Ospitaletto vs Pro Patria: match statistics
Ospitaletto presents significantly better home form with a record of 29% victories and just 29% losses at home, while Pro Patria performs very poorly away - only 7% wins and a massive 71% of lost matches. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +2 in home matches, scoring an average of 1.14 goals with an xG coefficient of 1.65, indicating unused offensive potential. Pro Patria concedes an average of 1.79 goals per match away and has a disastrous goal difference of -14, with very low scoring effectiveness (0.79 goals/match) and 43% of matches without scoring a goal. The recent form of both teams also speaks for the hosts - Ospitaletto is undefeated in the last 5 matches (1 win, 4 draws), while Pro Patria earned only 5 points. The difference in quality of play, especially in the context of the hosts' advantage and the guests' weakness away, makes an Ospitaletto victory the most probable scenario, though their tendency to draw (43% at home) cannot be ignored.
Ospitaletto vs Pro Patria: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ospitaletto played Pro Patria in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 3 March 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Ospitaletto: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Pro Patria: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ospitaletto scores 1.07 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Pro Patria scores 0.79 and concedes 1.86. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ospitaletto 59%, Pro Patria 45%. Over 2.5: Ospitaletto 45%, Pro Patria 59%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Ospitaletto has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.18. Ospitaletto: 11.3 shots per match, Pro Patria: 9.1.
Match halves
Ospitaletto: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.69. Pro Patria: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Ospitaletto: 61-75 (7 goals). Pro Patria: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ospitaletto presents significantly better home form with a record of 29% victories and just 29% losses at home, while Pro Patria performs very poorly away - only 7% wins and a massive 71% of lost matches. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +2 in home matches, scoring an average of 1.14 goals with an xG coefficient of 1.65, indicating unused offensive potential. Pro Patria concedes an average of 1.79 goals per match away and has a disastrous goal difference of -14, with very low scoring effectiveness (0.79 goals/match) and 43% of matches without scoring a goal. The recent form of both teams also speaks for the hosts - Ospitaletto is undefeated in the last 5 matches (1 win, 4 draws), while Pro Patria earned only 5 points. The difference in quality of play, especially in the context of the hosts' advantage and the guests' weakness away, makes an Ospitaletto victory the most probable scenario, though their tendency to draw (43% at home) cannot be ignored.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ospitaletto | Pro Patria | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ospitaletto is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Ospitaletto · 1 pts / match - Pro Patria
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ospitaletto is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.07 goals / match - Ospitaletto · 0.79 goals / match - Pro Patria
Ospitaletto is 69% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Ospitaletto · 1.86 goals / match - Pro Patria
Ospitaletto scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Pro Patria keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).
Pro Patria scores in 52% of matches (15 of 29 matches), while Ospitaletto keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ospitaletto
Over / Under - Pro Patria
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ospitaletto is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Ospitaletto · 0.83 pts / match - Pro Patria
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ospitaletto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Pro Patria - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 10%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ospitaletto
Pro Patria
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Ospitaletto | Liga | Pro Patria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.17 | 2.28 | ▲ 2.66 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 49% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 41% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 30% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 66% | • 66% |
| Goal after half-time | • 72% | 72% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ospitaletto 0 - 1 - 0 Pro Patria. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ospitaletto vs Pro Patria?
The Serie C Group A match finished Ospitaletto 0:0 Pro Patria. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ospitaletto vs Pro Patria?
Ospitaletto score 1.07 goals per game on average and Pro Patria 0.79. The Serie C Group A average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Ospitaletto's matches and 45% of Pro Patria's.
What form are Ospitaletto and Pro Patria in?
Over the last 5 games Ospitaletto have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Pro Patria 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ospitaletto vs Pro Patria?
The statistical background for Ospitaletto vs Pro Patria — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


