United States - MLSExploria StadiumData current as of 16 October 2026

Orlando City vs DC United: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Orlando City vs DC United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Orlando City play DC United in MLS (United States). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Exploria Stadium.

Current form

Orlando City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. DC United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Orlando City scores 1.86 and concedes 2.38 goals per match. DC United scores 1.29 and concedes 1.68. League average: 3.26 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Orlando City 69%, DC United 61%. Over 2.5: Orlando City 76%, DC United 61%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

Orlando City has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.43. Orlando City: 12.5 shots per match, DC United: 12.9.

Match halves

Orlando City: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 1.17. DC United: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

Orlando City: 76-90+ (16 goals). DC United: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.75)
(4.33)
(4.38)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Orlando CityDC United
1.86Goals scored / match1.29
Orlando CityDC United
2.38Goals conceded / match1.68
Orlando CityDC United
50%Average possession38%
Orlando CityDC United
5.03Shots on target / match4.43
Orlando CityDC United

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.52Shots per match12.89
Orlando CityDC United
5.03Shots on target4.43
Orlando CityDC United
14.9%Shot conversion10%
Orlando CityDC United
50%Possession38%
Orlando CityDC United
1.45xG for1.43
Orlando CityDC United
1.9xG against1.7
Orlando CityDC United

Shooting quality

Orlando City: Efficient finishingDC United: Balanced
Orlando CityDC United
Accuracy (shots on target)40%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Orlando City is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Orlando City · 1 pts / match - DC United

Orlando City
WLLWD
Season result split
38% W17% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-5-13
1.31 pts / match · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-2-4
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
LWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 2.23BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
DC United
DLDLW
Season result split
25% W43% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-12-9
1.18 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-7-4
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DDLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 2.03BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Orlando City is 44% better for: goals scored per match.

1.86 goals / match - Orlando City · 1.29 goals / match - DC United

DC United is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.38 goals / match - Orlando City · 1.68 goals / match - DC United

Orlando City scoring profile: very strong

Orlando City scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while DC United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).

DC United scoring profile: very strong

DC United scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Orlando City keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).

54Goals scored (season)36
Orlando CityDC United
69Goals conceded (season)47
Orlando CityDC United
4.24Average goals in match2.96
Orlando CityDC United
13Goals scored (last 5)6
Orlando CityDC United
13Goals conceded (last 5)10
Orlando CityDC United

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal68%
Orlando CityDC United
59%2 goals39%
Orlando CityDC United
31%3 goals14%
Orlando CityDC United
14%4 goals7%
Orlando CityDC United

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal79%
Orlando CityDC United
62%2 goals46%
Orlando CityDC United
45%3 goals29%
Orlando CityDC United
24%4 goals14%
Orlando CityDC United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time11%
Orlando CityDC United
14%BTTS in both halves11%
Orlando CityDC United
34%Scored in both halves21%
Orlando CityDC United

BTTS and goal count

59%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Orlando CityDC United
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Orlando CityDC United
80%BTTS - last 560%
Orlando CityDC United

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

90%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
Orlando CityDC United
55%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
Orlando CityDC United
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Orlando CityDC United

2nd half

93%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
Orlando CityDC United
69%Min. 2 goals after half-time54%
Orlando CityDC United
45%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
Orlando CityDC United

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Orlando City - half-time state
34% leading21% draw45% trailing
DC United - half-time state
32% leading32% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.24Points per match (1st half)1.29
Orlando CityDC United
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.54
Orlando CityDC United
1.07Goals conceded (1st half)0.64
Orlando CityDC United
1.76Average goals (1st half)1.18
Orlando CityDC United
38%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Orlando CityDC United
48%No goal before half-time61%
Orlando CityDC United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.28Points per match (2nd half)1.14
Orlando CityDC United
1.17Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
Orlando CityDC United
1.31Goals conceded (2nd half)1.04
Orlando CityDC United
2.48Average goals (2nd half)1.79
Orlando CityDC United
34%Clean sheet after half-time36%
Orlando CityDC United
34%No goal after half-time50%
Orlando CityDC United

Orlando City - second-half results

34% W24% D41% L
36
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding112%

Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

DC United - second-half results

25% W39% D36% L
36
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding78%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Orlando City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.81.8
Goals conceded / match1.01.6
Average goals in match1.83.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
DC United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Orlando City
ScoredConceded
3
9
0-15
13
12
16-30
4
10
31-45
9
14
46-60
9
8
61-75
16
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

DC United
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
7
7
16-30
5
9
31-45
6
7
46-60
4
11
61-75
11
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.60
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+39%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Orlando City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
170%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

DC United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).

Teams vs league

Orlando CityLigaDC United
Average goals in match▲ 4.243.26▼ 2.96
Both teams scored▲ 69%64%▼ 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 76%64%▼ 61%
Clean sheets▼ 14%21%• 21%
Goal before half-time▲ 90%78%▼ 68%
Goal after half-time▲ 93%83%▼ 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.26
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.86
Home goals / match
1.40
Away goals / match
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Orlando City 0 - 0 - 1 DC United. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Orlando City and DC United play?

Orlando City face DC United on 17 October 2026 in MLS at Exploria Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Orlando City vs DC United?

Orlando City score 1.86 goals per game on average and DC United 1.29. The MLS average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Orlando City's matches and 61% of DC United's.

What form are Orlando City and DC United in?

Over the last 5 games Orlando City have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and DC United 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Orlando City vs DC United?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Orlando City vs DC United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.