Oţelul Galaţi vs Hermannstadt: match statistics
Oţelul Galaţi vs Hermannstadt: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Oţelul Galaţi played Hermannstadt in Liga I (Romania). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Oţelul Galaţi: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Hermannstadt: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Oţelul Galaţi scores 1.31 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. Hermannstadt scores 1.06 and concedes 1.66. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Oţelul Galaţi 41%, Hermannstadt 56%. Over 2.5: Oţelul Galaţi 50%, Hermannstadt 50%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Oţelul Galaţi has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.36. Oţelul Galaţi: 13.5 shots per match, Hermannstadt: 11.9.
Match halves
Oţelul Galaţi: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.59. Hermannstadt: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.66.
Goals by minute
Oţelul Galaţi: 31-45+ (11 goals). Hermannstadt: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga I: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1): Oţelul’s home-season metrics show 1.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match, xG 1.59 versus 1.24 for the visitors, and on average 4.75 shots on target per home game versus 3 for Hermannstadt. The hosts also register higher possession (54% vs 46%) and keep clean sheets at home more often (31% of matches vs 6% of away games for the visitors), indicating game control and higher-quality chances. However, Oţelul’s recent form is poor: in the last 5 matches they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, scoring only 5 and conceding 13 (0.2 points per game over that stretch). Hermannstadt arrive in better recent form (3 wins and 2 losses in five matches, 11 scored and 6 conceded, 1.8 points per game), but defensively they concede a lot across the season (53 goals, averaging 1.63 on the road), so I project a narrow home-favorite outcome with a probability split of 50%/25%/25%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have seasonal BTTS rates of 50% (Oţelul) and 63% (Hermannstadt), while the league average is 51%, and in the last 5 matches both sides have BTTS at 60%, indicating a propensity for Goal/Goal outcomes. Seasonal goals conceded averages are 1.69 for the home side and 1.63 for the away side; in the last 5 matches Oţelul conceded 2.6 goals on average (13 goals in 5 matches), and Hermannstadt 1.2 (6 goals), with clean sheet expected percentages only 13% and 6%, so there is no defensive stability. Offensively, the hosts have xG 1.48 and an average of 4.13 shots on target per match, the visitors have xG 1.24 and 3.0 shots on target, with Hermannstadt scoring 11 goals in the last 5 matches (2.2 avg), which increases the probability of them scoring. Considering the combination of seasonal BTTS 50%/63%, last 5 matches 60%/60%, low clean sheet rates (13% and 6%) and form (Oţelul: dllll, Hermannstadt: wlwlw), I rate BTTS - Yes at about 72% versus 28% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I expect 2.74 goals in this match: Oţelul around 1.48 (attacking xG 1.48) and Hermannstadt 1.26 (average attacking xG 1.24 and home defensive xG 1.28). Over 1.5 appears the strongest signal, as the home side have 81% of matches with over 1.5 goals, the visitors 88%, and both teams have 100% of season matches with at least one goal. Over 2.5 is less certain: season-long 56% for the home team and 44% for the visitors finish above 2.5, but in the last 5 matches both teams recorded 80% of games >2.5, which pushes the probability above 50%. Over 3.5 is unlikely — seasonally only 31% and 19% (home/away) exceed 3.5 goals, and the combined xG 2.74 is clearly below 3.5, therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the best option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Form analysis favors Hermannstadt: in the last 5 matches the visitors won 3 of 5 (60%), while Oţelul has not registered a win (0 of 5). In those five fixtures Hermannstadt led at the break in 40% of cases (2 of 5), whereas the home side had 0% half-time leads, increasing the likelihood of the visitors holding a lead after 45 minutes. Season-long xG shows a slight edge for Oţelul (xG 1.48 versus 1.24 for Hermannstadt), but over the last 5 matches Hermannstadt averaged 2.2 goals per game compared to Oţelul’s 1.0 and conceded an average of 1.2 goals versus the hosts’ 2.6 conceded, which speaks in favor of the visitors. The visitors also had a better second-half record in the last 5 fixtures (average 2.0 vs 0.6), so the most probable scenario is Hermannstadt leading at half-time and winning at full-time (HT/FT = 2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Oţelul Galaţi | Hermannstadt | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hermannstadt is 800% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Oţelul Galaţi · 1.8 pts / match - Hermannstadt
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Oţelul Galaţi is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Oţelul Galaţi · 1.06 goals / match - Hermannstadt
Oţelul Galaţi is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.16 goals / match - Oţelul Galaţi · 1.66 goals / match - Hermannstadt
Oţelul Galaţi scores in 63% of matches (20 of 32 matches), while Hermannstadt keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 32 matches).
Hermannstadt scores in 66% of matches (21 of 32 matches), while Oţelul Galaţi keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Oţelul Galaţi
Over / Under - Hermannstadt
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Oţelul Galaţi is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Oţelul Galaţi · 0.91 pts / match - Hermannstadt
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Oţelul Galaţi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hermannstadt - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Oţelul Galaţi
Hermannstadt
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga I).
Teams vs league
| Oţelul Galaţi | Liga | Hermannstadt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.47 | 2.56 | ▲ 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 51% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 27% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 69% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Oţelul Galaţi 1 - 0 - 1 Hermannstadt. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Oţelul Galaţi vs Hermannstadt?
The Liga I match finished Oţelul Galaţi 2:0 Hermannstadt. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Oţelul Galaţi and Hermannstadt?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Oţelul Galaţi won 1, Hermannstadt won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Oţelul Galaţi vs Hermannstadt?
Oţelul Galaţi score 1.31 goals per game on average and Hermannstadt 1.06. The Liga I average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Oţelul Galaţi's matches and 56% of Hermannstadt's.
What form are Oţelul Galaţi and Hermannstadt in?
Over the last 5 games Oţelul Galaţi have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Hermannstadt 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Oţelul Galaţi vs Hermannstadt?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Oţelul Galaţi vs Hermannstadt: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.