Once Caldas vs Junior: match statistics
Junior exhibits decidedly superior away form, boasting a 100% success rate (2 wins in 2 matches) and an impressive average of 2.5 goals per away game. Conversely, Once Caldas is enduring a poor run at home – 4 draws in their last 5 fixtures and a 0% home win rate this season. The visitors demonstrate higher scoring efficiency (19% shot conversion vs 5% for the hosts) and better overall form with 3 victories in the last 5 matches. Average xG also favors Junior (1.5 vs 2.25 for Once Caldas at home); although the hosts create more chances, they struggle with conversion. Given Junior's away dominance and Once Caldas's failure to win at home, an away victory is the most likely scenario, though a draw remains a possibility due to the hosts' tendency to share the points.
Once Caldas vs Junior: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Once Caldas played Junior in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 12 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Once Caldas: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Junior: 3-0-1, 2.25 points/match.
Goal statistics
Once Caldas scores 1.20 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Junior scores 2.00 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.40 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Once Caldas 100%, Junior 50%. Over 2.5: Once Caldas 20%, Junior 75%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Junior has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.63. Once Caldas: 14.4 shots per match, Junior: 17.3.
Match halves
Once Caldas: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.80. Junior: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Once Caldas: 76-90+ (3 goals). Junior: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Junior exhibits decidedly superior away form, boasting a 100% success rate (2 wins in 2 matches) and an impressive average of 2.5 goals per away game. Conversely, Once Caldas is enduring a poor run at home – 4 draws in their last 5 fixtures and a 0% home win rate this season. The visitors demonstrate higher scoring efficiency (19% shot conversion vs 5% for the hosts) and better overall form with 3 victories in the last 5 matches. Average xG also favors Junior (1.5 vs 2.25 for Once Caldas at home); although the hosts create more chances, they struggle with conversion. Given Junior's away dominance and Once Caldas's failure to win at home, an away victory is the most likely scenario, though a draw remains a possibility due to the hosts' tendency to share the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Once Caldas | Junior | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Junior is 61% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Once Caldas · 2.25 pts / match - Junior
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Junior is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Once Caldas · 2 goals / match - Junior
Once Caldas is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Once Caldas · 1.25 goals / match - Junior
Once Caldas scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Junior keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Junior scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Once Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Once Caldas
Over / Under - Junior
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Junior is 181% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.8 pts / match - Once Caldas · 2.25 pts / match - Junior
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Once Caldas - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Junior - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 75% |
| No goal | 25% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Once Caldas
Junior
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Once Caldas | Liga | Junior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 2.40 | ▲ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 45% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 28% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 64% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 74% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Once Caldas 0 - 1 - 1 Junior. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Once Caldas vs Junior?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Once Caldas 2:1 Junior. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Once Caldas and Junior?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Once Caldas won 0, Junior won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Once Caldas vs Junior?
Once Caldas score 1.20 goals per game on average and Junior 2.00. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Once Caldas's matches and 50% of Junior's.
What form are Once Caldas and Junior in?
Over the last 5 games Once Caldas have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Junior 3-0-1 (2.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Once Caldas vs Junior?
The statistical background for Once Caldas vs Junior — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.