Orange County SC vs Louisville City: match statistics
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Orange County SC vs Louisville City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Orange County SC play Louisville City in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 16 August 2026.
Current form
Orange County SC: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Louisville City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Orange County SC scores 1.56 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Louisville City scores 1.63 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Orange County SC 63%, Louisville City 56%. Over 2.5: Orange County SC 38%, Louisville City 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Louisville City has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.20. Orange County SC: 10.5 shots per match, Louisville City: 16.5.
Match halves
Orange County SC: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88. Louisville City: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Orange County SC: 46-60 (6 goals). Louisville City: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Orange County SC | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Orange County SC is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Orange County SC · 1.6 pts / match - Louisville City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Orange County SC is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Orange County SC · 1.56 goals / match - Louisville City
Orange County SC scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Louisville City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Louisville City scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Orange County SC keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Orange County SC
Over / Under - Louisville City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Orange County SC is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Orange County SC · 0.88 pts / match - Louisville City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Orange County SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Louisville City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Orange County SC
Louisville City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Orange County SC | Liga | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.69 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 67% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Orange County SC 0 - 1 - 1 Louisville City. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Orange County SC and Louisville City play?
Orange County SC face Louisville City on 16 August 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Orange County SC and Louisville City?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Orange County SC won 0, Louisville City won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Orange County SC vs Louisville City?
Orange County SC score 1.56 goals per game on average and Louisville City 1.63. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Orange County SC's matches and 56% of Louisville City's.
What form are Orange County SC and Louisville City in?
Over the last 5 games Orange County SC have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Louisville City 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Orange County SC vs Louisville City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.