome. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Olympique Marseille: 1-0-3, 0.75 points/match. PSG: 1-2-1, 1.25 points/match.
Goal statistics
Olympique Marseille scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. PSG scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Olympique Marseille 25%, PSG 75%. Over 2.5: Olympique Marseille 50%, PSG 75%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
PSG has higher xG: 2.24 vs 1.69. Olympique Marseille: 13.5 shots per match, PSG: 18.8.
Match halves
Olympique Marseille: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.25. PSG: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Olympique Marseille: 46-60 (2 goals). PSG: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PSG have shown clearly more consistent form, collecting 8 points from their last five matches compared with Olympique Marseille’s 3, with the hosts losing 4 of those games. Away from home, PSG create chances worth an average xG of 2.08, higher than Marseille’s 1.82, and also average 17.33 shots per match compared with Marseille’s 14. However, Marseille are highly effective at home, scoring an average of 3 goals and converting 21% of their shots, so PSG are not a risk-free favorite. The Parisian side’s defense looks slightly more reliable, conceding 1.17 xG and 1.33 goals per away match, while the hosts concede an average of 1.5 goals. PSG have not lost any of their three away matches this season, but drew two of them, making a narrow PSG victory the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
PSG are clearly reliable in attack: over their last 5 matches, they averaged 2.4 goals, generated an xG of 2.56, and both teams scored in 80% of those fixtures. Marseille averaged 1.4 goals during this period, but their creative potential at home is high, with an average xG of 2.71, 23 shots, and 10 shots on target per match. The hosts have failed to keep a clean sheet in any match this season, while PSG average 1.67 goals away from home, strongly supporting at least one goal for the visitors. The risk to the pick is Marseille’s low finishing rate of just 4%, as well as the fact that only 40% of their last 5 matches featured goals from both teams. Nevertheless, PSG’s defence concedes an average xG of 1.17, and the hosts should create enough chances. Therefore, the BTTS - Yes scenario is slightly more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as both teams have scored at least once in 100% of their league matches so far. Marseille concede an average of 2.00 goals at home, while PSG have scored as many as 2.40 goals per game in their last five matches, clearly supporting at least two goals. PSG also have very strong recent chance-quality numbers, with an average xG of 2.56, while Marseille have allowed opponents an xG of 1.33 over their last five appearances. The hosts create plenty of chances at home, averaging 23.0 shots and 10.0 shots on target, although their conversion rate is only 4%, which limits their projection to 1.35 goals. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 60% of Marseille’s and 80% of PSG’s last five matches, but the 1.5 line offers a clearly safer edge with a projected total of 3.25 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
PSG are in clearly better form: over their last five matches, they have averaged 2.4 goals and won 40% of their games, while Marseille averaged 1.4 goals and suffered defeats in as many as 80% of their matches. The visitors led at the break in 60% of their last five appearances, whereas the hosts did so on none of those occasions, with PSG averaging 1.0 goal before half-time compared with just 0.4 for Marseille. PSG’s advantage remains significant after the interval, as they average 1.4 goals in the second half and have won 60% of second halves, while Marseille have lost them in 60% of matches. The hosts do create plenty of chances, as reflected by an xG of 2.71 and 23 shots per match, but their conversion rate is only 4%, and they concede an average of 1.6 goals over their last five fixtures. The most logical scenario is therefore an early PSG lead and for them to maintain it until the final whistle: 2/2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Olympique Marseille | PSG | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
PSG is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.75 pts / match - Olympique Marseille · 1.25 pts / match - PSG
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Olympique Marseille scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while PSG keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
PSG scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Olympique Marseille keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Olympique Marseille
Over / Under - PSG
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSG is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Olympique Marseille · 1.5 pts / match - PSG
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Olympique Marseille - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
PSG - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 25% |
| No goal | 75% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Olympique Marseille
PSG
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Olympique Marseille | Liga | PSG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.84 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 59% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 25% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 70% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Olympique Marseille 1 - 0 - 1 PSG. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Olympique Marseille vs PSG?
The Ligue 1 match finished Olympique Marseille 1:2 PSG. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Olympique Marseille and PSG?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Olympique Marseille won 1, PSG won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Olympique Marseille vs PSG?
Olympique Marseille score 1.50 goals per game on average and PSG 1.50. The Ligue 1 average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Olympique Marseille's matches and 75% of PSG's.
What form are Olympique Marseille and PSG in?
Over the last 5 games Olympique Marseille have a 1-0-3 record (0.75 points per game) and PSG 1-2-1 (1.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Olympique Marseille vs PSG?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Olympique Marseille vs PSG: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.