Omonia Nicosia vs APOEL: match statistics
Omonia Nicosia vs APOEL: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Omonia Nicosia played APOEL in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Omonia Nicosia: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. APOEL: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Omonia Nicosia scores 2.38 and concedes 0.66 goals per match. APOEL scores 1.69 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Omonia Nicosia 34%, APOEL 55%. Over 2.5: Omonia Nicosia 55%, APOEL 55%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Omonia Nicosia has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.69. Omonia Nicosia: 13.6 shots per match, APOEL: 13.4.
Match halves
Omonia Nicosia: half-time lead 62%, second-half goals 1.21. APOEL: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.17.
Goals by minute
Omonia Nicosia: 76-90+ (14 goals). APOEL: 76-90+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Omonia Nicosia is the clear favorite: they sit 1st, boast a 79% home win rate and 0% home loss rate, averaging 2.43 goals scored and only 0.36 conceded per home match. Recent form confirms this: in the last 5 matches Omonia scored 13 goals with a 4W–1D record, averaging 2.6 points per match; APOEL in their last 5 scored 6 goals, won 2 and lost 3, conceded 8 and average 1.2 points per match. Defensively the home side have a clear edge: Omonia record 71% clean sheets at home and average xG against of 0.98, while APOEL have 29% clean sheets away, average xG against 1.19 and concede 1.14 goals away on average. In attack Omonia average 14.29 shots (6.29 on target) with a 17% conversion rate and attacking xG 1.84, whereas APOEL register 12.36 shots (5.07 on target), 15% conversion and attacking xG 1.55, indicating more and higher-quality chances for the hosts. Based on this I tip a home win; estimated probabilities are 70% for Omonia, 18% for a draw and 12% for APOEL.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have season BTTS rates of 53% (Omonia) and 57% (APOEL), indicating a moderate propensity for both sides to score. From xG data: Omonia has average attacking xG 1.82 and APOEL has average xG against 1.19, which together gives Omonia around 1.51 expected goals; conversely APOEL has attacking xG 1.55 with xG against Omonia 1.15, yielding APOEL about 1.35 expected goals. A Poisson model from these values prices BTTS at approximately 58%. Form needs to be considered: Omonia had BTTS in only 20% of their last 5 matches and conceded on average 0.4 goals, while APOEL had 60% BTTS in that period and conceded on average 1.6 goals. In summary, given the season BTTS figures and the xG signal pointing to Goal/Goal, despite Omonia’s recent defensive solidity, I recommend BTTS - Yes with a probability of 58% versus 42% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects a total of 2.85 goals: Omonia 1.50 and APOEL 1.35 (average from home xG 1.82 and away defense 1.19, and away xG 1.55 and home defense 1.15). Season Over 1.5 percentages are 80% for Omonia and 93% for APOEL (average 86.5%), and in the last 5 matches Omonia scored 13 goals (2.6 per game) while APOEL scored 6 goals (1.2 per game), with averages of 5.2 and 5.07 shots on target respectively, so Over 1.5 is a strong signal (rating 87%). Season Over 2.5 rates are 53%/57% (average 55%), but the combined xG_for of both teams 1.82+1.55=3.37 and the modelled 2.85 suggest a slightly higher probability of Over 2.5 than the season linear 55% (rating 58%). Over 3.5 is much less likely: seasonally 20% for Omonia and 36% for APOEL (average 28%), despite BTTS being 53%/57%; therefore the best and strongest signal from the data is over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half analysis favors Omonia: in the last 5 matches Omonia led at the break in 5 of 5 (100%), scoring an average of 2.0 goals by half-time and conceding 0.0, while APOEL in their last 5 away matches led at the break in 2 of 5 (40%) with an average of 0.4 first-half goals. On full-match form recent performance also supports the home side — Omonia won 4 of 5 (80%), averaging 2.6 scored and 0.4 conceded, whereas APOEL in their last 5 have a 40% win rate, averaging 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded. Season-long figures are more balanced (APOEL 1.86 goals per away game versus 1.53 for the hosts and leading at the break in 50% of away games versus Omonia’s 27% at home), but expected xG favors Omonia 1.82 to APOEL’s 1.55 and the recent first-half form is a very strong signal. Therefore the strongest scenario is Omonia leading at the break and winning the match (1/1, 40%), with realistic alternatives being a half-time draw and home win (X/1, 20%) or a full-time draw (X/X, 15%); scenarios with an APOEL win are assessed jointly below 15%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Omonia Nicosia | APOEL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Omonia Nicosia is 117% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Omonia Nicosia · 1.2 pts / match - APOEL
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Omonia Nicosia is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
2.38 goals / match - Omonia Nicosia · 1.69 goals / match - APOEL
Omonia Nicosia is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.66 goals / match - Omonia Nicosia · 1.1 goals / match - APOEL
Omonia Nicosia scores in 90% of matches (26 of 29 matches), while APOEL keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).
APOEL scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Omonia Nicosia keeps a clean sheet in 59% (17 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Omonia Nicosia
Over / Under - APOEL
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Omonia Nicosia is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.1 pts / match - Omonia Nicosia · 1.48 pts / match - APOEL
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Omonia Nicosia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 62% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
APOEL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +10 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Omonia Nicosia
APOEL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Omonia Nicosia | Liga | APOEL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.03 | 2.60 | ▲ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 34% | 41% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 48% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 59% | 32% | • 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 73% | • 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Omonia Nicosia 0 - 1 - 1 APOEL. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Omonia Nicosia vs APOEL?
The First Division match finished Omonia Nicosia 2:0 APOEL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Omonia Nicosia and APOEL?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Omonia Nicosia won 0, APOEL won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Omonia Nicosia vs APOEL?
Omonia Nicosia score 2.38 goals per game on average and APOEL 1.69. The First Division average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 34% of Omonia Nicosia's matches and 55% of APOEL's.
What form are Omonia Nicosia and APOEL in?
Over the last 5 games Omonia Nicosia have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and APOEL 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Omonia Nicosia vs APOEL?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.