One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph: match statistics
One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
One Knoxville played Greenville Triumph in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 29 May 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
One Knoxville: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Greenville Triumph: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
One Knoxville scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Greenville Triumph scores 1.29 and concedes 1.86. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: One Knoxville 60%, Greenville Triumph 57%. Over 2.5: One Knoxville 70%, Greenville Triumph 57%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
One Knoxville has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.51. One Knoxville: 14.2 shots per match, Greenville Triumph: 13.0.
Match halves
One Knoxville: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80. Greenville Triumph: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
One Knoxville: 46-60 (4 goals). Greenville Triumph: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1). One Knoxville sits 3rd versus Greenville’s 13th and holds a season record of 5-3-2 with 15 goals for and 10 against. At home Knoxville averages 16.4 shots, 5.8 on target per game, has average xG 1.84 and shot conversion around 6%, while Greenville away averages 8.67 shots, 2.67 on target, xG 1.08 and conversion around 4%. The visitors have not won away (0% wins), score 0.33 goals per away match and fail to score in 67% of away games; in their last 5 matches they have 1 goal scored and 10 conceded and average 0.2 points per game, whereas Knoxville averages 0.8 points per game over their last 5. Although both teams have conceded in recent matches (One Knoxville 9 in last 5, Greenville 10), the home edge in xG (+0.76), possession (58% vs 47%) and lower share of clean-sheet-less games (20% vs 67%), plus superior shot and accuracy metrics, imply probability estimates of: 70% Knoxville win, 20% draw, 10% away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
One Knoxville at home plays open football: averaging 2.0 goals per game (xG 1.82), 16.25 shots and 6.5 on target, with 100% of their home matches finishing over 2.5 goals and 75% of home games producing BTTS. Greenville Triumph scores only 0.33 goals per game (xG 1.08), averages 8.67 shots with 2.67 on target and a low 4% conversion, and in the last 5 matches has scored a total of 1 goal (0.2 per game) with 20% BTTS, which lowers their offensive output. Still, both teams’ defenses are prone to conceding: One Knoxville concedes 2.25 goals per game this season (last 5: 1.8), and Greenville has recently been conceding 2.0 goals per game, so chances exist at both ends. The key signal is the combination of Knoxville’s strong home efficiency (12% conversion) and tendency for high-scoring home games (100% home matches over 2.5 goals and 75% home matches with BTTS), together with Greenville’s xG of 1.08 — this points more towards BTTS - Yes than No. I assess the probability of BTTS at 65% for Yes and 35% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate One Knoxville to score about 1.62 goals and Greenville about 1.18 goals, for a total expected goals (xG) of 2.80 (average xG: 1.82 and 1.08 compared with xG against 1.41 and 1.27 yielding 1.62/1.18). This level is clearly above the 1.5 line and is supported by data: One Knoxville average 2.0 goals at home with 100% of home matches over 1.5, while Greenville average 0.33 on the road with 67% of away matches over 1.5. The 2.5 line is less definitive — combined xG 2.80 favors Over, but seasonal indicators are mixed (One Knoxville Over 2.5 at home 100% vs Greenville away 0%); in the last 5 matches we have 80% Over 2.5 for the home side and 40% for the away side, leading to an estimated ~65% probability for Over 2.5. The 3.5 line looks unlikely: although One Knoxville had 50% of home games over 3.5, Greenville away have 0%, and the expected 2.80 goals reduce the chance of Over 3.5 to around 30%. Therefore I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I predict the home side will lead at the break, because One Knoxville averages 1.25 goals in the first half while Greenville registers 0.0 goals in the opening 45 minutes; the hosts have 8 first-half goals compared to the visitors' 1. One Knoxville’s attack is clearly superior: xG 1.82 versus 1.08, 6.5 shots on target versus 2.67, and a season scoring average of 2.0 goals versus Greenville’s 0.33, which translates into a higher volume of scoring opportunities. The visitors are in poor form — in their last five matches they record 'lllld' with an 80% loss rate across those five games, and 0% wins this season, so a turnaround is unlikely. Although One Knoxville record both teams to score in 75% of home matches, the aggregate advantage in xG, shots and the hosts’ 50% season win rate point to the strongest scenario: lead at half-time and win at full-time (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| One Knoxville | Greenville Triumph | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
One Knoxville is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - One Knoxville · 0.8 pts / match - Greenville Triumph
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
One Knoxville is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - One Knoxville · 1.29 goals / match - Greenville Triumph
One Knoxville is 86% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - One Knoxville · 1.86 goals / match - Greenville Triumph
One Knoxville scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Greenville Triumph keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
Greenville Triumph scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while One Knoxville keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - One Knoxville
Over / Under - Greenville Triumph
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
One Knoxville is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - One Knoxville · 1 pts / match - Greenville Triumph
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
One Knoxville - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Greenville Triumph - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
One Knoxville
Greenville Triumph
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| One Knoxville | Liga | Greenville Triumph | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 56% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 57% | • 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 25% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 79% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): One Knoxville 2 - 0 - 0 Greenville Triumph. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph?
The USL League One match finished One Knoxville 2:0 Greenville Triumph. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between One Knoxville and Greenville Triumph?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches One Knoxville won 2, Greenville Triumph won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph?
One Knoxville score 1.50 goals per game on average and Greenville Triumph 1.29. The USL League One average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 60% of One Knoxville's matches and 57% of Greenville Triumph's.
What form are One Knoxville and Greenville Triumph in?
Over the last 5 games One Knoxville have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Greenville Triumph 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph?
The statistical background for One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.