One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence: match statistics
One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
One Knoxville played Charlotte Independence in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
One Knoxville: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Charlotte Independence: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match.
Goal statistics
One Knoxville scores 1.17 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Charlotte Independence scores 2.33 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: One Knoxville 50%, Charlotte Independence 67%. Over 2.5: One Knoxville 50%, Charlotte Independence 67%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Charlotte Independence has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.62. One Knoxville: 14.3 shots per match, Charlotte Independence: 17.0.
Match halves
One Knoxville: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50. Charlotte Independence: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
One Knoxville: 16-30 (2 goals). Charlotte Independence: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1). One Knoxville sits 4th versus Charlotte in 11th and features a strong home defence: conceding 0.67 goals per match on average, with xG against of 0.92 and 67% of home matches kept as clean sheets. Charlotte has been impressive offensively in the short term, scoring 13 goals in the last 5 matches (2.6 per match) versus the home side’s 7 goals in that period (1.4 per match), but the visitors have conceded 12 goals in those five games (2.4 per match) and average 2.0 goals conceded on the road. In terms of chance quality the visitors have higher xG (1.89 vs 1.66) and more shots per match (17.5 vs 15.67), yet the absence of away clean sheets (0%) points to weaker defensive organisation. Considering the higher league position of the hosts, their defensive solidity (0.67 goals conceded and 67% clean sheets) and the equal average points per game across the last 5 matches (1.8 each), I assess the probabilities as 55% for One Knoxville, 25% for a draw and 20% for Charlotte.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
One Knoxville at home has season stats: an average of 0.0 goals conceded, 100% clean sheets and season BTTS 0%, which strongly indicates a clean sheet expected. Charlotte, on the other hand, has season BTTS 100% and season averages: scores 1.5 goals and concedes 2.0 goals per match, so they typically score but also often concede. In the last 5 matches both teams produced BTTS in 60% of cases; One Knoxville scored 7 goals (1.4 per match) and conceded 5 (1.0), while Charlotte scored 13 goals (2.6) and conceded 12 (2.4), which shows the last-5 form favors Goal/Goal. xG indicates similar offensive capabilities: xG for One Knoxville 1.74 versus 1.89 for Charlotte, and xG against 1.36 versus 1.40; additionally One Knoxville has 5.0 shots on target and 25% conversion versus 4.0 and 9% for Charlotte, so the home side has an efficiency advantage. Considering One Knoxville’s dominant seasonal signal (100% clean sheets and 0% season BTTS) against Charlotte’s strong but less efficient signal (100% season BTTS with 9% conversion and 12 goals conceded in the last 5), I assess BTTS probability at 35% (Yes) and 65% (No) and recommend 'No' as the stronger pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected goals are 1.57 for One Knoxville and 1.63 for Charlotte, total 3.20; xG-based values: 1.74 (home) and 1.89 (away), xG sum = 3.63 adjusted for defensive xG against (1.36 and 1.40). One Knoxville at home averages 4.0 goals, records 16 shots and 5 on target per game with a 25% conversion, and seasonally has 100% of matches over 1.5, 100% over 2.5 and 100% over 3.5, which strongly increases the likelihood of goals at their venue. Charlotte has xG 1.89 and averaged 2.6 goals in the last 5 matches (13 goals in 5), but season-long over 2.5 is 50% and they concede 2.0 goals per game on average, which gives goal potential alongside inconsistency. A model based on expected 3.20 goals yields roughly a 62% chance for Over 2.5 and about 40% for Over 3.5, however taking season profiles into account (100% over 1.5 for both teams and home side 100% over 2.5) I increase weight toward overs. Therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (Over at 1.5 line) with a 95% indication; Over 2.5 I rate highly (78%) but with less certainty, and Over 3.5 is treated as moderate (40%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Season-long statistics strongly favor One Knoxville: the hosts score an average of 4.0 goals per match and as many as 3.0 goals by Half-Time, they led at the break in 100% of their matches (1 of 1) and have 100% clean sheets this season. Charlotte, meanwhile, averages 1.5 goals per match and 1.0 by Half-Time, while conceding on average 2.0 goals per match and 1.5 by Half-Time, with 0% clean sheets this season, which makes it difficult for them to hold a result. Although xG shows 1.74 for One Knoxville versus 1.89 for Charlotte — meaning the visitors create slightly more expected chances — the hosts’ shot conversion rate of 25% versus 9% and an average of 5.0 shots on target versus 4.0 speak to greater scoring efficiency for the home side. Given these numbers I assign the highest probability, 46%, to the scenario of One Knoxville leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time (1/1); conversely, in the last five matches the hosts led at the break in only 20% and had 80% Half-Time draws, so the scenario of a draw at Half-Time followed by a home win (X/1) is rated at 18%. I attribute low probability to the visitors leading at Half-Time (a total of 13% for scenarios starting with '2'), and to options such as the hosts leading at Half-Time and drawing at Full-Time (1/X) at 8% or draw at Half-Time and draw at Full-Time (X/X) at 10%, because the hosts average 3.0 points per match this season while the visitors average only 0.5 points per match.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| One Knoxville | Charlotte Independence | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.54 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
One Knoxville is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - One Knoxville · 1.33 pts / match - Charlotte Independence
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Charlotte Independence is 99% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - One Knoxville · 2.33 goals / match - Charlotte Independence
One Knoxville is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - One Knoxville · 1.33 goals / match - Charlotte Independence
One Knoxville scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Charlotte Independence keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
Charlotte Independence scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while One Knoxville keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - One Knoxville
Over / Under - Charlotte Independence
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Charlotte Independence is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - One Knoxville · 1.33 pts / match - Charlotte Independence
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
One Knoxville - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Charlotte Independence - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 2.7 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 67% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 67% |
| No goal | 33% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
One Knoxville
Charlotte Independence
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| One Knoxville | Liga | Charlotte Independence | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.75 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 25% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 73% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 75% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): One Knoxville 2 - 1 - 1 Charlotte Independence. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence?
The USL League One match finished One Knoxville 2:1 Charlotte Independence. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between One Knoxville and Charlotte Independence?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches One Knoxville won 2, Charlotte Independence won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence?
One Knoxville score 1.17 goals per game on average and Charlotte Independence 2.33. The USL League One average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of One Knoxville's matches and 67% of Charlotte Independence's.
What form are One Knoxville and Charlotte Independence in?
Over the last 5 games One Knoxville have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Charlotte Independence 1-1-1 (1.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.