Osijek vs Gorica: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Osijek played Gorica in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 13 December 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Osijek: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Gorica: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Osijek scores 0.94 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Gorica scores 1.25 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.69 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Osijek 50%, Gorica 69%. Over 2.5: Osijek 44%, Gorica 56%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Osijek has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.46. Osijek: 12.9 shots per match, Gorica: 12.2.

Match halves

Osijek: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.50. Gorica: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.56.

Goals by minute

Osijek: 31-45+ (6 goals). Gorica: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Prva HNL: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

66Possession (%)34
OsijekGorica
16Shots4
OsijekGorica
5Shots on target2
OsijekGorica
2.28xG0.73
OsijekGorica
7Corners3
OsijekGorica
127Dangerous attacks44
OsijekGorica
18Fouls17
OsijekGorica
3Cards3
OsijekGorica

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.94Goals scored / match1.25
OsijekGorica
1.56Goals conceded / match1.56
OsijekGorica
50%Average possession49%
OsijekGorica
3.5Shots on target / match4.19
OsijekGorica

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.94Shots per match12.19
OsijekGorica
3.5Shots on target4.19
OsijekGorica
7.2%Shot conversion10.3%
OsijekGorica
50%Possession49%
OsijekGorica
1.54xG for1.46
OsijekGorica
1.78xG against1.53
OsijekGorica

Shooting quality

Osijek: BalancedGorica: Balanced
OsijekGorica
Accuracy (shots on target)27%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Gorica is 133% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Osijek · 1.4 pts / match - Gorica

Osijek
DLDDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
13% W38% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-6-8
0.75 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-3-3
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LWDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 2.09BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Gorica
WDWLL
Season result split
31% W19% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-8
1.13 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-3
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Gorica is 33% better for: goals scored per match.

0.94 goals / match - Osijek · 1.25 goals / match - Gorica

Osijek scoring profile: very strong

Osijek scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 16 matches).

Gorica scoring profile: strong

Gorica scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Osijek keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).

15Goals scored (season)20
OsijekGorica
25Goals conceded (season)25
OsijekGorica
2.5Average goals in match2.81
OsijekGorica
4Goals scored (last 5)7
OsijekGorica
10Goals conceded (last 5)6
OsijekGorica

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal75%
OsijekGorica
19%2 goals31%
OsijekGorica
6%3 goals13%
OsijekGorica
6%4 goals6%
OsijekGorica

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal94%
OsijekGorica
56%2 goals44%
OsijekGorica
13%3 goals19%
OsijekGorica
13%4 goals0%
OsijekGorica

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

6%BTTS at half-time19%
OsijekGorica
6%BTTS in both halves0%
OsijekGorica
19%Scored in both halves13%
OsijekGorica

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
OsijekGorica
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
OsijekGorica
60%BTTS - last 560%
OsijekGorica

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
OsijekGorica
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
OsijekGorica
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
OsijekGorica

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
OsijekGorica
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
OsijekGorica
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
OsijekGorica

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Gorica is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.19 pts / match - Osijek · 1.38 pts / match - Gorica

Osijek - half-time state
31% leading25% draw44% trailing
Gorica - half-time state
38% leading25% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.19Points per match (1st half)1.38
OsijekGorica
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.69
OsijekGorica
0.69Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
OsijekGorica
1.13Average goals (1st half)1.31
OsijekGorica
56%Clean sheet before half-time44%
OsijekGorica
63%No goal before half-time56%
OsijekGorica

After half-time (2nd half)

0.88Points per match (2nd half)0.69
OsijekGorica
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.56
OsijekGorica
0.88Goals conceded (2nd half)0.94
OsijekGorica
1.38Average goals (2nd half)1.5
OsijekGorica
44%Clean sheet after half-time25%
OsijekGorica
56%No goal after half-time56%
OsijekGorica

Osijek - second-half results

19% W31% R50% P
19
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding42%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Gorica - second-half results

13% W31% R56% P
22
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding82%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Osijek - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.80
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-4-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Gorica - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.61.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Osijek
ScoredConceded
1
6
0-15
0
2
16-30
6
3
31-45
2
5
46-60
3
4
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Gorica
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
6
1
16-30
3
4
31-45
3
7
46-60
0
6
61-75
6
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.66
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-62%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Osijek

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.60
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
137%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Gorica

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).

Teams vs league

OsijekLigaGorica
Average goals in match 2.502.69 2.81
Both teams scored 50%62% 69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 44%52% 56%
Clean sheets 31%22% 6%
Goal before half-time 75%78% 81%
Goal after half-time 75%83% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.69
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / match
1.14
Away goals / match
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. GoricaYellow cardDomagoj Pavičić
  2. OsijekYellow cardDavid Čolina
  3. OsijekSubstitutionOn: Roko JurišićOff: Miloš Jovičić
  4. OsijekYellow cardŠimun Mikolčić
  5. GoricaRed cardStefan Peric
  6. GoricaSubstitutionOn: Mateo LešOff: Domagoj Pavičić
  7. GoricaSubstitutionOn: Jurica PrširOff: Ognjen Bakić
  8. OsijekSubstitutionOn: Luka VrbančićOff: Hrvoje Babec
  9. OsijekGoalAnton MatkovićAssist: Emin Hasić
  10. OsijekSubstitutionOn: Domagoj BukvićOff: David Čolina
  11. OsijekYellow cardStyopa Mkrtchyan

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Patrik PavlešićMatches officiated: 18
4.94Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 256%Home wins22%Draws22%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Osijek 1 - 0 - 0 Gorica. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

HNK Gorica
0 : 1
NK Osijek

FAQ

What was the result of Osijek vs Gorica?

The Prva HNL match finished Osijek 1:1 Gorica. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Osijek vs Gorica?

Osijek score 0.94 goals per game on average and Gorica 1.25. The Prva HNL average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Osijek's matches and 69% of Gorica's.

What form are Osijek and Gorica in?

Over the last 5 games Osijek have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Gorica 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Osijek vs Gorica?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Osijek vs Gorica: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.