Omonia Aradippou vs AEK Larnaca: match statistics
AEK Larnaca is the clear favorite in this match. The visitors occupy 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins this season and a 64% away win rate, while Omonia Aradippou sits in 8th position with only a 45% home win rate and as many as 55% defeats at their own ground. The form of both teams also favors the visitors – AEK Larnaca has averaged 2.4 points per match in their last 5 games, scoring 11 goals and conceding only 4, while the hosts have managed only 1 point per match with a goal difference of 5:5. Additionally, AEK Larnaca displays higher offensive efficiency with an average of 1.73 goals per away match and a better shot conversion rate (17% vs 10%). The hosts struggle with efficiency – they fail to score in 45% of their home matches, which, given the visitors' solid defense (0.73 goals conceded per match), significantly limits their chances of earning points.
Omonia Aradippou vs AEK Larnaca: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Omonia Aradippou played AEK Larnaca in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Omonia Aradippou: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. AEK Larnaca: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Omonia Aradippou scores 0.82 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. AEK Larnaca scores 1.91 and concedes 0.86. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Omonia Aradippou 27%, AEK Larnaca 55%. Over 2.5: Omonia Aradippou 27%, AEK Larnaca 50%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
AEK Larnaca has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.37. Omonia Aradippou: 10.9 shots per match, AEK Larnaca: 11.9.
Match halves
Omonia Aradippou: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.55. AEK Larnaca: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Omonia Aradippou: 76-90+ (6 goals). AEK Larnaca: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AEK Larnaca is the clear favorite in this match. The visitors occupy 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins this season and a 64% away win rate, while Omonia Aradippou sits in 8th position with only a 45% home win rate and as many as 55% defeats at their own ground. The form of both teams also favors the visitors – AEK Larnaca has averaged 2.4 points per match in their last 5 games, scoring 11 goals and conceding only 4, while the hosts have managed only 1 point per match with a goal difference of 5:5. Additionally, AEK Larnaca displays higher offensive efficiency with an average of 1.73 goals per away match and a better shot conversion rate (17% vs 10%). The hosts struggle with efficiency – they fail to score in 45% of their home matches, which, given the visitors' solid defense (0.73 goals conceded per match), significantly limits their chances of earning points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Omonia Aradippou | AEK Larnaca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AEK Larnaca is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Omonia Aradippou · 2.4 pts / match - AEK Larnaca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEK Larnaca is 133% better for: goals scored per match.
0.82 goals / match - Omonia Aradippou · 1.91 goals / match - AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.23 goals / match - Omonia Aradippou · 0.86 goals / match - AEK Larnaca
Omonia Aradippou scores in 50% of matches (11 of 22 matches), while AEK Larnaca keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
AEK Larnaca scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Omonia Aradippou keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Omonia Aradippou
Over / Under - AEK Larnaca
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEK Larnaca is 101% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Omonia Aradippou · 1.91 pts / match - AEK Larnaca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Omonia Aradippou - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AEK Larnaca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Omonia Aradippou
AEK Larnaca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Omonia Aradippou | Liga | AEK Larnaca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.05 | 2.51 | ▲ 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 38% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 32% | 34% | ▼ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 71% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 79% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Omonia Aradippou 0 - 0 - 1 AEK Larnaca. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Omonia Aradippou vs AEK Larnaca?
The First Division match finished Omonia Aradippou 2:1 AEK Larnaca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Omonia Aradippou vs AEK Larnaca?
Omonia Aradippou score 0.82 goals per game on average and AEK Larnaca 1.91. The First Division average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Omonia Aradippou's matches and 55% of AEK Larnaca's.
What form are Omonia Aradippou and AEK Larnaca in?
Over the last 5 games Omonia Aradippou have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and AEK Larnaca 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Omonia Aradippou vs AEK Larnaca?
The statistical background for Omonia Aradippou vs AEK Larnaca — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.