Orlando City vs Toronto: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Orlando City vs Toronto: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Orlando City play Toronto in MLS (United States). The match date is 12 September 2026.
Current form
Orlando City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Toronto: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Orlando City scores 1.65 and concedes 2.35 goals per match. Toronto scores 1.57 and concedes 1.83. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Orlando City 65%, Toronto 83%. Over 2.5: Orlando City 70%, Toronto 65%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Orlando City has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.37. Orlando City: 12.2 shots per match, Toronto: 11.8.
Match halves
Orlando City: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.00. Toronto: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 1.09.
Goals by minute
Orlando City: 16-30 (11 goals). Toronto: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Orlando City | Toronto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Toronto is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Orlando City · 1.8 pts / match - Toronto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Orlando City is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - Orlando City · 1.57 goals / match - Toronto
Toronto is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.35 goals / match - Orlando City · 1.83 goals / match - Toronto
Orlando City scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Toronto keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).
Toronto scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Orlando City keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Orlando City
Over / Under - Toronto
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Orlando City is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Orlando City · 0.83 pts / match - Toronto
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Orlando City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Toronto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Orlando City
Toronto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Orlando City | Liga | Toronto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 3.21 | ▲ 3.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 63% | ▲ 83% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 62% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 21% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 77% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 81% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Orlando City and Toronto play?
Orlando City face Toronto on 12 September 2026 in MLS. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Orlando City vs Toronto?
Orlando City score 1.65 goals per game on average and Toronto 1.57. The MLS average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Orlando City's matches and 83% of Toronto's.
What form are Orlando City and Toronto in?
Over the last 5 games Orlando City have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Toronto 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Orlando City vs Toronto?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


