Ospitaletto vs Lecco: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a tightly contested encounter between Ospitaletto and Lecco. The hosts have displayed solid form in their last five matches with a 2-2-1 record and only three goals conceded, proving their defensive stability. Lecco boasts a better overall record (11 wins) and a higher away win percentage (44%); however, having scored only 3 goals in their last five games, they signal potential offensive struggles. Key factors include Lecco's possession advantage (52% vs 49%) and lower percentage of missed chances (22% vs 33%), but Ospitaletto holds a better shot conversion rate (8% vs 9%) and higher average xG in home matches (1.74 vs 1.13). Given the identical goal difference (+2) and balanced form, a draw appears the most probable outcome, though the hosts retain a slight edge due to home advantage and superior offensive efficiency in recent weeks.
Ospitaletto vs Lecco: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ospitaletto played Lecco in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Ospitaletto: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Lecco: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ospitaletto scores 1.11 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Lecco scores 1.26 and concedes 0.58. League average: 2.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ospitaletto 58%, Lecco 32%. Over 2.5: Ospitaletto 47%, Lecco 26%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Ospitaletto has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.33. Ospitaletto: 11.8 shots per match, Lecco: 10.4.
Match halves
Ospitaletto: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.79. Lecco: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Ospitaletto: 76-90+ (6 goals). Lecco: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.22 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a tightly contested encounter between Ospitaletto and Lecco. The hosts have displayed solid form in their last five matches with a 2-2-1 record and only three goals conceded, proving their defensive stability. Lecco boasts a better overall record (11 wins) and a higher away win percentage (44%); however, having scored only 3 goals in their last five games, they signal potential offensive struggles. Key factors include Lecco's possession advantage (52% vs 49%) and lower percentage of missed chances (22% vs 33%), but Ospitaletto holds a better shot conversion rate (8% vs 9%) and higher average xG in home matches (1.74 vs 1.13). Given the identical goal difference (+2) and balanced form, a draw appears the most probable outcome, though the hosts retain a slight edge due to home advantage and superior offensive efficiency in recent weeks.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ospitaletto | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ospitaletto is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Ospitaletto · 1.4 pts / match - Lecco
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lecco is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Ospitaletto · 1.26 goals / match - Lecco
Lecco is 91% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Ospitaletto · 0.58 goals / match - Lecco
Ospitaletto scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Lecco keeps a clean sheet in 47% (9 of 19 matches).
Lecco scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Ospitaletto keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ospitaletto
Over / Under - Lecco
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lecco is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Ospitaletto · 1.89 pts / match - Lecco
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ospitaletto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lecco - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ospitaletto
Lecco
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Ospitaletto | Liga | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.21 | 2.22 | ▼ 1.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 48% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 38% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 31% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 66% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ospitaletto 0 - 0 - 1 Lecco. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ospitaletto vs Lecco?
The Serie C Group A match finished Ospitaletto 1:1 Lecco. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ospitaletto vs Lecco?
Ospitaletto score 1.11 goals per game on average and Lecco 1.26. The Serie C Group A average is 2.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Ospitaletto's matches and 32% of Lecco's.
What form are Ospitaletto and Lecco in?
Over the last 5 games Ospitaletto have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Lecco 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ospitaletto vs Lecco?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.