One Knoxville vs NY Cosmos: match statistics
One Knoxville vs NY Cosmos: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
One Knoxville played NY Cosmos in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 13 June 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
One Knoxville: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. NY Cosmos: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
One Knoxville scores 1.55 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. NY Cosmos scores 1.40 and concedes 2.40. League average: 2.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: One Knoxville 55%, NY Cosmos 80%. Over 2.5: One Knoxville 64%, NY Cosmos 90%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
One Knoxville has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.48. One Knoxville: 14.1 shots per match, NY Cosmos: 12.4.
Match halves
One Knoxville: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.91. NY Cosmos: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
One Knoxville: 46-60 (5 goals). NY Cosmos: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
One Knoxville (3rd) holds a clear advantage over NY Cosmos (17th): the hosts have 6 wins this season versus Cosmos' 2, and at home they concede 0.83 goals while scoring 1.17 per game, whereas Cosmos on the road score 1.0 and concede 3.0. One Knoxville creates more opportunities — on average 15.83 shots and 5.67 on target at home with xG 1.82, while Cosmos away average 12 shots, 3.4 on target and xG 1.35. In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 6 and conceded 6 (0.0? average 1.2 conceded per game) and average 1.0 point per game, whereas Cosmos have scored 6 and conceded 14 (2.8 conceded on average) and average 0.6 points per game; additionally Cosmos have lost all away matches (100% defeats) and have no clean sheets away (0%). Defensively the hosts look more solid — 50% clean sheets at home and an actual 0.83 goals conceded versus xG against 1.18 suggest an edge over Cosmos, who have xG against 1.64 away. Due to game control (58% possession vs 48%), a higher number of shots on target and the visitors' extremely weak away defence, I forecast a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a very high seasonal tendency for BTTS: One Knoxville 80% and NY Cosmos 80% (league 57%), which strongly increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. One Knoxville averages 1.8 goals scored and concedes 1.8 per match, while NY Cosmos score 1.0 and concede 3.0 (24 conceded this season), which favors goals from both sides. xG confirms the risk of goals from both teams: home xG 1.62 with xG_against 1.68, away xG_for 1.35 with xG_against 1.64, and shots on target 5.0 vs 3.4 and conversion 14% vs 8% translate into approximately 1.8 and 1.0 goals. In the last 5 matches BTTS occurred 60% for the home side and 80% for the away side, and with NY Cosmos having 0% clean sheets expected the both-teams-to-score scenario becomes even more likely. Based on this I assess BTTS - Yes probability at 78% and No at 22%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have 100% of matches this season with at least 2 goals, so Over 1.5 is very likely — I rate it at 98%. The xG-based model (One Knoxville xG = 1.62, NY Cosmos xG = 1.35) and defensive data (Cosmos concede on average 3.0 goals per match, One Knoxville opponents generate on average 1.68 xG against them) produce expected goals of 1.63 for the home side and 1.52 for the visitors, totaling 3.15 goals. One Knoxville averages 5.0 shots on target with a 14% conversion rate, while the Cosmos have 3.4 shots on target and 8% conversion; the visitors have conceded 24 goals this season and conceded 14 in their last 5 matches (avg 2.8). Season over-2.5 shares are 80% for the home team and 100% for the away team, and over-3.5 are 60% and 80% — therefore I would rate Over 2.5 at around 80% and Over 3.5 at around 55%. Based on this, the best and most reliable line to play is Over 1.5, with a strong signal also for Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time a draw is more likely: the home side were level at the break in 60% of matches, while they led in only 20% of games, which is a strong signal for HT X. After 90 minutes the favorites are the hosts — One Knoxville score on average 1.8 goals per game versus 1.0 for NY Cosmos, and the visitors concede on average 3.0 goals per game, which increases the hosts’ chance of victory. Supporting this view are the attacking numbers and the second half: the home team have higher xG (1.62 vs 1.35), more shots on target (5.0 vs 3.4) and better conversion (14% vs 8%), and in second halves they score on average 1.2 goals and have a 60% share of second-half wins. Additionally, the last five matches show visitors’ weakness (wllll) versus the hosts (lldwd), therefore the scenario of a draw at the break and a home win (HT/FT X/1) I assess as most likely. I assign X/1 about a 36% probability, with X/X about 18% and 1/1 about 15% as realistic alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| One Knoxville | NY Cosmos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
One Knoxville is 900% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - One Knoxville · 0.2 pts / match - NY Cosmos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
One Knoxville is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - One Knoxville · 1.4 goals / match - NY Cosmos
One Knoxville is 164% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - One Knoxville · 2.4 goals / match - NY Cosmos
One Knoxville scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while NY Cosmos keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).
NY Cosmos scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while One Knoxville keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - One Knoxville
Over / Under - NY Cosmos
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
One Knoxville is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - One Knoxville · 0.8 pts / match - NY Cosmos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
One Knoxville - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
NY Cosmos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
One Knoxville
NY Cosmos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| One Knoxville | Liga | NY Cosmos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.45 | 2.84 | ▲ 3.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 58% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 59% | ▲ 90% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 24% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of One Knoxville vs NY Cosmos?
The USL League One match finished One Knoxville 3:1 NY Cosmos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before One Knoxville vs NY Cosmos?
One Knoxville score 1.55 goals per game on average and NY Cosmos 1.40. The USL League One average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 55% of One Knoxville's matches and 80% of NY Cosmos's.
What form are One Knoxville and NY Cosmos in?
Over the last 5 games One Knoxville have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and NY Cosmos 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for One Knoxville vs NY Cosmos?
The statistical background for One Knoxville vs NY Cosmos — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.