Orlando City II vs Columbus Crew II: match statistics
Orlando City II vs Columbus Crew II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Orlando City II played Columbus Crew II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 28 June 2026. Venue: Inter&Co Stadium. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Orlando City II: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Columbus Crew II: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Orlando City II scores 2.33 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Columbus Crew II scores 1.81 and concedes 1.56. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Orlando City II 87%, Columbus Crew II 75%. Over 2.5: Orlando City II 87%, Columbus Crew II 69%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Orlando City II has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.55. Orlando City II: 16.3 shots per match, Columbus Crew II: 13.0.
Match halves
Orlando City II: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.53. Columbus Crew II: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.13.
Goals by minute
Orlando City II: 76-90+ (11 goals). Columbus Crew II: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (Orlando City II) based on their clear offensive advantage at home: Orlando averages 2.67 goals per home match versus Columbus’s 1.50 on the road, with average xG 2.17 vs 1.44. The hosts create significantly more chances — 8.56 shots on target and 18.78 total shots per home game vs 4.50 shots on target and 12.13 for the visitors away, with conversion rates of 14% vs 12%. Both teams have weaker defenses: Orlando concedes 2.11 goals at home, Columbus 2.00 away, so I expect a match with goals (averages 4.78 goals for hosts and 3.5 for visitors). In the last 5 matches both teams have 4 wins, but Orlando has 0% scoreless home games, while Columbus fail to score in 13% of away matches, which further favors the home side. Considering the higher xG output and shot volume of the hosts, I give Orlando a clear, but not overwhelming, edge.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season stats and form favor BTTS: both teams have a season BTTS rate of 75% versus the league average of 62%. In the last 5 matches Orlando City II had BTTS in 100% of games, and Columbus Crew II in 80% (5/5 vs 4/5), which is a strong signal for mutual scoring. Offensively Orlando averages 2.13 goals for the season (3.0 in the last 5), Columbus 1.5 seasonally (2.2 in the last 5); Orlando xG is 1.66 versus Columbus xG against 1.71, and Columbus xG is 1.44 versus xG against Orlando 1.57 — values of 1.4–1.7 that indicate realistic chances of goals from both sides. Additionally the home side averages 5.63 shots on target vs 4.5 for the visitors, conversion rates 15% vs 12% and low clean sheets of 25% (home) and 13% (away), which reduces the likelihood of a No Goal outcome. Considering the season 75% BTTS, recent 100%/80%, low CS and solid xG/shots, I assess the BTTS probability at around 85% and recommend a bet: BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project a total goals figure of about 3.19 (expected_goals_home 1.69, expected_goals_away 1.50), calculated as an average from xG: home xG_for 1.66 vs xG_against_away 1.71 → ~1.69, away xG_for 1.44 vs xG_against_home 1.57 → ~1.50. Orlando City II scores on average 2.13 goals per game with 5.63 shots on target and a 15% conversion rate, conceding 1.13 goals; Columbus Crew II records 1.50 goals with 4.5 shots on target, 12% conversion and concedes 2.00 goals, indicating greater defensive vulnerability from the visitors. Season-long indicators confirm this tendency: Over 1.5 occurred in 88% of both teams’ matches, Over 2.5 in 75% of home games and 63% of away games, while the league average for Over 2.5 is 65%, which supports Over 1.5 and moderately supports Over 2.5. Additionally both teams have BTTS in 75% of matches; in the last 5 games the home side has 100% Over 2.5 and 100% BTTS, the visitors 80% Over 2.5 and 80% BTTS, boosting the probability of at least two goals. Therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (Over 1.5 86%), the 2.5 line has moderate backing (Over 2.5 62%), while Over 3.5 is less certain (Over 3.5 40%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Orlando City II appear as clear favorites: they average 2.5 points per match and win 75% of games, scoring 2.13 goals and conceding 1.13, while Columbus average 1.25 points per match, 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. At half-time season data show the home side led in 38% of matches, draws occurred in 50%, and the away side led only in 13%, although average goals at the break are 0.63 for hosts and 0.75 for visitors. The numbers after the break are key: hosts score on average 1.5 goals in the second half versus 0.75 for visitors, and 88% of the hosts’ matches have at least one goal after the break, which increases the chance of a turnaround in the second half. Additionally xG favors the hosts (1.66 vs 1.44) and they have more shots on target (5.63 vs 4.5), so the most likely outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a home win (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Orlando City II | Columbus Crew II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Columbus Crew II is 8% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Orlando City II · 2.6 pts / match - Columbus Crew II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Orlando City II is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
2.33 goals / match - Orlando City II · 1.81 goals / match - Columbus Crew II
Columbus Crew II is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.8 goals / match - Orlando City II · 1.56 goals / match - Columbus Crew II
Orlando City II scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Columbus Crew II keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).
Columbus Crew II scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Orlando City II keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Orlando City II
Over / Under - Columbus Crew II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Columbus Crew II is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.87 pts / match - Orlando City II · 1.25 pts / match - Columbus Crew II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Orlando City II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Columbus Crew II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Orlando City II
Columbus Crew II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Orlando City II | Liga | Columbus Crew II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.13 | 3.24 | ▲ 3.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 87% | 62% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 87% | 65% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 21% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 75% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 83% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Orlando City II 1 - 0 - 1 Columbus Crew II. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Orlando City II vs Columbus Crew II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Orlando City II 2:2 Columbus Crew II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Orlando City II and Columbus Crew II?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Orlando City II won 1, Columbus Crew II won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Orlando City II vs Columbus Crew II?
Orlando City II score 2.33 goals per game on average and Columbus Crew II 1.81. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 87% of Orlando City II's matches and 75% of Columbus Crew II's.
What form are Orlando City II and Columbus Crew II in?
Over the last 5 games Orlando City II have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Columbus Crew II 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Orlando City II vs Columbus Crew II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.