Once Caldas vs Millonarios: match statistics
Once Caldas boasts an impressive home form with a 67% win rate and a +8 goal difference at their stadium. The hosts are in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches overall and averaging 2.5 goals per game at home. Meanwhile, Millonarios have not won a single away match this season (0% away win rate) and have lost a staggering 80% of their away games. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.94 vs 1.37), and additionally, Once Caldas enjoys significantly better ball possession (58% vs 42%) and shot accuracy. The poor away form of Millonarios (sequence: loss-loss-draw-loss-loss) when confronted with Once Caldas's solid home play decisively points to a home victory.
Once Caldas vs Millonarios: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Once Caldas played Millonarios in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Once Caldas: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Millonarios: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Once Caldas scores 1.92 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Millonarios scores 1.58 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Once Caldas 83%, Millonarios 58%. Over 2.5: Once Caldas 50%, Millonarios 67%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Once Caldas has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.54. Once Caldas: 13.8 shots per match, Millonarios: 15.8.
Match halves
Once Caldas: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00. Millonarios: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Once Caldas: 76-90+ (6 goals). Millonarios: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-4-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Once Caldas boasts an impressive home form with a 67% win rate and a +8 goal difference at their stadium. The hosts are in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches overall and averaging 2.5 goals per game at home. Meanwhile, Millonarios have not won a single away match this season (0% away win rate) and have lost a staggering 80% of their away games. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.94 vs 1.37), and additionally, Once Caldas enjoys significantly better ball possession (58% vs 42%) and shot accuracy. The poor away form of Millonarios (sequence: loss-loss-draw-loss-loss) when confronted with Once Caldas's solid home play decisively points to a home victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Once Caldas | Millonarios | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Once Caldas is 44% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Once Caldas · 1.8 pts / match - Millonarios
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Once Caldas is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.92 goals / match - Once Caldas · 1.58 goals / match - Millonarios
Once Caldas scores in 100% of matches (12 of 12 matches), while Millonarios keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 matches).
Millonarios scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Once Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Once Caldas
Over / Under - Millonarios
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Once Caldas is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Once Caldas · 1.5 pts / match - Millonarios
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Once Caldas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Millonarios - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Once Caldas
Millonarios
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Once Caldas | Liga | Millonarios | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 56% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 26% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Once Caldas 0 - 4 - 0 Millonarios. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Once Caldas vs Millonarios?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Once Caldas 1:4 Millonarios. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Once Caldas and Millonarios?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Once Caldas won 0, Millonarios won 0 and 4 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Once Caldas vs Millonarios?
Once Caldas score 1.92 goals per game on average and Millonarios 1.58. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Once Caldas's matches and 58% of Millonarios's.
What form are Once Caldas and Millonarios in?
Over the last 5 games Once Caldas have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Millonarios 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Once Caldas vs Millonarios?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Once Caldas vs Millonarios: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.