Ordabasy vs FC Caspiy: match statistics
Ordabasy vs FC Caspiy: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ordabasy played FC Caspiy in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match was played on 20 June 2026. Venue: Stadion Qajimuqan Muñaytpasov. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Ordabasy: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. FC Caspiy: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ordabasy scores 1.85 and concedes 0.69 goals per match. FC Caspiy scores 0.62 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ordabasy 62%, FC Caspiy 38%. Over 2.5: Ordabasy 54%, FC Caspiy 38%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Ordabasy has higher xG: 1.83 vs 0.95. Ordabasy: 16.0 shots per match, FC Caspiy: 9.1.
Match halves
Ordabasy: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.31. FC Caspiy: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Ordabasy: 76-90+ (10 goals). FC Caspiy: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.21 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ordabasy is the clear favorite: at home they have a 71% win rate, 0% losses and a positive goal difference of +7, and have scored 24 goals this season, 11 of them in the last 5 matches. FC Caspiy sit 16th, with only 2 wins this season and 8 goals scored, and away they average just 0.38 goals and fail to score in 63% of matches. In chance creation the hosts average 18.43 shots and 6.71 on target per home game versus 6.88 shots and 2.13 on target for the visitors; shot conversion is 10% vs 5%, giving Ordabasy a decisive edge. xG confirms the quality of chances: Ordabasy record 2.05 xG at home, while Caspiy register 0.83 xG away; defensively the hosts concede 0.86 goals per home game versus 1.13 conceded by Caspiy on the road. Considering form (Ordabasy 5 wins in last 5 and 3 points average over last 5 vs Caspiy 0.8 points) and the advantage in shots, xG and conversion, I forecast a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Ordabasy have scored 11 goals in the last 5 matches (2.2 per game) with a recent xG_for of 1.46, while FC Caspiy have scored 4 goals in those 5 fixtures (0.8 per game) with xG_for 0.82, indicating a clear home offensive advantage. Seasonally Ordabasy average 1.00 goal per game (24 goals this season) versus 0.38 goals (8) for FC Caspiy, and the hosts average 12.6 shots and 3.6 on target compared to the visitors' 6.88 and 2.13. BTTS rates are asymmetric: Ordabasy have BTTS in 60% of matches both seasonally and in the last 5, whereas Caspiy only 25% seasonally and 40% in the last 5, suggesting the visitors rarely score. Additionally, Caspiy have a low shot conversion of 5% and seasonally score just 0.38 goals per game, while Ordabasy concede only 0.6 goals on average in the last 5 matches, so the probability that the visitors fail to score is higher than the Both Teams To Score scenario. Based on this, I recommend a 'No' (No Goal / clean sheet expected) as the stronger signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and form I project 1.56 goals for Ordabasy and 1.02 for FC Caspiy, totaling 2.58 goals. Supporting data: Ordabasy scored 11 goals (2.2 avg) and conceded 3 (0.6) in their last 5 matches, while Caspiy scored 4 goals (0.8) and conceded 6 (1.2). Season metrics show the home side have 60% of matches with over 1.5 goals, the visitors 38%, and average xG and shots are 1.2 xG and 12.6 shots for Ordabasy versus 0.83 xG and 6.88 shots for Caspiy. With a combined expectation of 2.58, a Poisson distribution gives roughly a 73% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), about 48% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and about 26% for at least 4 goals (Over 3.5). Therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal: Ordabasy have scored 24 goals this season, Caspiy have conceded 17 and the aggregate statistics favor at least two strikes.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the most likely outcome is a draw: in Ordabasy’s last 5 matches the score at the break was level in 60% of cases, with average first-half goals of 0.4 for the home side and 0.2 for the visitors, indicating a low number of goals in the opening 45 minutes. For the full-time result the advantage shifts to Ordabasy – in their last 5 fixtures the hosts won 5/5 (100%), averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, whereas FC Caspiy have only a 20% win rate in their last 5 matches and average 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Additionally Ordabasy create more high-quality opportunities: home xG 1.2 versus 0.83 for Caspiy, and 12.6 shots with 3.6 on target compared to the visitors’ 6.88 shots and 2.13 on target, which increases the likelihood of decisive goals in the second half. As a result the most logical scenario is a draw at the break and a home win by full-time (X/1), hence a strong weighting of X/* variants in the distribution and a recommendation of X/1 as the selection.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ordabasy | FC Caspiy | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ordabasy is 225% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Ordabasy · 0.8 pts / match - FC Caspiy
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ordabasy is 198% better for: goals scored per match.
1.85 goals / match - Ordabasy · 0.62 goals / match - FC Caspiy
Ordabasy is 90% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.69 goals / match - Ordabasy · 1.31 goals / match - FC Caspiy
Ordabasy scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while FC Caspiy keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
FC Caspiy scores in 54% of matches (7 of 13 matches), while Ordabasy keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ordabasy
Over / Under - FC Caspiy
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ordabasy is 72% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Ordabasy · 0.85 pts / match - FC Caspiy
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ordabasy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
FC Caspiy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ordabasy
FC Caspiy
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ordabasy | Liga | FC Caspiy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.54 | 2.21 | ▼ 1.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 52% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 41% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 30% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 62% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 70% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Ordabasy vs FC Caspiy?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Ordabasy 2:0 FC Caspiy. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ordabasy vs FC Caspiy?
Ordabasy score 1.85 goals per game on average and FC Caspiy 0.62. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Ordabasy's matches and 38% of FC Caspiy's.
What form are Ordabasy and FC Caspiy in?
Over the last 5 games Ordabasy have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and FC Caspiy 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ordabasy vs FC Caspiy?
The statistical background for Ordabasy vs FC Caspiy — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.