Ordabasy vs Okzhetpes: match statistics
Ordabasy vs Okzhetpes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ordabasy played Okzhetpes in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Ordabasy: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Okzhetpes: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ordabasy scores 1.60 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Okzhetpes scores 1.80 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ordabasy 60%, Okzhetpes 100%. Over 2.5: Ordabasy 20%, Okzhetpes 60%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Ordabasy has higher xG: 2.14 vs 1.39. Ordabasy: 19.6 shots per match, Okzhetpes: 12.8.
Match halves
Ordabasy: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.00. Okzhetpes: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.40.
Goals by minute
Ordabasy: 76-90+ (3 goals). Okzhetpes: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.19 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ordabasy has a clear advantage in chance creation — averaging 24.33 shots and 9 shots on target per home match, while Okzhetpes records 13 shots and 3.5 on target away; this translates to xG 2.68 for the hosts versus 1.30 for the visitors. The visitors, however, are much more efficient in finishing (conversion 15% vs 7% for Ordabasy), so despite more shots the hosts average 1.67 goals per match and Okzhetpes 2.00. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 10 goals (PPG 2.2) and the visitors 11 goals (PPG 2.6), but Okzhetpes’ defense shows higher xG against — 1.46 away versus 0.96 for Ordabasy. Additionally, Ordabasy maintains 61% possession at home on average (vs 52% for the visitors), records 33% clean sheets at home, while Okzhetpes have yet to keep a clean sheet away. Considering the superior quality of created chances (net xG +1.72 for the hosts) and dominance in shot volume, I tip Ordabasy to win, while leaving a significant probability for a draw and for the visitors to score due to Okzhetpes’ high efficiency.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a season BTTS rate of 100% (Ordabasy 100% and Okzhetpes 100%) and simultaneously 0% clean sheets for both sides, which strongly supports goals from both teams. Average goals scored are 1.67 for the home side and 2.0 for the away side, while average goals conceded are 1.0 for both, so the 1.67 vs 1.0 and 2.0 vs 1.0 comparisons suggest regular scoring by both teams. xG shows similar scoring opportunity potential: home xG 1.45 versus xG against the visitors 1.46, and away xG 1.30 versus xG against the home side 1.72, indicating comparable or favorable chances for both teams. In the last 5 matches the home team scored 10 and conceded 4 (averages 2.0 and 0.8), and the visitors scored 11 and conceded 6 (2.2 and 1.2), with BTTS in the last 5 at 60% for Ordabasy and 100% for Okzhetpes, maintaining the both-teams-to-score trend. Considering both teams’ 100% season BTTS, 0% clean sheets, solid xG and goal averages (1.67 and 2.0), I predict BTTS - Yes at 90% probability and No at 10%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have 100% BTTS and 100% of matches over 1.5 goals this season (BTTS 100%/100%, Over1.5 100%/100%), and the season goals average is 1.67 for Ordabasy and 2.00 for Okzhetpes, which strongly supports at least two goals. xG analysis shows 1.45 xG for the home side and 1.30 xG for the visitors with xG against 1.72 (home) and 1.46 (away); averaging these values yields expected ~1.46 goals for Ordabasy and ~1.51 for Okzhetpes, totaling ~2.97 goals. Season Over 2.5 rates are 67% for Ordabasy and 50% for Okzhetpes, and in the last 5 matches Okzhetpes have 80% Over 2.5, so historical proportions together with the xG sum ~2.97 elevate the probability of Over 2.5. Over 3.5 looks less likely: Ordabasy have 0% of matches over 3.5 this season, Okzhetpes 50%, and the projected total ~2.97 rarely exceeds 3.5. Therefore the best line to play appears to be Over 2.5 — expected 2.97 goals plus 100% BTTS and high season Over1.5 rates give a clear edge to the over on the 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Both teams have a season-long percentage of matches with goals from both sides of 100% (home 100.0%, away 100.0%), which significantly increases the likelihood that both teams will score in the match. Okzhetpes averages 2.00 goals per game versus Ordabasy’s 1.67, while xG is 1.45 for Ordabasy and 1.30 for Okzhetpes, so the away side converts chances into goals more efficiently (2.00 vs 1.67 with xG 1.30 vs 1.45). At half-time the hosts drew in 67% of their matches (drawingAtHTPercentage_home 67.0%), and their average goals by half-time is 0.33 versus 0.5 for the visitors, so a draw at HT is a frequent first-half outcome. The second half favors the visitors: average goals after the break 1.67 (Ordabasy) and 2.00 (Okzhetpes), and in the last 5 matches the away side won the second half in 100% of cases (last5_wins_2hg_percentage_overall_away 100.0%), which speaks to their strength after the break. Based on this, the strongest signal is a draw at half-time and an Okzhetpes turnaround to win after 90 minutes (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ordabasy | Okzhetpes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Okzhetpes is 22% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Ordabasy · 2.2 pts / match - Okzhetpes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Okzhetpes is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Ordabasy · 1.8 goals / match - Okzhetpes
Ordabasy is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Ordabasy · 1 goals / match - Okzhetpes
Ordabasy scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Okzhetpes keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
Okzhetpes scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Ordabasy keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ordabasy
Over / Under - Okzhetpes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ordabasy is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Ordabasy · 1 pts / match - Okzhetpes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ordabasy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Okzhetpes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ordabasy
Okzhetpes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ordabasy | Liga | Okzhetpes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.40 | 2.19 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 51% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 35% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 31% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 60% | 58% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 67% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ordabasy 2 - 0 - 0 Okzhetpes. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ordabasy vs Okzhetpes?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Ordabasy 2:1 Okzhetpes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ordabasy and Okzhetpes?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ordabasy won 2, Okzhetpes won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ordabasy vs Okzhetpes?
Ordabasy score 1.60 goals per game on average and Okzhetpes 1.80. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Ordabasy's matches and 100% of Okzhetpes's.
What form are Ordabasy and Okzhetpes in?
Over the last 5 games Ordabasy have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Okzhetpes 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ordabasy vs Okzhetpes?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ordabasy vs Okzhetpes: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.