Oriente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo: match statistics
Oriente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Oriente Petrolero played Real Tomayapo in LFPB (Bolivia). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Oriente Petrolero: 2-0-2, 1.50 points/match. Real Tomayapo: 0-2-2, 0.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Oriente Petrolero scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Real Tomayapo scores 0.25 and concedes 2.75. League average: 3.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Oriente Petrolero 25%, Real Tomayapo 25%. Over 2.5: Oriente Petrolero 25%, Real Tomayapo 50%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 69%.
xG, shots and style
Oriente Petrolero has higher xG: 1.32 vs 0.80. Oriente Petrolero: 11.5 shots per match, Real Tomayapo: 7.0.
Match halves
Oriente Petrolero: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Real Tomayapo: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Oriente Petrolero: 61-75 (2 goals). Real Tomayapo: 61-75 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LFPB: 3.31 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 69%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Oriente Petrolero holds a clear edge: at home they average 2.0 goals per match (average xG 2.07) and concede just 0.5 goals (xG against 0.74), while Real Tomayapo average 0.0 goals and concede 5.0 goals on the road (xG for 0.53, xG against 2.56). The hosts create significantly more chances — around 17 shots per match and 8.5 on target with a 12% conversion rate, whereas the visitors manage only 5.5 shots and 1.0 on target away with a 0% efficiency. Additionally, Oriente have no home matches without scoring (percentage of such matches 0%) and keep 50% clean sheets, while Real have 100% of away matches without scoring and a negative away goal difference of -10. In the last 5 matches the hosts collect an average of 1.2 points per game, compared to Real's 0.4, which, combined with the xG and chance-volume advantage, strongly favors a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Based on the data, I estimate BTTS = No as the more likely scenario — probability ~75%. Real Tomayapo practically do not score: average 0.0 goals this season and only 0.2 goals in the last 5 matches, with 1 goal this season and 1 goal in the last 5, shot conversion 0.0% and just 1.0 shots on target per game. The visitors concede a lot — 11 goals this season and 12 in the last 5 matches (2.4 per game on average), while the season average goals conceded of 5.0 indicates serious defensive issues. Oriente Petrolero have better offensive metrics: 4 goals this season (vs 1 for the visitors), season xG for attack 1.06 and last 5 matches xG 1.41, plus 3.5 shots on target per game, so the home side have a real chance to score. Although the league has a high BTTS share (63%), the season BTTS rates for this matchup are divergent (home 50% vs away 0%, and in the last 5 matches 40% vs 20%), therefore No Goal appears to be the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and defensive analysis point to a higher goal potential: the home team has xG_for 1.06, while Real Tomayapo concedes xG_against 2.56, yielding estimated home expected goals ≈1.81. Visitors have xG_for 0.53 against the home xG_against 1.66, translating to expected away goals ≈1.10; total expected goals ≈2.91. From a Poisson distribution with λ=2.91, the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is about 79%, at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) about 56%, and four or more (Over 3.5) about 33%. Additionally, the home side averages 3.5 shots on target versus 1.0 for the visitors and has higher xG in the last 5 matches (1.41 vs 0.75), while Real Tomayapo has conceded 11 goals this season with seasonConcededAVG = 5.0, reinforcing a higher-scoring scenario. As a result, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 — it has the highest probability (~79%) and is supported by xG, shot metrics, and the opponent's defensive weakness.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Oriente Petrolero hold a clear advantage in chance creation: xG 1.06 versus Real Tomayapo’s 0.53 and an average of 3.5 shots on target versus 1.0, indicating roughly twice as many quality opportunities for the hosts. The visitors are very weak in attack and vulnerable defensively — season average goals for 0.0 and goals conceded 5.0 per match, with xG against them at 2.56, meaning opponents regularly generate significant threat. At Half-Time a draw is most likely: the hosts have recorded 100.0% draws at the break and an average first-half goals of 0.0, whereas after the break Oriente significantly more often scores — in the last 5 matches they averaged 1.0 goal in the second half, and Tomayapo conceded on average 1.8 goals in second halves, with 3 goals against them occurring between the 61st and 75th minutes. For these reasons the strongest signal is a draw at Half-Time and a home win at Full-Time (X/1); a full-time draw or a potential upset by the visitors appears considerably less likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Oriente Petrolero | Real Tomayapo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.11 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Oriente Petrolero is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.5 pts / match - Oriente Petrolero · 0.5 pts / match - Real Tomayapo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Oriente Petrolero is 300% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Oriente Petrolero · 0.25 goals / match - Real Tomayapo
Oriente Petrolero is 175% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Oriente Petrolero · 2.75 goals / match - Real Tomayapo
Oriente Petrolero scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Real Tomayapo keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Real Tomayapo scores in 25% of matches (1 of 4 matches), while Oriente Petrolero keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Oriente Petrolero
Over / Under - Real Tomayapo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Tomayapo is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.25 pts / match - Oriente Petrolero · 0.5 pts / match - Real Tomayapo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Oriente Petrolero - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Real Tomayapo - second-half results
Concedes 1.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.25 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 75% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 25% |
| No goal | 100% | 75% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Oriente Petrolero
Real Tomayapo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).
Teams vs league
| Oriente Petrolero | Liga | Real Tomayapo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 3.31 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 67% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 69% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 19% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 69% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 92% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Oriente Petrolero 1 - 0 - 1 Real Tomayapo. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Oriente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?
The LFPB match finished Oriente Petrolero 3:1 Real Tomayapo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Oriente Petrolero and Real Tomayapo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Oriente Petrolero won 1, Real Tomayapo won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Oriente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?
Oriente Petrolero score 1.00 goals per game on average and Real Tomayapo 0.25. The LFPB average is 3.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Oriente Petrolero's matches and 25% of Real Tomayapo's.
What form are Oriente Petrolero and Real Tomayapo in?
Over the last 5 games Oriente Petrolero have a 2-0-2 record (1.50 points per game) and Real Tomayapo 0-2-2 (0.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Oriente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Oriente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.