Orange County SC vs Tulsa Roughnecks: match statistics
Orange County SC vs Tulsa Roughnecks: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Orange County SC played Tulsa Roughnecks in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 23 August 2026. Final score: 1:5.
Current form
Orange County SC: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Tulsa Roughnecks: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Orange County SC scores 1.56 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Tulsa Roughnecks scores 1.29 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Orange County SC 63%, Tulsa Roughnecks 50%. Over 2.5: Orange County SC 38%, Tulsa Roughnecks 36%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Tulsa Roughnecks has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.20. Orange County SC: 10.5 shots per match, Tulsa Roughnecks: 10.9.
Match halves
Orange County SC: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88. Tulsa Roughnecks: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Orange County SC: 46-60 (6 goals). Tulsa Roughnecks: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-1. Average goals 1.20, BTTS 20%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Orange County SC sit 2nd, while Tulsa are 11th, and over the course of the season the hosts have scored 31 goals compared to just 20 for the visitors. However, the home advantage is moderate: Orange County win 44% of their home matches and average 1.22 goals, compared to Tulsa’s 1.13 goals per away game. The hosts are in poorer form, having lost three of their last five matches and conceded 10 goals, but Tulsa have scored just 2 goals during that period, significantly limiting their attacking potential. The visitors create chances worth an average of 1.35 xG away from home, higher than Orange County’s 1.13 xG at home, but they fail to convert this into goals and draw a blank in 38% of their away fixtures. Their superior league position, greater season-long goal production and slightly more reliable home defence—conceding 1.11 goals per match compared to Tulsa’s 1.38 away from home—all point towards a narrow Orange County victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Orange County saw both teams score in only 27% of their matches this season, well below the league average of 53%. The hosts keep a clean sheet in 55% of their games and concede just 0.64 goals on average, limiting Tulsa’s chances of scoring. Tulsa have scored only 2 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.4 per game, and none of those matches ended with both teams scoring. Although Orange County conceded an average of 2.0 goals during this period, the visitors’ attack also remains weak over the season, as they have failed to score in 38% of their outings. A No Goal scenario for one of the sides is therefore more likely than a Goal/Goal outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: this outcome occurred in 91% of Orange County matches and 75% of Tulsa’s games. The hosts concede just 0.64 goals per match this season and have kept a clean sheet in 55% of their appearances, limiting the visitors’ attacking potential. Tulsa averages 1.13 goals, but has scored only 2 goals in its last five matches—0.4 per game—and has not had a single match with more than 2.5 goals. The teams’ average xG figures suggest a more measured scenario, at approximately 1.24 for the hosts and 1.35 for the visitors, while the projected total of 2.20 goals remains clearly below the 3.5 line. Orange County’s recent matches have been more open, averaging 3.2 goals, but the high success rate of Under 3.5 across the season gives the edge to the Under 3.5 bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to a cautious first half: Orange County were level at half-time in 7 of 11 matches, while Tulsa were level in 3 of 8, with the hosts conceding just 0.09 goals per game before the break. In their last five appearances, Tulsa kept a clean sheet at half-time in all five matches and scored an average of just 0.2 goals in that period, further strengthening the Half-Time/Full-Time draw option. The hosts do have the better defensive record over the season as a whole, conceding an average of 0.64 goals compared with 1.38 for the visitors, but their recent run has seen them concede as many as 2.0 goals per game. In their last five matches, Tulsa allowed opponents just 0.4 goals per game, while their own scoring average stood at 0.4. Therefore, after an evenly matched start, the most likely outcome remains a draw at full-time as well (X/X).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Orange County SC | Tulsa Roughnecks | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Orange County SC is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Orange County SC · 1.4 pts / match - Tulsa Roughnecks
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Orange County SC is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.56 goals / match - Orange County SC · 1.29 goals / match - Tulsa Roughnecks
Orange County SC scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Tulsa Roughnecks keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 matches).
Tulsa Roughnecks scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Orange County SC keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Orange County SC
Over / Under - Tulsa Roughnecks
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tulsa Roughnecks is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Orange County SC · 1.5 pts / match - Tulsa Roughnecks
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Orange County SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tulsa Roughnecks - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Orange County SC
Tulsa Roughnecks
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Orange County SC | Liga | Tulsa Roughnecks | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.69 | 2.79 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 52% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 26% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 67% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Orange County SC 3 - 1 - 1 Tulsa Roughnecks. Average goals 1.20, both teams scored in 20% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Orange County SC vs Tulsa Roughnecks?
The USL Championship match finished Orange County SC 1:5 Tulsa Roughnecks. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Orange County SC and Tulsa Roughnecks?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Orange County SC won 3, Tulsa Roughnecks won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Orange County SC vs Tulsa Roughnecks?
Orange County SC score 1.56 goals per game on average and Tulsa Roughnecks 1.29. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Orange County SC's matches and 50% of Tulsa Roughnecks's.
What form are Orange County SC and Tulsa Roughnecks in?
Over the last 5 games Orange County SC have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Tulsa Roughnecks 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Orange County SC vs Tulsa Roughnecks?
The statistical background for Orange County SC vs Tulsa Roughnecks — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.