United States - USL ChampionshipData current as of 05 September 2026

Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Orange County SC play Sacramento Republic in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 6 September 2026.

Current form

Orange County SC: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Sacramento Republic: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Orange County SC scores 1.56 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Sacramento Republic scores 1.14 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Orange County SC 63%, Sacramento Republic 57%. Over 2.5: Orange County SC 38%, Sacramento Republic 29%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Sacramento Republic has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.20. Orange County SC: 10.5 shots per match, Sacramento Republic: 10.7.

Match halves

Orange County SC: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88. Sacramento Republic: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.79.

Goals by minute

Orange County SC: 46-60 (6 goals). Sacramento Republic: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-3. Average goals 2.83, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.30)
(3.50)
(1.93)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Orange County SCSacramento Republic
1.56Goals scored / match1.14
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
1.13Goals conceded / match1
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
45%Average possession53%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
3.5Shots on target / match3.43
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
Orange County SCSacramento Republic

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.5Shots per match10.71
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
3.5Shots on target3.43
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
14.9%Shot conversion10.7%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
45%Possession53%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
1.2xG for1.36
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
1.62xG against1.38
Orange County SCSacramento Republic

Shooting quality

Orange County SC: Counter-attackingSacramento Republic: Balanced
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
Accuracy (shots on target)33%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.450.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Orange County SC is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Orange County SC · 1.4 pts / match - Sacramento Republic

Orange County SC
DWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
44% W44% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-7-2
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 2.02BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%
Sacramento Republic
LWLWD
Season result split
36% W36% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-4
1.43 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-4-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Orange County SC is 37% better for: goals scored per match.

1.56 goals / match - Orange County SC · 1.14 goals / match - Sacramento Republic

Sacramento Republic is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.13 goals / match - Orange County SC · 1 goals / match - Sacramento Republic

Orange County SC scoring profile: very strong

Orange County SC scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Sacramento Republic keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).

Sacramento Republic scoring profile: very strong

Sacramento Republic scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Orange County SC keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).

25Goals scored (season)16
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
18Goals conceded (season)14
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
2.69Average goals in match2.14
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
11Goals scored (last 5)4
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
8Goals conceded (last 5)5
Orange County SCSacramento Republic

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal79%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
44%2 goals29%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
19%3 goals7%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
6%4 goals0%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal71%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
38%2 goals29%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
6%3 goals0%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
0%4 goals0%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
Orange County SC - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 16 matches
57%
Sacramento Republic - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.8 of 14 matches
58%
League average

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time14%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
25%BTTS in both halves0%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
31%Scored in both halves0%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
100%BTTS - last 540%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time64%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time7%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Orange County SC is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.38 pts / match - Orange County SC · 0.93 pts / match - Sacramento Republic

Orange County SC - half-time state
25% leading63% draw13% trailing
Sacramento Republic - half-time state
14% leading50% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per match (1st half)0.93
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.36
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
1.13Average goals (1st half)1.07
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
56%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
44%No goal before half-time79%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic

After half-time (2nd half)

1.69Points per match (2nd half)1.79
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
0.69Goals conceded (2nd half)0.29
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
1.56Average goals (2nd half)1.07
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
50%Clean sheet after half-time71%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
38%No goal after half-time43%
Orange County SCSacramento Republic

Orange County SC - second-half results

44% W38% R19% P
22
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding176%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sacramento Republic - second-half results

43% W50% R7% P
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.93
PPG before half-time
Lead holding257%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Orange County SC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5
Sacramento Republic - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal40%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Orange County SC
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
5
0
16-30
3
5
31-45
6
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Sacramento Republic
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
3
6
16-30
1
4
31-45
3
0
46-60
3
3
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.42
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Orange County SC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.85
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Sacramento Republic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

Orange County SCLigaSacramento Republic
Average goals in match 2.692.79 2.14
Both teams scored 63%58% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%52% 29%
Clean sheets 31%26% 29%
Goal before half-time 69%67% 57%
Goal after half-time 75%80% 64%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (6): Orange County SC 1 - 2 - 3 Sacramento Republic. Average goals 2.83, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Sacramento Republic FC
3 : 2
Orange County SC
Sacramento Republic FC
0 : 0
Orange County SC
Sacramento Republic FC
2 : 1
Orange County SC
Orange County SC
2 : 1
Sacramento Republic FC
Orange County SC
0 : 2
Sacramento Republic
Sacramento Republic
2 : 2
Orange County SC

FAQ

When do Orange County SC and Sacramento Republic play?

Orange County SC face Sacramento Republic on 6 September 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Orange County SC and Sacramento Republic?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Orange County SC won 1, Sacramento Republic won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic?

Orange County SC score 1.56 goals per game on average and Sacramento Republic 1.14. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Orange County SC's matches and 57% of Sacramento Republic's.

What form are Orange County SC and Sacramento Republic in?

Over the last 5 games Orange County SC have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Sacramento Republic 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.