Italy - Serie C Group AStadio Comunale OspitalettoData current as of 16 October 2026

Ospitaletto vs Pergolettese: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Ospitaletto vs Pergolettese: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ospitaletto play Pergolettese in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Ospitaletto.

Current form

Ospitaletto: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Pergolettese: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ospitaletto scores 1.67 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Pergolettese scores 0.56 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.28 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ospitaletto 44%, Pergolettese 22%. Over 2.5: Ospitaletto 33%, Pergolettese 22%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Ospitaletto has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.29. Ospitaletto: 12.9 shots per match, Pergolettese: 11.1.

Match halves

Ospitaletto: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.00. Pergolettese: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.22.

Goals by minute

Ospitaletto: 76-90+ (5 goals). Pergolettese: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group A: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.83)
(3.24)
(3.93)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

OspitalettoPergolettese
1.67Goals scored / match0.56
OspitalettoPergolettese
0.67Goals conceded / match0.67
OspitalettoPergolettese
50%Average possession51%
OspitalettoPergolettese
5.22Shots on target / match2.78
OspitalettoPergolettese

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.89Shots per match11.11
OspitalettoPergolettese
5.22Shots on target2.78
OspitalettoPergolettese
12.9%Shot conversion5%
OspitalettoPergolettese
50%Possession51%
OspitalettoPergolettese
1.65xG for1.29
OspitalettoPergolettese
1.39xG against1.44
OspitalettoPergolettese

Shooting quality

Ospitaletto: BalancedPergolettese: Balanced
OspitalettoPergolettese
Accuracy (shots on target)40%25%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.20

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ospitaletto is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Ospitaletto · 1.4 pts / match - Pergolettese

Ospitaletto
DLWDW
Season result split
56% W33% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Pergolettese
DDDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
22% W56% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-5-2
1.22 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-1
Last 5 away
1-3-1
LDWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ospitaletto is 198% better for: goals scored per match.

1.67 goals / match - Ospitaletto · 0.56 goals / match - Pergolettese

Ospitaletto scoring profile: strong

Ospitaletto scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Pergolettese keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 matches).

Pergolettese scoring profile: more difficult

Pergolettese scores in 33% of matches (3 of 9 matches), while Ospitaletto keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).

15Goals scored (season)5
OspitalettoPergolettese
6Goals conceded (season)6
OspitalettoPergolettese
2.33Average goals in match1.22
OspitalettoPergolettese
6Goals scored (last 5)4
OspitalettoPergolettese
4Goals conceded (last 5)3
OspitalettoPergolettese

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal33%
OspitalettoPergolettese
56%2 goals22%
OspitalettoPergolettese
22%3 goals0%
OspitalettoPergolettese
0%4 goals0%
OspitalettoPergolettese

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal44%
OspitalettoPergolettese
11%2 goals22%
OspitalettoPergolettese
0%3 goals0%
OspitalettoPergolettese
0%4 goals0%
OspitalettoPergolettese

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

51%
League average

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time0%
OspitalettoPergolettese
0%BTTS in both halves0%
OspitalettoPergolettese
44%Scored in both halves0%
OspitalettoPergolettese

BTTS and goal count

22%Min. 3 goals and BTTS22%
OspitalettoPergolettese
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
OspitalettoPergolettese
40%BTTS - last 540%
OspitalettoPergolettese

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time44%
OspitalettoPergolettese
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
OspitalettoPergolettese
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
OspitalettoPergolettese

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time44%
OspitalettoPergolettese
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time11%
OspitalettoPergolettese
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
OspitalettoPergolettese

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ospitaletto is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.78 pts / match - Ospitaletto · 1.22 pts / match - Pergolettese

Ospitaletto - half-time state
44% leading44% draw11% trailing
Pergolettese - half-time state
22% leading56% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.78Points per match (1st half)1.22
OspitalettoPergolettese
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.33
OspitalettoPergolettese
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
OspitalettoPergolettese
1Average goals (1st half)0.67
OspitalettoPergolettese
78%Clean sheet before half-time78%
OspitalettoPergolettese
33%No goal before half-time78%
OspitalettoPergolettese

After half-time (2nd half)

1.89Points per match (2nd half)0.89
OspitalettoPergolettese
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.22
OspitalettoPergolettese
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
OspitalettoPergolettese
1.33Average goals (2nd half)0.56
OspitalettoPergolettese
67%Clean sheet after half-time67%
OspitalettoPergolettese
33%No goal after half-time89%
OspitalettoPergolettese

Ospitaletto - second-half results

56% W22% D22% L
16
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Pergolettese - second-half results

11% W56% D33% L
11
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ospitaletto - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Pergolettese - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.80.6
1 goal40%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ospitaletto
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Pergolettese
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
3
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.78
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 0.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
78%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
33%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+13%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
29%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ospitaletto

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.74
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.72
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
140%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
61%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Pergolettese

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.73
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.77
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
51%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

OspitalettoLigaPergolettese
Average goals in match• 2.332.28▼ 1.22
Both teams scored▼ 44%51%▼ 22%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%47%▼ 22%
Clean sheets▲ 44%33%▲ 56%
Goal before half-time▲ 67%61%▼ 44%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%71%▼ 44%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.28
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.19
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+9%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defence advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Ospitaletto 0 - 0 - 2 Pergolettese. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Pergolettese
1 : 0
Ospitaletto
Ospitaletto
1 : 2
Pergolettese

FAQ

When do Ospitaletto and Pergolettese play?

Ospitaletto face Pergolettese on 18 October 2026 in Serie C Group A at Stadio Comunale Ospitaletto. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Ospitaletto and Pergolettese?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ospitaletto won 0, Pergolettese won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Ospitaletto vs Pergolettese?

Ospitaletto score 1.67 goals per game on average and Pergolettese 0.56. The Serie C Group A average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Ospitaletto's matches and 22% of Pergolettese's.

What form are Ospitaletto and Pergolettese in?

Over the last 5 games Ospitaletto have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Pergolettese 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ospitaletto vs Pergolettese?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ospitaletto vs Pergolettese: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.