Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto: match statistics
Once Caldas presents impressive home form with a 60% win rate and a +6 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts have won four of their last five matches, scoring an outstanding 12 goals in this period. Their advantage in ball possession (59% on average) and high offensive efficiency (2.2 goals per home match) indicate a strong position. Deportivo Pasto, despite a solid overall record, struggles away from home (1.25 goals per match, -1 balance) and displays lower shooting efficiency. The disparity in xG values (2.04 vs 1.27) and shots on target statistics (7.4 vs 4.25) further favors the hosts. Taking all factors into account, Once Caldas has a clear edge, although Deportivo Pasto's experience means a draw also remains a viable option.
Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Once Caldas play Deportivo Pasto in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 14 March 2026 at 00:20. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Once Caldas: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Deportivo Pasto: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Once Caldas scores 1.57 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Deportivo Pasto scores 1.38 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Once Caldas 76%, Deportivo Pasto 52%. Over 2.5: Once Caldas 48%, Deportivo Pasto 52%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Once Caldas has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.30. Once Caldas: 14.3 shots per match, Deportivo Pasto: 12.0.
Match halves
Once Caldas: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.86. Deportivo Pasto: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Once Caldas: 76-90+ (9 goals). Deportivo Pasto: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Once Caldas presents impressive home form with a 60% win rate and a +6 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts have won four of their last five matches, scoring an outstanding 12 goals in this period. Their advantage in ball possession (59% on average) and high offensive efficiency (2.2 goals per home match) indicate a strong position. Deportivo Pasto, despite a solid overall record, struggles away from home (1.25 goals per match, -1 balance) and displays lower shooting efficiency. The disparity in xG values (2.04 vs 1.27) and shots on target statistics (7.4 vs 4.25) further favors the hosts. Taking all factors into account, Once Caldas has a clear edge, although Deportivo Pasto's experience means a draw also remains a viable option.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Once Caldas | Deportivo Pasto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Once Caldas is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Once Caldas · 0.6 pts / match - Deportivo Pasto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Once Caldas is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.57 goals / match - Once Caldas · 1.38 goals / match - Deportivo Pasto
Once Caldas is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Once Caldas · 1.33 goals / match - Deportivo Pasto
Once Caldas scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Deportivo Pasto keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
Deportivo Pasto scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Once Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Once Caldas
Over / Under — Deportivo Pasto
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Pasto is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Once Caldas · 1.52 pts / match - Deportivo Pasto
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Once Caldas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Deportivo Pasto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pasto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Once Caldas | Liga | Deportivo Pasto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.76 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 76% | 53% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 48% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Once Caldas 1 - 0 - 1 Deportivo Pasto. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Once Caldas 4:2 Deportivo Pasto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Once Caldas and Deportivo Pasto?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Once Caldas won 1, Deportivo Pasto won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto?
Once Caldas score 1.57 goals per game on average and Deportivo Pasto 1.38. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 76% of Once Caldas's matches and 52% of Deportivo Pasto's.
What form are Once Caldas and Deportivo Pasto in?
Over the last 5 games Once Caldas have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Deportivo Pasto 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto?
The statistical background for Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.