One Knoxville vs Richmond Kickers: match statistics
One Knoxville demonstrates a clear advantage in key offensive statistics, especially in home matches. The hosts average 1.52 xG at home, while Richmond Kickers generate only 0.74 xG away, indicating a significant difference in the quality of chances created. One Knoxville's form in the last five matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) is clearly better than the visitors' (2-1-2), and they have scored 9 goals in that period. Richmond Kickers have not won any away match this season (100% draws), and their low average possession (23%) and only 1 shot on target per away match suggest problems creating dangerous chances. Although the hosts have a poorer home record (0% wins), their advantage in xG and overall form suggest a victory for them, with the risk of a draw due to the visitors' defensive solidity.
One Knoxville vs Richmond Kickers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
One Knoxville played Richmond Kickers in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 27 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
One Knoxville: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match. Richmond Kickers: 0-1-1, 0.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
One Knoxville scores 1.33 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Richmond Kickers scores 0.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: One Knoxville 67%, Richmond Kickers 50%. Over 2.5: One Knoxville 67%, Richmond Kickers 0%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
One Knoxville has higher xG: 1.60 vs 0.98. One Knoxville: 14.7 shots per match, Richmond Kickers: 8.5.
Match halves
One Knoxville: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.00. Richmond Kickers: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
One Knoxville: 16-30 (2 goals). Richmond Kickers: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
One Knoxville demonstrates a clear advantage in key offensive statistics, especially in home matches. The hosts average 1.52 xG at home, while Richmond Kickers generate only 0.74 xG away, indicating a significant difference in the quality of chances created. One Knoxville's form in the last five matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) is clearly better than the visitors' (2-1-2), and they have scored 9 goals in that period. Richmond Kickers have not won any away match this season (100% draws), and their low average possession (23%) and only 1 shot on target per away match suggest problems creating dangerous chances. Although the hosts have a poorer home record (0% wins), their advantage in xG and overall form suggest a victory for them, with the risk of a draw due to the visitors' defensive solidity.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data from the last 5 matches supports BTTS: One Knoxville and Richmond have high average goals scored (1.8 and 1.6 respectively) and both concede 1.0 goal per game, which favors goals for both sides. The xG metrics also point to realistic scoring chances: One Knoxville generates 1.57 xG over the last 5 matches, while Richmond's defense allows an elevated 1.46 xG (and as much as 2.2 xG over the season). BTTS in the league is frequent (65%), which further increases the base probability of this scenario. The risk for 'YES' comes from One Knoxville's season-long numbers (FTS 100% and BTTS 0%), however, these contradict their current goal-scoring efficiency and superior form data. In summary, most evidence points to at least one goal for both teams.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on xG data indicates approximately 2.63 goals in the match (1.55 vs 1.08), favoring a scenario with at least two goals. One Knoxville generates solid offensive numbers (season xG for 1.21 and 1.57 in the last 5), while Richmond has a very high season xG against (2.2), which boosts the home team's goal potential. On the other hand, the risk of a low-scoring outcome stems from the hosts' historically low conversion rate (0%) and the fact that both teams have more often stayed under 2.5 goals seasonally (Under 2.5: 100% on both sides). However, the last 5 matches show a significantly higher goal tempo (averaging 1.8 and 1.6 goals scored and Over 2.5: 60% vs 20%), which stabilizes the forecast around the league average of 2.71 goals. The strongest and most probable bet is Over 1.5, as it combines the advantage of quality chances (xG) with a high expected outcome and has the highest probability compared to other lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
One Knoxville has a clearly superior chance creation profile: higher xG for (1.21 vs 0.74) and more shots and on-target attempts (11 and 4 SOT vs 6 and 1 SOT), which increases the likelihood of taking a lead and controlling the score. Richmond Kickers appears weaker defensively in the season data (xG against 2.2), raising the probability that the hosts will convert their advantage into goals. In the last 5 matches, One Knoxville has better form (PPG 2.0; 60% wins) than Richmond (PPG 1.4; 40% wins), supporting the scenario of a home win. Half-time trends from the last 5 games also favor One Knoxville (60% lead at HT) against Richmond's greater tendency to trail at the break (40%). Given the league's propensity for first-half goals (71% over 0.5 FH), it is more likely that One Knoxville will take the lead before halftime. Therefore, the strongest signal from the data is the HT/FT 1/1, although the alternative X/1 remains possible due to a potentially more balanced start.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| One Knoxville | Richmond Kickers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
One Knoxville is 166% better for: last-5 form.
1.33 pts / match - One Knoxville · 0.5 pts / match - Richmond Kickers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
One Knoxville is 166% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - One Knoxville · 0.5 goals / match - Richmond Kickers
Richmond Kickers is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - One Knoxville · 1 goals / match - Richmond Kickers
One Knoxville scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Richmond Kickers keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
Richmond Kickers scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while One Knoxville keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - One Knoxville
Over / Under - Richmond Kickers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
One Knoxville is 166% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - One Knoxville · 0.5 pts / match - Richmond Kickers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
One Knoxville - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Richmond Kickers - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 2.3 | 0.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 33% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 67% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 67% |
| No goal | 33% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
One Knoxville
Richmond Kickers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| One Knoxville | Liga | Richmond Kickers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.67 | 2.71 | ▼ 1.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 65% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 53% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 33% | 71% | ▼ 0% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): One Knoxville 0 - 0 - 2 Richmond Kickers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of One Knoxville vs Richmond Kickers?
The USL League One match finished One Knoxville 1:0 Richmond Kickers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between One Knoxville and Richmond Kickers?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches One Knoxville won 0, Richmond Kickers won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before One Knoxville vs Richmond Kickers?
One Knoxville score 1.33 goals per game on average and Richmond Kickers 0.50. The USL League One average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 67% of One Knoxville's matches and 50% of Richmond Kickers's.
What form are One Knoxville and Richmond Kickers in?
Over the last 5 games One Knoxville have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Richmond Kickers 0-1-1 (0.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for One Knoxville vs Richmond Kickers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for One Knoxville vs Richmond Kickers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.