Once Caldas vs Alianza Petrolera: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Once Caldas vs Alianza Petrolera: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Once Caldas play Alianza Petrolera in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 17 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Palogrande.
Current form
Once Caldas: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Alianza Petrolera: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Once Caldas scores 1.64 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Alianza Petrolera scores 0.77 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Once Caldas 76%, Alianza Petrolera 50%. Over 2.5: Once Caldas 48%, Alianza Petrolera 36%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Once Caldas has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.15. Once Caldas: 15.0 shots per match, Alianza Petrolera: 11.1.
Match halves
Once Caldas: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.92. Alianza Petrolera: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.36.
Goals by minute
Once Caldas: 76-90+ (12 goals). Alianza Petrolera: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 67%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Once Caldas | Alianza Petrolera | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Once Caldas is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Once Caldas · 0.6 pts / match - Alianza Petrolera
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Once Caldas is 113% better for: goals scored per match.
1.64 goals / match - Once Caldas · 0.77 goals / match - Alianza Petrolera
Once Caldas is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Once Caldas · 1.5 goals / match - Alianza Petrolera
Once Caldas scores in 88% of matches (22 of 25 matches), while Alianza Petrolera keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
Alianza Petrolera scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Once Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Once Caldas
Over / Under - Alianza Petrolera
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Once Caldas is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Once Caldas · 1.09 pts / match - Alianza Petrolera
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Once Caldas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Alianza Petrolera - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Once Caldas
Alianza Petrolera
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Once Caldas | Liga | Alianza Petrolera | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.84 | 2.54 | ▼ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 76% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 47% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 27% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 68% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 80% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Once Caldas 0 - 2 - 1 Alianza Petrolera. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
When do Once Caldas and Alianza Petrolera play?
Once Caldas face Alianza Petrolera on 17 August 2026 in Categoria Primera A at Estadio Palogrande. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Once Caldas and Alianza Petrolera?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Once Caldas won 0, Alianza Petrolera won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Once Caldas vs Alianza Petrolera?
Once Caldas score 1.64 goals per game on average and Alianza Petrolera 0.77. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 76% of Once Caldas's matches and 50% of Alianza Petrolera's.
What form are Once Caldas and Alianza Petrolera in?
Over the last 5 games Once Caldas have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Alianza Petrolera 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Once Caldas vs Alianza Petrolera?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.