Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns: match statistics
Orlando Pirates display impressive home form with 88% of home matches won and only one goal conceded in the last five games. The hosts lead the table, winning 12 of 16 matches this season, with a +11 goal difference at their own stadium. Mamelodi Sundowns, despite being second in the league, has a significantly weaker away record – only 38% wins and a high 50% draw rate on the road. xG statistics show an advantage for Orlando Pirates (2.07 vs 1.5), and their dominance in home matches (62% possession, 5.38 shots on target per match) suggests control over the game. Given the hosts' excellent run and Sundowns' difficulties in away matches, I expect an Orlando Pirates victory, though the rival's quality makes a draw a realistic scenario too.
Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Orlando Pirates played Mamelodi Sundowns in Premier Soccer League (South Africa). The match was played on 18 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Orlando Pirates: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Mamelodi Sundowns: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Orlando Pirates scores 1.56 and concedes 0.31 goals per match. Mamelodi Sundowns scores 1.60 and concedes 0.47. League average: 1.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Orlando Pirates 19%, Mamelodi Sundowns 40%. Over 2.5: Orlando Pirates 25%, Mamelodi Sundowns 20%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Orlando Pirates has higher xG: 1.86 vs 1.68. Orlando Pirates: 15.2 shots per match, Mamelodi Sundowns: 12.9.
Match halves
Orlando Pirates: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.69. Mamelodi Sundowns: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
Orlando Pirates: 76-90+ (7 goals). Mamelodi Sundowns: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Soccer League: 1.93 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Orlando Pirates display impressive home form with 88% of home matches won and only one goal conceded in the last five games. The hosts lead the table, winning 12 of 16 matches this season, with a +11 goal difference at their own stadium. Mamelodi Sundowns, despite being second in the league, has a significantly weaker away record – only 38% wins and a high 50% draw rate on the road. xG statistics show an advantage for Orlando Pirates (2.07 vs 1.5), and their dominance in home matches (62% possession, 5.38 shots on target per match) suggests control over the game. Given the hosts' excellent run and Sundowns' difficulties in away matches, I expect an Orlando Pirates victory, though the rival's quality makes a draw a realistic scenario too.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Orlando Pirates | Mamelodi Sundowns | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Orlando Pirates is 18% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Orlando Pirates · 2.2 pts / match - Mamelodi Sundowns
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Orlando Pirates is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.31 goals / match - Orlando Pirates · 0.47 goals / match - Mamelodi Sundowns
Orlando Pirates scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Mamelodi Sundowns keeps a clean sheet in 53% (8 of 15 matches).
Mamelodi Sundowns scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Orlando Pirates keeps a clean sheet in 75% (12 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Orlando Pirates
Over / Under - Mamelodi Sundowns
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Orlando Pirates is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.13 pts / match - Orlando Pirates · 1.67 pts / match - Mamelodi Sundowns
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Orlando Pirates - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mamelodi Sundowns - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Orlando Pirates
Mamelodi Sundowns
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Orlando Pirates | Liga | Mamelodi Sundowns | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.88 | 1.93 | ▲ 2.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 19% | 35% | ▲ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 27% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 75% | 38% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 69% | 68% | • 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Orlando Pirates 0 - 1 - 0 Mamelodi Sundowns. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
The Premier Soccer League match finished Orlando Pirates 1:2 Mamelodi Sundowns. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Orlando Pirates score 1.56 goals per game on average and Mamelodi Sundowns 1.60. The Premier Soccer League average is 1.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 19% of Orlando Pirates's matches and 40% of Mamelodi Sundowns's.
What form are Orlando Pirates and Mamelodi Sundowns in?
Over the last 5 games Orlando Pirates have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Mamelodi Sundowns 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
The statistical background for Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.