Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey: match statistics
Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ordabasy play Yelimay Semey in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 19 July 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Stadion Qajimuqan Muñaytpasov. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Ordabasy: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Yelimay Semey: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ordabasy scores 1.83 and concedes 0.72 goals per match. Yelimay Semey scores 1.47 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ordabasy 56%, Yelimay Semey 65%. Over 2.5: Ordabasy 50%, Yelimay Semey 53%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Ordabasy has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.63. Ordabasy: 16.7 shots per match, Yelimay Semey: 14.2.
Match halves
Ordabasy: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.11. Yelimay Semey: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.94.
Goals by minute
Ordabasy: 76-90+ (11 goals). Yelimay Semey: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1): Ordabasy sits 1st and at home has a 78% win rate with 0% home defeats, and across the season has scored 30 goals and conceded 12. The hosts create better chances — average home xG for Ordabasy is 2.13 versus 1.65 xG for Yelimay on the road, with the hosts averaging 19.22 shots and 7 on target compared to 13.88 shots and 5.63 on target for the visitors. The hosts’ defense is also strong: Ordabasy concedes 0.67 goals per home match and has 44% clean sheets, while Yelimay concedes 1.13 goals per away match and has 25% clean sheets. In the last 5 matches Ordabasy scored 9 goals and won 4 of 5 (an average of 2.4 points per match), whereas Yelimay has 7 goals and a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (1.6 points per match). Although the visitors have a higher shot conversion (13% versus 9% for the hosts), the advantage in shot volume, xG quality and defensive stability favors Ordabasy, so I assign 70% probability to the hosts, 18% to a draw and 12% to Yelimay.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ordabasy | Yelimay Semey | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ordabasy is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Ordabasy · 1.2 pts / match - Yelimay Semey
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ordabasy is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Ordabasy · 1.47 goals / match - Yelimay Semey
Ordabasy is 79% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.72 goals / match - Ordabasy · 1.29 goals / match - Yelimay Semey
Ordabasy scores in 94% of matches (17 of 18 matches), while Yelimay Semey keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
Yelimay Semey scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Ordabasy keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ordabasy
Over / Under — Yelimay Semey
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ordabasy is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Ordabasy · 1.24 pts / match - Yelimay Semey
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ordabasy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Yelimay Semey - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ordabasy
Yelimay Semey
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ordabasy | Liga | Yelimay Semey | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.56 | 2.31 | ▲ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 52% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 29% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 62% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 70% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Ordabasy 1 - 1 - 1 Yelimay Semey. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Ordabasy 3:1 Yelimay Semey. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ordabasy and Yelimay Semey?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Ordabasy won 1, Yelimay Semey won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey?
Ordabasy score 1.83 goals per game on average and Yelimay Semey 1.47. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Ordabasy's matches and 65% of Yelimay Semey's.
What form are Ordabasy and Yelimay Semey in?
Over the last 5 games Ordabasy have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Yelimay Semey 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey?
The statistical background for Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.