Oriente Petrolero vs Real Potosí: match statistics
Oriente Petrolero vs Real Potosí: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Oriente Petrolero played Real Potosí in LFPB (Bolivia). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Oriente Petrolero: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match. Real Potosí: 1-2-0, 1.67 points/match.
Goal statistics
Oriente Petrolero scores 0.67 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Real Potosí scores 1.33 and concedes 0.33. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Oriente Petrolero 33%, Real Potosí 33%. Over 2.5: Oriente Petrolero 33%, Real Potosí 33%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
Real Potosí has higher xG: 1.87 vs 1.03. Oriente Petrolero: 9.3 shots per match, Real Potosí: 19.7.
Match halves
Oriente Petrolero: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67. Real Potosí: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Oriente Petrolero: 61-75 (2 goals). Real Potosí: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LFPB: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win for Oriente Petrolero (1) because their home strengths are clear: at home they have 100% wins, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, with xG of 1.97. Oriente averages 16 shots per game with 7 on target and 59% possession, while Real Potosí away records 21 shots (6 on target) and 47% possession but only 5% shot conversion. Defensively the hosts allow only 0.85 xG against at home, compared to Real’s 1.22 xG against away, indicating higher quality chances created by Oriente despite the visitors’ greater volume. However, Real shows better recent form over the last 5 matches: 2 wins and 3 draws, averaging 1.8 points per game and 9 goals scored, whereas Oriente in those 5 matches has 1 win and 4 losses, averaging 0.6 points per game and conceding 12 goals. Considering the hosts’ superior efficiency and chance quality combined with Real’s solid but less effective attack, I assign the hosts a 50% edge, draw 30% and away 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes with an estimated probability of ~70%. In the last 5 matches the home side conceded 12 goals (avg 2.4 per game), while the away side scored 9 goals (avg 1.8), which strongly indicates the visitors can finish and the hosts are vulnerable at the back. xG values confirm offensive potential on both sides: season xG for the hosts is 1.8 vs 2.01 for the guests, and in the last 5 matches hosts’ xG is 1.22 vs 1.87 for the guests. Despite extreme season-long indicators (hosts season BTTS rate 0% and season clean sheet rate 100% vs guests season BTTS rate 100%), I place more trust in the league-wide BTTS trend of 60% and recent results. Additionally, the number of chances in the box (shots 19 vs 21, on target 4.5 vs 6.0) and a higher conversion rate for the hosts 8% vs 5% for the guests suggest both teams have realistic chances to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Total expected goals from xG are about 3.04, with home expected goals ~1.51 (home attack 1.8 xG vs 1.22 xG conceded) and away ~1.53 (away attack 2.01 xG vs 1.05 xG conceded). A Poisson model with λ=3.04 gives ~80.7% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), ~58.6% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and ~36.2% for 4+ goals (Over 3.5). Additionally, the league averages 3.0 goals per game and 64% of matches are Over 2.5; Real Potosí scored on average 1.8 goals in the last 5 matches, while Oriente conceded 2.4 goals on average in their last 5 (12 conceded), which supports an expectation of more goals. Both teams generate a lot of chances (shots 19 vs 21, shots on target 4.5 vs 6.0 and xG 1.8 vs 2.01), so the strongest and least risky signal from the data is backing Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time (X/X). Real Potosí have drawn 100% of their away matches and 100% of their away first-half results were draws, which provides a strong signal for a draw HT and FT. Oriente Petrolero at home win 50% and draw 50% of matches, lead at the break in 50% of games and have kept 100% clean sheets in home matches, so the hosts rarely lose and often finish matches without conceding. The home xG is 1.8 versus 2.01 for the visitors, with average shots on target 4.5 versus 6.0 and a conversion rate of 8% versus 5%, indicating that the visitors’ creative edge does not necessarily translate into large differences in goals. Additionally, in the last 5 matches the hosts were trailing at half-time in 100% of cases, while the visitors drew at half-time in 67% of their last 5 matches, therefore I estimate X/X at 40%, alternatively 1/1 at 12% and 2/X at 16%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Oriente Petrolero | Real Potosí | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Real Potosí is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Oriente Petrolero · 1.67 pts / match - Real Potosí
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Potosí is 99% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Oriente Petrolero · 1.33 goals / match - Real Potosí
Real Potosí is 303% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Oriente Petrolero · 0.33 goals / match - Real Potosí
Oriente Petrolero scores in 33% of matches (1 of 3 matches), while Real Potosí keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
Real Potosí scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Oriente Petrolero keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Oriente Petrolero
Over / Under - Real Potosí
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Oriente Petrolero - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Real Potosí - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 67% |
| No goal | 100% | 67% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 67% |
| No goal | 67% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Oriente Petrolero
Real Potosí
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).
Teams vs league
| Oriente Petrolero | Liga | Real Potosí | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 3.20 | ▼ 1.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 63% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 67% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 22% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 73% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 90% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Oriente Petrolero vs Real Potosí?
The LFPB match finished Oriente Petrolero 2:0 Real Potosí. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Oriente Petrolero vs Real Potosí?
Oriente Petrolero score 0.67 goals per game on average and Real Potosí 1.33. The LFPB average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Oriente Petrolero's matches and 33% of Real Potosí's.
What form are Oriente Petrolero and Real Potosí in?
Over the last 5 games Oriente Petrolero have a 1-0-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Real Potosí 1-2-0 (1.67 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Oriente Petrolero vs Real Potosí?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.