One Knoxville vs Union Omaha: match statistics
One Knoxville vs Union Omaha: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
One Knoxville played Union Omaha in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 13 May 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
One Knoxville: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Union Omaha: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
One Knoxville scores 1.50 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Union Omaha scores 1.75 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: One Knoxville 50%, Union Omaha 63%. Over 2.5: One Knoxville 63%, Union Omaha 63%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Union Omaha has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.67. One Knoxville: 14.3 shots per match, Union Omaha: 15.5.
Match halves
One Knoxville: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Union Omaha: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.13.
Goals by minute
One Knoxville: 16-30 (3 goals). Union Omaha: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
One Knoxville (1st) vs Union Omaha (3rd) — despite the visitors having more goals this season (14 vs 12), I forecast a home win. In terms of chance quality One Knoxville at home posts average xG 1.81 and 5.75 shots on target from 16 shots per match, while Union Omaha away records xG 1.50 and 3.67 shots on target from 13 shots. Defensively the hosts also fare better: they concede 0.75 goals per home match and have 50% clean sheets, whereas the visitors concede 1.33 goals away and have 0% clean sheets. In the last 5 matches One Knoxville scored 10 and conceded 9 (averaging 1.6 points per match), while Union Omaha scored 7 and conceded 6 (averaging 1.4 points per match), showing similar form but a home advantage in chance creation. Union Omaha have a higher finishing rate (10% vs 6%), so they can threaten, but superior xG, more shots on target and more solid home defense favour the hosts to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high BTTS rates: One Knoxville season BTTS 60% and Union Omaha 67%, versus a league average of 56%, and in the last 5 matches One Knoxville records 80% BTTS compared to Union Omaha's 60%. Goal statistics support a Goal/Goal outcome — One Knoxville averages 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded per game, Union Omaha 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded, meaning both teams collectively produce 3.33 goals per match on average. xG also points to chances from both sides: One Knoxville generates xG 2.01 with xG against 0.90, while Union Omaha posts xG 1.50 with xG against 1.61, indicating sufficient offensive potential and defensive susceptibility. Additionally, the home side averages 6.0 shots on target from 17.0 attempts, the away team 3.67 on target from 13.0 attempts; Union Omaha has no clean sheets (0%) and recent 5-match tallies of 10 scored and 9 conceded (home) vs 7-6 (away) further reinforce a BTTS - Yes signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Combining One Knoxville’s attacking xG (2.01) with Union Omaha’s xG conceded (1.61) yields an expected ≈1.81 goals for the home side; conversely, 1.50 xG for Union Omaha against 0.90 xG conceded by One Knoxville gives ≈1.20 goals for the away side and a total of ≈3.01. Match data confirm the offensive tendency: One Knoxville averages 2.0 goals per match, Union Omaha 1.33, and the hosts produce on average 17.0 shots and 6.0 on target versus the visitors’ 13.0/3.67. Seasonal over 2.5 rates are 60% for the hosts and 67% for the away team (avg ~63.5%), and in the last 5 matches One Knoxville had over 2.5 in 80% of cases, so I assess the probability of Over 2.5 at about 72%. The 1.5 line is even stronger – season over 1.5 are 80% and 67% (I assess Over 1.5 at ~88%) – while the 3.5 line has less support: 40% and 33%, hence Under 3.5 ~66%. Therefore I recommend a bet on Over 2.5 with a projection of 1.81 goals for One Knoxville and 1.20 for Union Omaha (total 3.01), because xG and historical over percentages indicate a clear edge for the Over side.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time draws dominate: the home team were level at the break in 60% of matches, while Union Omaha were level in 67%, giving an estimated ~63% probability of a draw at half-time. Nevertheless One Knoxville has a clear advantage at full-time — 80% wins this season and an average of 2.6 points per match versus 33% wins and 1.0 point for the visitors; the home xG is 2.01 versus 1.5 for the away side, and average shots on target are 6.0 versus 3.67, indicating greater chance creation and conversion. The second-half tempo is crucial: the hosts average 2.0 goals in the second half and in 80% of matches score more than 1.5 goals after the break, with as many as five goals occurring between the 76th and 90th minutes, so many half-time draws end in their favor. Considering the roughly 63% chance of a draw at half-time and One Knoxville’s strong second-half performance (2.0 goals after the break, xG 2.01), the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1); therefore I assign X/1 35%, X/X 22% as the second realistic outcome, and 1/1 only about 11% due to the low frequency of the home side leading at the break (20%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| One Knoxville | Union Omaha | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
One Knoxville is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - One Knoxville · 2 pts / match - Union Omaha
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Union Omaha is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - One Knoxville · 1.75 goals / match - Union Omaha
One Knoxville is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - One Knoxville · 1.13 goals / match - Union Omaha
One Knoxville scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Union Omaha keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
Union Omaha scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while One Knoxville keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - One Knoxville
Over / Under - Union Omaha
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
One Knoxville - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Union Omaha - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
One Knoxville
Union Omaha
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| One Knoxville | Liga | Union Omaha | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 2.79 | • 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 58% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 25% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 76% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 76% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): One Knoxville 1 - 1 - 0 Union Omaha. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of One Knoxville vs Union Omaha?
The USL League One match finished One Knoxville 1:2 Union Omaha. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between One Knoxville and Union Omaha?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches One Knoxville won 1, Union Omaha won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before One Knoxville vs Union Omaha?
One Knoxville score 1.50 goals per game on average and Union Omaha 1.75. The USL League One average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 50% of One Knoxville's matches and 63% of Union Omaha's.
What form are One Knoxville and Union Omaha in?
Over the last 5 games One Knoxville have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Union Omaha 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for One Knoxville vs Union Omaha?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.