One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity: match statistics
One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
One Knoxville played Spokane Velocity in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
One Knoxville: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Spokane Velocity: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
One Knoxville scores 1.63 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Spokane Velocity scores 1.52 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: One Knoxville 67%, Spokane Velocity 56%. Over 2.5: One Knoxville 67%, Spokane Velocity 63%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
One Knoxville has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.45. One Knoxville: 14.1 shots per match, Spokane Velocity: 12.1.
Match halves
One Knoxville: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.93. Spokane Velocity: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
One Knoxville: 76-90+ (13 goals). Spokane Velocity: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-0. Average goals 2.75, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
One Knoxville have the home advantage, winning 43% of their home matches, while Spokane Velocity lose 42% of their away games. The hosts also create better chances: their average home xG is 1.87 compared with Spokane’s 1.45 away, and they average 5.79 shots on target per match against 3.75 for Spokane. The difference in finishing is reflected in the goals scored: One Knoxville average 1.36 goals at home, while Spokane manage just 0.92 away and fail to score in 33% of those matches. In their last five games, the hosts have won 3 times, scoring 9 goals and conceding 6, while the visitors have recorded 2 wins, scored 8 and conceded 8. Spokane remain a threat, but the hosts’ stronger attacking numbers and slightly better recent form point to a One Knoxville win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in 67% of One Knoxville’s home matches and 42% of Spokane Velocity’s away matches, but each team’s last five games produced this outcome in 80% and 60% of cases, respectively. The hosts average 2.0 goals at home, while the visitors concede 1.33 goals away, making a One Knoxville goal likely. More uncertainty surrounds Spokane, which averages just 0.92 goals away and has failed to score in 33% of those matches. However, an average xG of 1.45 supports the case for them to score, as does the fact that the hosts concede 1.33 goals per home match and keep a clean sheet in only 20% of games. Therefore, I’m backing BTTS - Yes, although Spokane’s weaker away scoring record limits the value of this selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least 2 goals have been scored in 80% of One Knoxville matches and 67% of Spokane Velocity matches, providing the strongest support for Over 1.5 goals. The hosts average 2.0 goals scored, while the visitors concede 1.33; meanwhile, Spokane score 0.92 goals and One Knoxville concede 1.33. The last 5 matches for the two teams have averaged 3.0 and 3.2 goals respectively, so recent form also points to at least two goals. The 2.5 line is less reliable, as 80% of the hosts’ matches go over it, compared with only 42% of the visitors’ matches. Therefore, I’m backing Over 1.5 goals as the strongest signal, with a forecast of 2.9 total goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time followed by a One Knoxville win is the most likely outcome: the hosts were level at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Spokane failed to score before half-time in 4 of 5. Across the season, Knoxville have led at the break in 40% of matches, so taking the lead within the first 45 minutes also remains a realistic possibility. The case for a result after the break is supported by the hosts’ second-half advantage: they average 1.07 goals after half-time compared with Spokane’s 0.42, and Knoxville’s second half has produced at least one goal in each of their last 5 matches. Knoxville win 67% of their matches and score an average of 2.00 goals per game, while Spokane lose 42% and average 0.92 goals. Both teams have the same average xG of 1.45, so the hosts’ advantage is not assured; however, their shot conversion rate of 17% compared with the visitors’ 8% strengthens the X/1 pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| One Knoxville | Spokane Velocity | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Spokane Velocity is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - One Knoxville · 1.6 pts / match - Spokane Velocity
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
One Knoxville is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - One Knoxville · 1.52 goals / match - Spokane Velocity
One Knoxville is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - One Knoxville · 1.33 goals / match - Spokane Velocity
One Knoxville scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while Spokane Velocity keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
Spokane Velocity scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while One Knoxville keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - One Knoxville
Over / Under - Spokane Velocity
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Spokane Velocity is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - One Knoxville · 1.44 pts / match - Spokane Velocity
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
One Knoxville - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Spokane Velocity - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
One Knoxville
Spokane Velocity
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| One Knoxville | Liga | Spokane Velocity | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.77 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 60% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 60% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 23% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 75% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): One Knoxville 3 - 1 - 0 Spokane Velocity. Average goals 2.75, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity?
The USL League One match finished One Knoxville 0:2 Spokane Velocity. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between One Knoxville and Spokane Velocity?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches One Knoxville won 3, Spokane Velocity won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity?
One Knoxville score 1.63 goals per game on average and Spokane Velocity 1.52. The USL League One average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 67% of One Knoxville's matches and 56% of Spokane Velocity's.
What form are One Knoxville and Spokane Velocity in?
Over the last 5 games One Knoxville have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Spokane Velocity 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity?
The statistical background for One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.