Once Caldas vs Fortaleza CEIF: match statistics
Once Caldas shows a clear advantage in home matches, where they achieve 33% wins and 67% draws, without losing any game. The hosts demonstrate better offensive efficiency at their own stadium, scoring an average of 1.33 goals with a higher xG rate (1.99 vs 1.31 of the visitors). Fortaleza CEIF has not won any away match this season, achieving only 67% draws and 33% losses, with a negative goal difference (-3). Additionally, the visitors struggle to score goals away (averaging 0.67 goals, 33% of matches without a goal), while the hosts maintain solid home form. Considering Once Caldas' advantage in ball possession (58% vs 56%), better shot conversion (7% vs 5%), and a significantly higher average of shots on target per match (7 vs 2.33), the hosts have a realistic chance of winning, although a draw is also likely due to both teams' high tendency to share points.
Once Caldas vs Fortaleza CEIF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Once Caldas play Fortaleza CEIF in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 21 February 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Once Caldas: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Fortaleza CEIF: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Once Caldas scores 1.57 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Fortaleza CEIF scores 1.16 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Once Caldas 76%, Fortaleza CEIF 74%. Over 2.5: Once Caldas 48%, Fortaleza CEIF 47%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Once Caldas has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.26. Once Caldas: 14.3 shots per match, Fortaleza CEIF: 12.0.
Match halves
Once Caldas: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.86. Fortaleza CEIF: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Once Caldas: 76-90+ (9 goals). Fortaleza CEIF: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Once Caldas shows a clear advantage in home matches, where they achieve 33% wins and 67% draws, without losing any game. The hosts demonstrate better offensive efficiency at their own stadium, scoring an average of 1.33 goals with a higher xG rate (1.99 vs 1.31 of the visitors). Fortaleza CEIF has not won any away match this season, achieving only 67% draws and 33% losses, with a negative goal difference (-3). Additionally, the visitors struggle to score goals away (averaging 0.67 goals, 33% of matches without a goal), while the hosts maintain solid home form. Considering Once Caldas' advantage in ball possession (58% vs 56%), better shot conversion (7% vs 5%), and a significantly higher average of shots on target per match (7 vs 2.33), the hosts have a realistic chance of winning, although a draw is also likely due to both teams' high tendency to share points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Once Caldas | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Once Caldas is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Once Caldas · 1.4 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Once Caldas is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.57 goals / match - Once Caldas · 1.16 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Once Caldas is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Once Caldas · 1.42 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Once Caldas scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Fortaleza CEIF keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
Fortaleza CEIF scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Once Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Once Caldas
Over / Under — Fortaleza CEIF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Once Caldas is 81% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Once Caldas · 0.79 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Once Caldas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fortaleza CEIF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Once Caldas
Fortaleza CEIF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Once Caldas | Liga | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.76 | 2.53 | • 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 76% | 53% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 48% | • 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 27% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 78% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Once Caldas 1 - 0 - 1 Fortaleza CEIF. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Once Caldas vs Fortaleza CEIF?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Once Caldas 4:2 Fortaleza CEIF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Once Caldas and Fortaleza CEIF?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Once Caldas won 1, Fortaleza CEIF won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Once Caldas vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Once Caldas score 1.57 goals per game on average and Fortaleza CEIF 1.16. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 76% of Once Caldas's matches and 74% of Fortaleza CEIF's.
What form are Once Caldas and Fortaleza CEIF in?
Over the last 5 games Once Caldas have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Fortaleza CEIF 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Once Caldas vs Fortaleza CEIF?
The statistical background for Once Caldas vs Fortaleza CEIF — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.