Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched encounter between teams in similar form. Ospitaletto shows better effectiveness at home (36% win rate, goal difference +3), with a higher xG (1.74 vs 1.36) and better shot conversion (8% vs 9% despite fewer attempts). However, Lumezzane has slightly better form in the last five matches (1.6 PPG vs 1.4 PPG) and a higher clean sheet percentage away (42%). The hosts fail to score less frequently at home (27% FTS vs 33% for the visitors), which speaks in their favor. Considering both teams' high draw percentages (36% for the hosts, 25% for the visitors) and the small differences in key statistics, the most likely scenario seems to be a share of the points, although the hosts have a slight advantage due to playing at their own stadium.
Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ospitaletto played Lumezzane in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Ospitaletto: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Lumezzane: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ospitaletto scores 1.00 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. Lumezzane scores 1.09 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ospitaletto 52%, Lumezzane 52%. Over 2.5: Ospitaletto 39%, Lumezzane 35%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Ospitaletto has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.40. Ospitaletto: 11.7 shots per match, Lumezzane: 9.9.
Match halves
Ospitaletto: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.65. Lumezzane: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Ospitaletto: 76-90+ (6 goals). Lumezzane: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched encounter between teams in similar form. Ospitaletto shows better effectiveness at home (36% win rate, goal difference +3), with a higher xG (1.74 vs 1.36) and better shot conversion (8% vs 9% despite fewer attempts). However, Lumezzane has slightly better form in the last five matches (1.6 PPG vs 1.4 PPG) and a higher clean sheet percentage away (42%). The hosts fail to score less frequently at home (27% FTS vs 33% for the visitors), which speaks in their favor. Considering both teams' high draw percentages (36% for the hosts, 25% for the visitors) and the small differences in key statistics, the most likely scenario seems to be a share of the points, although the hosts have a slight advantage due to playing at their own stadium.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ospitaletto | Lumezzane | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lumezzane is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Ospitaletto · 1.6 pts / match - Lumezzane
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lumezzane is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Ospitaletto · 1.09 goals / match - Lumezzane
Ospitaletto is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.04 goals / match - Ospitaletto · 1.22 goals / match - Lumezzane
Ospitaletto scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Lumezzane keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
Lumezzane scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Ospitaletto keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ospitaletto
Over / Under - Lumezzane
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lumezzane is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Ospitaletto · 1.35 pts / match - Lumezzane
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ospitaletto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lumezzane - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 30%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ospitaletto
Lumezzane
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Ospitaletto | Liga | Lumezzane | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.04 | 2.26 | • 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 50% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 39% | 39% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 30% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 66% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | • 70% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ospitaletto 0 - 0 - 1 Lumezzane. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane?
The Serie C Group A match finished Ospitaletto 1:2 Lumezzane. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane?
Ospitaletto score 1.00 goals per game on average and Lumezzane 1.09. The Serie C Group A average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Ospitaletto's matches and 52% of Lumezzane's.
What form are Ospitaletto and Lumezzane in?
Over the last 5 games Ospitaletto have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Lumezzane 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.