Orlando City II vs Philadelphia Union II: match statistics
Orlando City II vs Philadelphia Union II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Orlando City II played Philadelphia Union II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 21 June 2026. Venue: Inter&Co Stadium. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Orlando City II: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Philadelphia Union II: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Orlando City II scores 2.43 and concedes 1.79 goals per match. Philadelphia Union II scores 1.07 and concedes 1.07. League average: 3.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Orlando City II 86%, Philadelphia Union II 57%. Over 2.5: Orlando City II 86%, Philadelphia Union II 43%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Orlando City II has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.28. Orlando City II: 15.5 shots per match, Philadelphia Union II: 10.1.
Match halves
Orlando City II: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 1.57. Philadelphia Union II: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Orlando City II: 76-90+ (10 goals). Philadelphia Union II: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a win for Orlando City II (1): their home attack is significantly more effective — on average 2.88 goals scored and 8.5 shots on target per match with 16% conversion, versus only 0.8 goals and 2.8 shots on target and 10% conversion for Philadelphia Union II away. Orlando also generates more high-quality chances (average xG 2.10 vs 1.08 for the visitors), and in the last 5 matches the hosts scored 14 goals while Philly scored only 4. Defensively Orlando concedes more at home (on average 2.13 goals), whereas Philadelphia concedes 1.2 on average away — despite this the visitors have 40% of away matches without scoring, while the hosts have never failed to score at home (0% FTS). Form trends also favor Orlando: 4 wins in the last 5 matches and an average of 2.4 points per match, versus 1 win and 0.8 points per match for Philadelphia. Considering the superiority in number and quality of chances (shots, xG, goals) and greater points stability from the hosts, I assess their chances as clearly higher, although a draw or a solitary goal from the visitors is not excluded.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have seasonal BTTS rates of 56% (Orlando City II) and 60% (Philadelphia Union II), while the league average is 62%, immediately indicating this league often produces Goal/Goal outcomes. In the last 5 matches Orlando City II posts an 80% BTTS rate and scored 14 goals (2.8 per game), whereas Philadelphia Union II has a 60% BTTS rate and scored 4 goals (0.8 per game), so the hosts' recent form significantly increases the likelihood of them finding the net, and the visitors—despite a weaker goals tally—still appear in matches with BTTS. Offensive metrics favor Orlando: the home side averages 11.11 shots vs 8.4 for the visitors, 4.44 shots on target vs 2.8, and xG for the hosts is 1.38 vs 1.08 for the visitors; at the same time both teams show average susceptibility to conceding (xG against 1.49 for the hosts and 1.35 for the visitors), which raises the probability of an exchange of goals. Additionally Philadelphia Union II has recorded zero clean sheets this season (0%), and Orlando has only 22% clean sheets, suggesting at least one goal for the opposition is highly likely; the league BTTS rate of 62% corroborates this trend. Considering the seasonal BTTS 56% and 60%, the last 5 matches at 80% and 60%, the hosts' edge in shots and xG, and the visitors' lack of clean sheets, I assign a 70% probability to BTTS - Yes and 30% to BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The prediction is based on xG and form: xG for Orlando City II is 1.38 per match, for Philadelphia Union II 1.08, and conceded xG are 1.49 (Orlando) and 1.35 (Union II) respectively. The average of these values yields an expected 1.37 goals for the home side and 1.29 for the away side, totaling approximately 2.66 goals. Additionally, Orlando have scored an average of 2.8 goals in their last 5 matches (14 goals in 5), while Union II have 0.8 goals (4 in 5), which supports a higher goal share in this fixture. With a combined expected total of ~2.66 the Poisson model gives probabilities of over 1.5 around 74%, over 2.5 around 50% and over 3.5 around 28%, and the likelihood that each team scores is 56% (home) and 60% (away). Based on this, the strongest and most probable betting signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the home side led in 4 of the 9 matches to date (44%) and average 0.78 goals by the break versus 0.2 for Philadelphia Union II, favoring Orlando to have the lead at the break. Additionally Orlando records higher xG (1.38 vs 1.08), more total shots (11.11 vs 8.4) and more shots on target (4.44 vs 2.8), and a season goals-per-game average of 1.22 versus 0.8 underscores the hosts’ offensive advantage. In the last 5 matches the hosts won 4 of 5 (80%) while the visitors have only a 20% win rate in that period, therefore the scenario of leading at half-time and holding the win (1/1) received the highest weight (34%). The risk of surrendering the lead is nevertheless real — Orlando conceded 4 goals in minutes 76–90, while Philadelphia scored 3 goals in minutes 61–75 — which justifies a reserve allocation to 1/X (8%) and X/X (15%) as alternatives. In summary, the strongest signal is 1/1 (home leading at half-time and winning), but the possibility of a late equalizer should be taken into account.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Orlando City II | Philadelphia Union II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Orlando City II is 200% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Orlando City II · 0.8 pts / match - Philadelphia Union II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Orlando City II is 127% better for: goals scored per match.
2.43 goals / match - Orlando City II · 1.07 goals / match - Philadelphia Union II
Philadelphia Union II is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.79 goals / match - Orlando City II · 1.07 goals / match - Philadelphia Union II
Orlando City II scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while Philadelphia Union II keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).
Philadelphia Union II scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Orlando City II keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Orlando City II
Over / Under - Philadelphia Union II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Philadelphia Union II is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / match - Orlando City II · 1.29 pts / match - Philadelphia Union II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Orlando City II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Philadelphia Union II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Orlando City II
Philadelphia Union II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Orlando City II | Liga | Philadelphia Union II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.21 | 3.25 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 86% | 62% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 86% | 65% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 21% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 93% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 84% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Orlando City II 0 - 1 - 0 Philadelphia Union II. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Orlando City II vs Philadelphia Union II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Orlando City II 1:2 Philadelphia Union II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Orlando City II vs Philadelphia Union II?
Orlando City II score 2.43 goals per game on average and Philadelphia Union II 1.07. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 86% of Orlando City II's matches and 57% of Philadelphia Union II's.
What form are Orlando City II and Philadelphia Union II in?
Over the last 5 games Orlando City II have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Philadelphia Union II 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Orlando City II vs Philadelphia Union II?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Orlando City II vs Philadelphia Union II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.